Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Has anyone seen what Al Jazeera is saying lately?:

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Iran war live: Tehran says US wants to ‘partition country, take oil’​

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Smoke rises following a strike on the Bapco Oil Refinery, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, on Sitra Island Bahrain,

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Al Jazeera Live



By Virginia Pietromarchi, Stephen Quillen and Alma Milisic
Published On 9 Mar 20269 Mar 2026
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  • Iran’s military and political leaders have pledged allegiance to Mojtaba Khamenei, who has been named to ‌replace his killed father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as the country’s ⁠new supreme ⁠leader.
  • The US and Israel continue to bombard Iran, with explosions reported in Qom and Tehran, hours after Israeli attacks on oil facilities caused toxic smoke across the Iranian capital.
  • Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei says the attacks aimed “at partitioning our country to take illegal possession of our oil riches”.
  • ⁠Oil prices have jumped more than 25 percent, to their highest levels since mid-2022, as some major producers slash supplies and fears of prolonged shipping disruptions grip the market due to the expanding war.
  • An eighth US soldier has been confirmed killed a day after US President Donald Trump paid tributes at a ceremony honouring soldiers who died in the conflict.
  • Visit our live tracker for the latest on casualty figures from across the region.
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Iran war updates: Trump says conflict may be ‘short-term’ as oil fears rise

These were the updates from US-Israel's war on Iran from Monday, March 9, 2026.
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Persian Gulf said:
they do not understand Iran at all, they thought we were an Arab Sheikhdom ready to submit to their demands and live on our knees for them and for Israel
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They do understand Iran is not an arab sheikhdom, hence that war. Otherwise no war was needed. One order would have been enough.
 
@Persian Gulf
@Falcon29

Do you think this round of fighting will lead to withdrawal of Israeli troops from Lebanon?

I think if Hezbollah can increase the cost and intensity of attacks especially those that result in numerous casualties there is a chance they pull out. This hinges on how long Iran continues to strike Israel and inflict damage. Hopefully this leads to some kind of deterrence. Israel is going to get desperate and try to turn Lebanon into Gaza to put pressure on Hezbollah.

Maybe we see a deal that includes Iran-Hezbollah.
 
StrategicBear said:
Gulf Arabs are waking up. Hopefully my prediction here in this thread of Saudi switching sides to form an alliance with Iran against Israel comes true 👇👇👇

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Lebanon was he UAE of 60s and 70s, Israel racksacked that. UAE is a business and leisure center today. Now, it is getting damaged by Israel's war.
 
Persian Gulf said:
By some estimates that U.S. officials provided to Congress in classified briefings this week, Iran still retains as much as about 50 percent of its missile program, and even more of its drones.
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I would take the 50% value with a pinch of salt as they are counting buildings that they hit where they think the program is based but a few few of those buildings would be empty or gutted out before they struck and some buildings would be decoys aswell.
 
At some point there will be negotiations to stop this war, and Iran needs to work out what their price is for that.

Iran should reject any ceasefire as that will be temporary and Israel never honours them anyway. The Iranian FM said as much recently.

Ideally Iran works to allow the Americans to exit the war on their own such that Iran can focus on Israel alone to exact a price. Force apart the attempts of mutual consent that Trump has tried to put in place between Israel and the USA. Separate the USA and Israel as much as possible and deal with them separately.

Iran should insist on all sanctions being permanently removed without any conditions or time limitations etc as part of any exit strategy for the USA. The shorter the time Iran needs to face the USA, the better as they are bringing resources to the table that Israel can never do so.
 
FHN said:
Japan experiences a triple kill in stocks, bonds, and forex. Reposted from Flavio Marin on LinkedIn:“STRAIT OF HORMUZ BLOCKADE: WHY CHINA WILL NOT BE CONSTRAINEDA Hormuz closure is the scenario Western strategists cite most often when assessing China's energy vulnerability. The data says otherwise. China is prepared. Not partially. Not theoretically. Operationally prepared, right now, across every layer that matters.▌RESERVESChina holds 1.18 billion barrels of crude in onshore storage — a record high — plus five underground Strategic Petroleum Reserve facilities. Against a Hormuz-only supply loss of ~5 Mb/d, that is 236 days of cover. Enough time to execute a full industrial response with months to spare.▌COAL-TO-LIQUIDS: THE STRATEGIC BACKSTOPChina operates the world's largest Coal-to-Liquids complex — the Shenhua Ningxia plant, 100,000 barrels per day of Fischer-Tropsch synthetic fuel. Built in 39 months. With 98.5% domestic equipment. No foreign contractors. No imported gasifiers. Total CTL capacity currently under construction or commissioned: ~240,000 b/d, scaling to 360,000–580,000 b/d by 2030. Under a national emergency mandate, five Ningxia-scale plants can be built concurrently in 3–4 years.▌THE INFRASTRUCTURE IS ALREADY THEREThe Haoji Railway — world's longest heavy-haul coal line, running from Inner Mongolia directly into the Yangtze River basin — operates at 10% of its 200 Mt/year design capacity. The Yangtze provides effectively unlimited process water. Three Gorges Dam runs at partial load, its curtailed gigawatts available on demand. The Changji-Guquan UHVDC line carries 12 GW of Xinjiang power east across 3,324 km — already built, already running.▌DEMAND IS FALLING ANYWAYChina's EV fleet is displacing approximately 600,000 barrels per day of liquid fuel demand every year — and accelerating. The gap that Hormuz closure would open is closing organically, before any emergency measure is required.▌THE VERDICTEvery physical constraint — water, coal transport, product slate, geographic isolation of reserves — resolves when assessed against Chinese infrastructure realities. The Hormuz card, as a mechanism to constrain China, has been structurally neutralised.
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Japan is especially vulnerable (economically) edit...
they can least afford a recession and simultaneously carry the keys to US bond prices skyrocketing.
If and when Japan starts going down the global economy will follow, especially the US.
 
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Ali_Baba said:
At some point there will be negotiations to stop this war, and Iran needs to work out what their price is for that.

Iran should reject any ceasefire as that will be temporary and Israel never honours them anyway. The Iranian FM said as much recently.

Ideally Iran works to allow the Americans to exit the war on their own such that Iran can focus on Israel alone to exact a price. Force apart the attempts of mutual consent that Trump has tried to put in place between Israel and the USA. Separate the USA and Israel as much as possible and deal with them separately.

Iran should insist on all sanctions being permanently removed without any conditions or time limitations etc as part of any exit strategy for the USA. The shorter the time Iran needs to face the USA, the better as they are bringing resources to the table that Israel can never do so.
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The exit strategy for the USA all depends on Trump.

Let's see what he'll do. Will he double down and order a ground invasion of Iran(inviting more US soldiers to die when Iran sinks their naval ships), or will he leave Israel to fight Iran alone?(unlikely)
 
Ali_Baba said:
At some point there will be negotiations to stop this war, and Iran needs to work out what their price is for that.

Iran should reject any ceasefire as that will be temporary and Israel never honours them anyway. The Iranian FM said as much recently.

Ideally Iran works to allow the Americans to exit the war on their own such that Iran can focus on Israel alone to exact a price. Force apart the attempts of mutual consent that Trump has tried to put in place between Israel and the USA. Separate the USA and Israel as much as possible and deal with them separately.

Iran should insist on all sanctions being permanently removed without any conditions or time limitations etc as part of any exit strategy for the USA. The shorter the time Iran needs to face the USA, the better as they are bringing resources to the table that Israel can never do so.
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Suffice to say the US exit will ensure no future conflict and a oil/gas premium pays for all the war damages. Besides US simply cannot pay...
 
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