Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[ShapurII]

“Add to that, vacant storage capacity on shore.”

+ land routes

It’s more than 6 weeks

Iran can handle economic pressure. If things get bad Iran can close the Bab el Mandeb as well.

Yeah, I don't think so. Wait for protests and strikes even larger than the January protests.

The system is eager to keep Pezeshkian in power. Maybe Trump is right. Maybe there is no unified leadership in Iran anymore. There has been no clear leadership after the assassination of Raeesi anyway.

 

[ShapurII]

It's 1.5 million IRR not IRT correct?
You look like one of those iranis are against the regime correct?

1 IRT = 10 IRR. IRT is the abbreviation of Iranian Toman. IRR is Iranian Rial. People use IRT in Iran because it's easier.

The USD price is fluctuating between 175,000 IRT and 185,000 IRT. It was about 155,000 IRT during the war.

Yes, I am against incompetence. They switched a winning hand with this! This is not sustainable. Iran is going to become the next Venezuela soon.

On top of this. the system is turning Iran into North Korea. Iranians have been in a complete digital blackout since February 29th. That's 2 months of complete digital blackout. Millions of people have lost their jobs because of this, while food prices have increased by more than 70% in the last 2 months. So, if this situation continues, people will not be able to afford even rent and food anymore.

 

[Oldenwisdom...قول بزرگ]

Iran has become a failed state. The US is winning the war decisively, it seems.

After the June war, 1 USD was about 85,000 IRT. Now 1 USD is approaching 185,000 IRT in less than 12 months. Most of this inflation has happened since late December.

That's an annual currency inflation of 117%, round it up to 120% because it hasn't been a full 12 month period yet. Last year, salaries increased by 45% to 60% only. You don't need to be a genius to see that this system will collapse before Trump leaves the office.

The ceasefire reset the regime to their factory settings again.

Fiat is bogus claptrap. As long as Iran is pegged to defunct Bretton Woods the same will keep repeating.
Peg it to oil and suffer the daily volatility. Have barter and get the needed. Crypto transfers virtual value or precious metals in real value... of course the real (finite) economy will than have to be weighed against a finite pool of metals as a means of transfer of wealth.

Until than it is market manipulation!

 

[nervouscar]

Pakistan should start thinking on considering american hidden motives i.e to harm pakistan and create gradual choas and hurt pakistan with keeping GCC and iran hostage on gun point revolutions overtly and covertly

 

[ShapurII]

Fiat is bogus claptrap. As long as Iran is pegged to defunct Bretton Woods the same will keep repeating.
Peg it to oil and suffer the daily volatility. Have barter and get the needed. Crypto transfers virtual value or precious metals in real value... of course the real (finite) economy will than have to be weighed against a finite pool of metals as a means of transfer of wealth.

Until than it is market manipulation!

You cannot peg your currency to oil when your oil is sanctioned and you're under a blockade.

There are other solutions to fix the situation, but the system is incompetent beyond imagination. They haven't even declared an emergency state yet. 2 rounds of war with Israel and the US, and nobody declared war or an emergency state. That's hilarious.

 

[Professor Jiang]

Time is no longer on Iran's side.

Funny you say this, because the vast majority of experts (including economists, IR folk, and military strategists) all say that time is on Iran's side.

 

[Dark Knight]

Well its Trump so not depended on American deep state, but on his personality. I think maybe he thinks Pakistan can pivot back to the West. Don't think it will, especially now. its just a transactional relationship. Honestly, I'm getting tired of the Iranians keep repeating that Pakistan is an American stooge. Everyone loves to hate on Pakistan as their favorite whipping boy. Just today I saw the Indians are pushing a new narrative that Pakistan backstab the US in the ceasefire talks. Before they were pushing that Pakistan is helping the US in attacking Iran in hopes that Iran launches an attack on Pakistan.

I have thought for a while now that maybe we should be like Switzerland, neutral.

We should sort our own problem's out not worry about what is happening in other's.

I know easier said than done due to our location and economy.

 

[Persian Gulf]

 

[lightning f57]

Omg look at this idiot. He surpassed Kim of North Korea in publicity.

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/116486959174837748

Signs of desperation. His really bothered that most people see this war as a US defeat.

 

[Flotilla]

Funny you say this, because the vast majority of experts (including economists, IR folk, and military strategists) all say that time is on Iran's side.

They think Mullahs are in charge... but it is not true.
Mullahs are visible side.
The only and real ruler it is Sepah (IRGC) everybody knows. So whatever they kill another it is behind him. Day after day it is more evident.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Oil prices and bond yields are rising. Someone confiscate Pezeshkian’s mobile devices before he can say something stupid to help the enemy.

 

[lightning f57]

Economic indicators lag so what we are seeing is the beginning of the edge of the cliff.

UK likely will enter recession this year, Wall street expecting 30% chance the US will with inflation over 3%.

Once barrel of oil hits $125, we all going to be on a rough ride.

 

[Optical216]

Economic indicators lag so what we are seeing is the beginning of the edge of the cliff.

UK likely will enter recession this year, Wall street expecting 30% chance the US will with inflation over 3%.

Once barrel of oil hits $125, we all going to be on a rough ride.

couldve all been avoided if trump did not do this to make people forget about the pedo files

 

[Meengla]

If the Iranian regime is still standing AND they can maintain control over Hormuz (i.e. levying variable tolls that suit their interests), then any Iranian would bite your hand off for that and it would be a victory. It remains to be seen whether they are willing to compromise on the other parts of their original 10 point plan. I suspect they will want the right to have a long range missile and drone capability also, at the very least.

Bolded part. That's the key. If one reads the terms offered to Iran during the Oman talks just before this war it was something like 'Under American supervision, Iran's missile stockpile would be reduced to shorter range like 150 miles and the number of missiles and drones reduced'. (Paraphrased). That language had been around for months before even the Oman talks and was a verbatim Netanyahu speaking through Trump!

Araghchi and his men's clumsy diplomacy has cost Iran the advantage it gained on the battlefield. The IDF invasion is expanding in Lebanon, and Iran is under a naval blockade, cutting off its supplies. The UAE and Saudi Arabia are diverting exports via pipelines, leaving Iran isolated. Time is no longer on Iran's side. Once Iran is sufficiently worn down, the Zionist Air Force, fully resupplied, will launch a surprise attack. Iran has lost the war on the battlefield of diplomacy.

Pray, tell me, what could the diplomacy do to stop all the events that you have in your post? Nothing!

And every day the US delays returning to military action against , its confidence in its ability to achieve its goals via military means rereduces.
Also, I've come to the conclusion that the main reason US needed the ceasefire and maintains it is to prevent further deaths and injuries amongst its troops in the gulf(tol many died and got injured in a short time period), due to its inability to protect its troops effectively, because it is low on air defense interceptors.
Ukraine really drained US militarily.

Good post. I also think Iran is capable of giving significant pain to any attackers and maybe the Isfahan raid to rescue the WSO was a major warning to not escalate and give diplomacy a chance. Pakistan's retired Air Commodore Khalid Chisti repeatedly says he has analyzed data and has concluded that Iran has some weapons capable of striking fighter jets.

I don't think they give af. I mean they just stationed Israeli troops there and equipment. Its a shame actually. I liked Dubai and Abu Dhabi. They provided a lot of jobs to people from around the world. Iran did a lot of trade through the bazaaris there. I really hope they survived and recover - but as a Muslim leader, not a stooge of the non-Muslims.

I don't hate the UAE like many do here and even admire they built a vibrant society taking advantage of their oil wealth; plus the employment in the UAE indirectly lifted millions of people out of poverty in several countries. I am just baffled as to why their stupid leadership thinks that by being in bed with the Israelis like this, given UAE's geographic location, they will benefit. At most they can be a launch pad to attack Iran and possibly even destabilize Saudi Arabia but that will be extremely dangerous for UAE itself--suicidal, I would say.

 

[Optical216]

Yeah, I don't think so. Wait for protests and strikes even larger than the January protests.

The system is eager to keep Pezeshkian in power. Maybe Trump is right. Maybe there is no unified leadership in Iran anymore. There has been no clear leadership after the assassination of Raeesi anyway.

after larijiani that guy looked like the last leader to have a spine

But do not lose hope, pezeshkian is a figurehead only and irgc is running the real things.