In last war, 1000 Iranians were crushed under rubble of their own homes, Iranian military generals were killed in their homes and nuclear sites were bombed to rubble. Israel lost what in return?
1000 Iranian civilians that were murdered does not translate to a military tactical or strategic advantage.
It did exactly the opposite. It rallied even the regime‘s opposition around the flag.
The strike on Evin was a disaster for them . Even the political activists who are against the regime called out the heinous act. Social workers of the prison were killed. Family members of the prisoners were killed.
The 30 or so IRGC commanders that were killed in my opinion, was more of an embarrassment than an strategic or military advantage for Iran. Let’s be honest, did Salami give Iran an advantage? The guy was a clown.
Iran’s command structure is designed in a way that it’s always the next man up. They learned from the Gulf wars to have independent units operating so there can be no decapitation strike. We all saw it within 8 to 10 hours. They’re bombing Israel.
In my opinion, the only winning card Israel had in this war was murdering Fereydon Abbasi. He was a hero. He was a patriot .In his last interview that I watched, he said you can kill me, but I’ve already trained 500 that can do exactly what I can do.
All they bombed were staging areas of the missile basis. that is not any kind of winning card. The actual missile cities were intact very deep inside the mountains in fortified chambers.
The US bombed the R&D center in Natanz. The Fordow bombing was all kabuki theater . There are several very interesting analysis on the structure of Fordow by civil engineers, discussing the blast doors and basically saying that highly doubtful that any damage was actually done to the centrifuges inside the halls..
Trump was having a melt after the strike because leaked data showed that it was highly unlikely any damage or anything significant was done to the nuclear sites.
He had a full meltdown, his hair was on fire, he demanded that everyone say you’re a big hero chief .you won, and everything is obliterated.
What did Iran gain?
1-Afghan card got burnt
2-The workshops were exposed
3-their tactics of using Spike antitank missiles were exposed( I’m surprised after Hani’s assassination. They didn’t wake up.)
4-the Caspian front was exposed
5-JCPOA is dead
6-no more inspections
7-Russia and China do not recognize the snapback sanctions
Israel and US have ironclad censorship on the actual damage that was inflicted, but from open source Intel, we can see that the Mossad headquarters were hit . The Weismann institute was destroyed. Their equivalent to the pentagon in Tel Aviv was destroyed.
They definitely took hits at their airbases. Otherwise, they wouldn’t have such a tight lip censorship on the damage.
In all my dealings with Jews, they’re notorious liars. I do not believe the numbers out of Israel that 39 were killed and 4000 were in injured.
The Most devastating blow was the splintering of the Republican base. I live here. I see it. Israel is loathed . Nobody wants to have anything to do with this country. People are sick and tired of never-ending wars for this child killing regime. The American people are fed up they can’t afford their bills. They’re not interested in signing up for another war no matter how much they cry anti-semitism.
They own Trump and congress . This is an occupied country . Anything is possible . They’re out playing smash mouth right now. They just bought out Paramont and CBS. They are trying to change the narrative . They are trying to change the American people‘s opinion. It’s not going work.
The younger generation on the left or right wants nothing to do with this entity. They’re fully aware that this country is completely occupied.
This is the best opportunity IR has not to alienate the people of Iran and make a full pivot to China . Iran has too many sellouts among the elites . Rouhani Zariff 3rd term has been nothing but a disaster for Iran .
If SL dies before Trump is out, it is very bad for Iran. I believe he is the only one keeping it all together . He is also the road block to why Iran has not come said that they are a nuclear weapons state .
Here is the biggest voice on the right in the Western hemisphere.