Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[ghazi52]

Uncompromising rhetoric
BBC

Against this backdrop, the nature of any US strike becomes critical.

A limited attack may allow Washington to claim military success while avoiding immediate regional war, but it could also provide Iranian authorities with a pretext for another round of internal repression.

Such a scenario risks fresh crackdowns, mass arrests and a new wave of harsh sentences, including death penalties, for protesters already in detention.

At the other extreme, a broader US campaign that significantly weakens or cripples the Iranian state could push the country towards the brink of chaos.

The sudden collapse of central authority in a country of more than 90 million people would be unlikely to produce a clean or rapid transition. Instead, it could trigger prolonged instability, factional violence, and spillover effects across the region, with consequences that may take years to contain.

These risks help explain the increasingly uncompromising rhetoric from Tehran.

Senior commanders in both the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and the regular armed forces, along with senior political officials, have warned that any US attack-regardless of scale-would be treated as an act of war.

Such declarations have unsettled Iran's neighbours, particularly Gulf states hosting US forces. A rapid Iranian response would place those countries - and Israel - at immediate risk, regardless of their direct involvement, and raises the prospect of a conflict spreading far beyond Iran and the United States.

Washington, too, faces constraints. Trump has repeatedly warned Iranian authorities against using violence against protesters and, at the height of the unrest, told Iranians that "help is coming". Those remarks were widely circulated inside Iran and raised expectations among protesters.

 

[Persian Gulf]

If the de-dollarization continues, they will be in deep shit. Think about it, the richest country in history of this planet is 38 trillion dollars in debt....the annual GDP of the US is roughly 6 trillion. They amount of interest accumulating every year is 1 trillion dollars.
Also, if you know your history when the Roman empire started to die, it was keeping itself alive for the last few decades by war and conquering. Same shit here, Venezuela, Syria, Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, Greenland....etc.

GDP of the US is $31 trillion not $6 trillion

their debt is $38 trillion and in 2025 the cost of servicing the interest alone reached $1.2 trillion per year

if their currency continues to lose value, the interest cost will increase a lot each year

the US budget deficit this year is expected to be $2 trillion. so they are adding $2 trillion to the debt + $1.2 trillion in interest payments per year.

it's not very sustainable.

 

[Yasser76]

There can be no "war" in the classic sense of the word. We will see more air strikes. Iran has absorbed these in the past and will absorb them again. Already Iranians are talking to the entire neighbourhood, possibly even signalling to places like Qatar, UAE and Bahrain what strikes to expect on US bases on their soil.

US will strike, not achieve much and Iran will strike back and probably not achieve much. Both sides will look strong to their population.

Unless you send a lot of boots on the ground you cannot defeat Iran. Even that will be no guarantor of success.

What is going on is partly show and partly negotiation tactics

 

[Persian Gulf]

Guess those 200 missiles at fortified targets weren’t a mistake assuming this isn’t AI photos. @Persian Gulf @Emirzad

Question is why did they seemingly abandon that strategy to go for soft targets for PR shock value? Is due to cadence drop from 200 down to 50 missiles down to 20 missile salvos? Because Israel retaliated against Iranian airforce targets?

If they would have been able to replicate this success across the bases at the very least they would have destroyed dozens of aircraft that were refueling and reloading and brought the sortie count down. Obviously no one is expecting complete elimination of sorties or airbases.

most of these images are old or from Iran

 

[Persian Gulf]

What weapons Iran could have used last summer that it didn’t? What other assets?

Don’t you think it’s missile production infrastructure has been mostly destroyed?

Iran didn't use many weapons last time

Khorramshahr
Qasem Basir
SRBMs with < 20m CEP
anti-ship missiles

etc

 

[StrategicBear]

Since America is such a belligerent country now under Trump, I hope US forces suffer heavy casualties in an unjustified war against Iran. Trump has totally overstepped his bounds here making unprovoked threats on Iran.

I'll be praying for IRGC's victory in battle, so good luck and happy hunting!

 

[Eşbah]

Opinions?

 

[VCheng]

Unless you send a lot of boots on the ground you cannot defeat Iran.

There is no need for boots on the ground. Sustained economic pressure will do the job very effectively.

 

[r3alist]

This guy is meant to be more sympathetic to the Western side, as much as that means in Iran, and he is saying this so that is showing solidarity

 

[Yasser76]

There is no need for boots on the ground. Sustained economic pressure will do the job very effectively.

Not really. Iran has survived that for decades now. Economic tools all used up. Russia and China in no mood to go along. So explain what further economic pressure you can impose on a country already sanctioned up to the hilt?

 

[r3alist]

There is no need for boots on the ground. Sustained economic pressure will do the job very effectively.

It is doing a job on the Iranian people, certainly.

 

[VCheng]

Iran has survived that for decades now.

Surviving is good. But is it enough? What about the people, as said below:

It is doing a job on the Iranian people, certainly.

That is the real danger for Iran's stability. Cracks in the edifice are already evident.

 

[lightning f57]

GDP of the US is $31 trillion not $6 trillion

their debt is $38 trillion and in 2025 the cost of servicing the interest alone reached $1.2 trillion per year

if their currency continues to lose value, the interest cost will increase a lot each year

the US budget deficit this year is expected to be $2 trillion. so they are adding $2 trillion to the debt + $1.2 trillion in interest payments per year.

it's not very sustainable.

The world helps to sustain the US dollar and trumpy has put a bull in the china shop so that's making many countries reconsider dollar holdings.

I think 2 decade's back the debt was manageable and they even reduced it, now it definitely looks unsustainable. Maybe thats why they have wars so much, a war economy feeds everything else.

 

[Mero]

This is why the American empire is ending.....everyone hates a bully.
BRICs, Shanghai cooperation Council...the de-dollarization trade...etc.
EU building up their armies, and signing cooperation pacts. etc.
It took an idiot like Trump to speed up the process, the dollar is crashing, and banks are buying gold by the wheelbarrow to move away from the Dollar, meanwhile he thinks he's making America great. It's a traged

China doesn't want to form an alliance with any country, because they would ditch China without any hesitation if the US throws them a bone.

We just mind our own business, because no country will ever come to help China if the Yankees attack us.

China's true own ally is China itself.

Yet you sold out nation after nation for favors in unsc votes.

 

[Mero]

The Kissinger plan, send the success of the globe to china and have china only care about china, not replacing the anglo-americans.