Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Well it's around 7am Iran time if no attacks happened later tonight then it will likely happen next weekend unless some diplomatic delays occur.
Trump change his mind...he is going Cuba, regime change operation ....Pakistan regime change operation was the easiest one ...
 
With friends like the Saudis there is no need for Israel..
Amazing how treacherous these Gulfies are....we will never be free as a region as long as these corrupt Gulfies are in power...hosting foreign armies.
Just when you thought the saudis are beginning to see the light... They turn around and drive the knife deeper in your back. I i'm convinced the biggest enemy we face is not only israel, it is also the UAE and saudi arabia
 
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Trump change his mind...he is going Cuba, regime change operation ....Pakistan regime change operation was the easiest one ...
The only logical explanation is that they're still debating on how to attack...or The idea of $200 a barrel of oil is giving them pause....

Can I repeat my signature line one more time? The only way to fight a superpower and its proxies is through an energy shock.

Thank you for your attention!
 
Trump change his mind...he is going Cuba, regime change operation ....Pakistan regime change operation was the easiest one ...
No. Cuba is easy he's going to choke them to death. I had no effing clue that brother Castro was no longer president but some no name fella
 
With friends like the Saudis there is no need for Israel..
Amazing how treacherous these Gulfies are....we will never be free as a region as long as these corrupt Gulfies are in power...hosting foreign armies.
Just when you thought the saudis are beginning to see the light... They turn around and drive the knife deeper in your back. I i'm convinced the biggest enemy we face is not only israel, it is also the UAE and saudi arabia
Iranians are their own worst enemies , don't blame others for your own failure s ....,gulfies with all their faults are still smarter than the Iranian , they know how to survive and prosper where law of jungle rules.
 
Iranians are their own worst enemies , don't blame others for your own failure s ....,gulfies with all their faults are still smarter than the Iranian , they know how to survive and prosper where law of jungle rules.
You have a twisted logic..... It wasn't the iranians that led to afghanistan and iraqi destruction.
It's the fact that other muslim countries host the people that are killing muslims en masse.
It is the corrupt monarchies that rather sell out their people and their religion to stay in power.
 
What? This flip flop never occurred. Not sure what you are referring. Seems to be reading comprehension issues on your end. The whole debate started with you pushing back on my notion that Iran shouldnt have signed JCPoA with a Democrat president and did it with Republican. You can re-read prior posts and let me know where this flip flop occurred.

LOL I actually did read it again and you are the one who is rumbling nonsense, making U-turns on your own claims once countered. Low IQ or alcoholism whatever the cause is idc but here are some direct stupidities from you "Republicans are more tied to Israel than Iran is tied to Hezbollah. Democrats never have the political capital or spine to try to reset the status quo. Obama was the only one and he couldn’t get the system to buy in. I said on here many times any nuclear deal needed to be done with a Republican president. If you don’t have Republicans on board for any deal then it’s effectively just a temporary agreement. Democrats don’t rule the U.S. It’s wealthy Jewish donors and scientists and officials and executives that have swayed the Republicans into their orbit permanently. And the Epstein files means Israel has so much dirt on key deep state officials that it’s effectively blackmailing the U.S."

You were very enthusiastically pushing the idea that somehow Republicans are different thing than democrats and somehow making a deal with a Jew controlled republican is better than making deals with Jew controlled democrats. To which I replied

"Democrats are as Jew controlled as Republicans. Have always been. You are an american I hope you know dems were known as corporate controlled party back in 70s-80s. They transformed into leftists only under clintons. Clintons were clients of Epstein, would be foolish to think they were not being blackmailed by Mossad. Remember Obama and Biden provided Israel with highest order military equipment. What about AIPAC controlled characters like Fetterman, Hakeem Jefferies etc that do not even hide who owns them ? ... Dems and Republicans are two sides of same coin."

So you see, "fip-flop" did happen. You made a U-turn because your initial claim about American politics was proven to be wrong. Republicans = Democrats = AIPAC/IAC etc owned entities. JCPOA was with US deep state not Obama or Trump.

Quite a number of people did and still do support the decisions Iran made. And the ones that no longer do were quite pro IRI until they could no longer deny the direction we are heading. This place was one big echo chamber. And the ‘let the sink in’ reference was not me lecturing you, but about Putin calling Iranian leadership crazy in 2003 long before the Ahmadinejad tenure, it happened during the “peaceful” Khatami era. No global power was taking Iran seriously because they felt this leadership was nothing more than religious fanatics, no different than ISIS or Taliban in their eyes.

More low IQ stuff from you as usual. I am afraid you have ZERO and I repeat ZERO understanding of how nationalism is different from political cultism. Most of the people here are children of diaspora Iranian parents who left around revolution or some would even be dissident off-springs. Even if they hate IRI-Khamenei or disagree with his policies does not mean they would stop supporting downfall of their home country or they want their home country to be bombed to rubble by a duo of hyper military power or armed to teeth middle power that controls the other. I know even the staunch Shahists who cheered for IRGCSASF when it started landing missiles in Israel because they did not like their fellow Iranians killed by Israel and US. They are recorded cases of white Russian diaspora which left before or due to revolution but somehow they helped Stalin fight Axis during WWII. What you are calling "echo chamber" is nationalism and nothing else but you probably cant differentiate. Its never based on facts or figures. People hosting us here have per capita income lower than Eritrea and Angola, just got 80% of their bases bombed but still they support their country to extremes and it works for them. Even if majority disagrees and already knows that IRI is inherently wrong by design being a dysfunctional Islamo-Marxist system, does not mean they would not be supporting its current military arm that they know will do anything to save Iran. You probably are raised in money minded disloyal household so you have no emotional attachment to Iran but majority here does myself included, no matter even if our parents had to leave Iran due to IRI or Khomeini/Khamenei. You dont have to repeat your "ground breaking" "Let that Sink in" rumblings here 24/7 here with Putin and Xi and Mao quotes. If Iranians were such uninformed people we would not have very successful large diasporas in western world (check per capita income of US-Iranians). People left because they saw faults of IRI and still do but have to support their country no matter who the government is. You are apparently one of those stupid soothsayer diaspora Iranian who thinks he is the only one with google and a phone and that others around need to be taught everything already known. I know plenty of such cases. Stop feeling like some intellectual.

You also proclaimed within the last fews that iran was entering into a strategic alliance with Russia.

Provide Evidence I said this or you are a troll.

That this time is different. You claimed that Iran was going to reverse AL-31 (either via ToT or Iranian progress) due to some chart that an Iranian official threw up in another bogus press conference.

Remember that? Remember the debate we had Dr. Menson? Remember I told you there is zero chance Russia would hand over ToT for Russian jet engines. You were convinced there was this period of strategic alliance with Russia. That alliance instead went to North Korea, not iran.

Provide Evidence I said "Iran was going to reverse AL-31" or you are a troll.

Also mind you alcohol guy, forget some LP or TOT ... Russia is already giving some ~ 100 AL-31F to Iran in form of SU-35S. They have also provided Saljut AL-222 in form of YAK-130 (some say 18 airframes so 36 turbofans ??). So why would Iran even need local turbofans anymore when some 130-140 units of modern most turbofans are arriving already inside Iran? If Last 3-4 years wars/conflicts have taught us anything, airbases are highly vulnerable to ALBMs, Hypersonics BM, Stealth and supersonic SOWs. No harm in accepting that attack weaponry has far exceeded ABMs/AD. Fattah-1, Kheybar Shikan-I/II, Khinzal, Golden Horizon, P-800 Oniks are invincible for now even if we count some minor khinzal intercepts. Worlds best ABM/AD layered shield failed to stop Fattah and Kheybar Shikan, even once. I would rather Iran have no AF for atleast 2-3 more years then expensive fleet turned to rubble on ground. No harm in accepting the changing doctrine.

Also when the news came out there was no Yak or SUkhoi deal. Manochehr Manteghi, the TEM veteran (responsible for domestic Tolue/OWJ/Jahesh turbojets/fans program) barely showed a slide of intention of creating a large Turbofan that resembled or was taken pic of AL-31F. Babak T confirmed Iranian official request of LP/TOT of turbofans inside Iran in his key-aero Article. Later Iran bagged a rather large order of YAK-130 (AT/M) + SU-35S + MIG-29M/SMT + SU-24MK2 upgradation so may be there is no need of local heavy turbojet/fan anymore. Policy change after observing missile effectiveness > airforce may be ?. All in all, I would have rather believed in Manteghi the propulsion veteran, BT the aviation journalist vs a low IQ troll on internet. I hope you understand my position.

Putin never thought of Khamenai as anything more than a religious fanatic. And he used him for the Ukraine war then tossed him aside. The reformists pushing Western integration didn’t help either.

We have all had bad takes myself included. But let’s not act like you are infallible either. In fact you act in many ways just like me when you speak.

I and (many others) wrote pages and pages here on how Russia and Iran are rivals in hydrocarbon market, how Russia has backstabbed IRI three times in weapon deals, even supported sanctions on IRI. I was the one who pointed out how IRI just gave up its share of Caspian sea to Russia because of blackmailing moscow did, IRI getting nothing in return for INSTC, Shahed TOTs etc. I am an Azeri, our land and people got divided by Russia. You have the main character syndrome who thinks others are stupid.

No. But you cannot say there “thousands of missiles” aimed at PGCC when there isn’t. With such logic, US and Israel have 25,000 cruise missiles “aimed” and thousands of nukes “aimed” at Iran. Theoretical fire power doesn’t mean much as the 12 day war clearly demonstrated. You can have 10,000 missiles but if you struggle to fire even 100 a day, the firepower is muted.



So the countless press reporters they paraded around showing of the silos and missile cities and all the military officials (not just Salami) warning of quick response was just propaganda? Khamenai’s speeches were propaganda? Solemani’s speeches were propaganda?

Many on here thought that Israeli bases would be eliminated with a couple hundred missiles. (Maybe you did at one point too, who knows don’t feel like pulling your chat history to prove a random point).

Now suddenly we should disregard everything Iranian officials said as propaganda? So then everyone saying Israeli just barks and never attacks Iran should be shutting up on here instead of continuing to run their mouths like fanboys.

I have never even discussed Israeli bases as I have always been in favor of going after softer more pain inducing target points. Something, IRGCASF learnt middle of the war. So you are lying through your teeth or just are low IQ delusional person which is even more sad. As a matter of fact considering that IRI has launched close to 1200 BMs at Israel in span of 1 year and has established deterrence (enemy never repeating) through tit-for-tat strikes came as a surprise to me. Against Persian Gulf kingdoms, Turkey, Azerbaijan their oil infra structure, forward bases etc the task will be more easier.

Also I am sorry if you got fooled by globally practiced military propaganda stunts. Everyone claims, boosts, creates narratives. Israel also issued gag order on any footage of ground zero where missiles landed. Israeli police was arresting people with cameras on such sites. Obviously to hide damage, casualties. IRI did its fair share of narrative building. Thing is, serious people, rational people, those who understand wars do not get concerned with narratives, they see realities. If you failed to do so then its none of my concern. You are adding zero value here with your rumblings.

That’s not what I said at all. Again your reading comprehension is all over the place. It doesn’t matter if the artillery are destroyed after a week. The damage to Seoul in first 24 hours will be extensive and catastrophic. It’s a valid deterrent that many observers know about. North Korea has nothing to lose vs South Korea that has its entire built up industrial base.

The entire point was you saying that North Korea doesn’t have the courage to use Nuclear weapons if its attacked . And I said that isn’t the first lever they will pull. They can do considerable damage with conventional weapons.

Thats exactly what you said and also what kind of imbecile scenario is this lol ? first 24 hours? lol the moment DPRK the 15 Billion USD GDP hermit starved kingdom launches its first projectile to attack Japan, South Korea or US assets in region, the opposing alliance will crush the DPRK from air and through missiles which everyone has now, probably even better ones than DPRK. They have no AF, no cutting edge AD. Their only deterrence is nuke only but so does 5 other countries that got bombed in recent times and did not nuke the other party. Your entire logic is crap.

Same could be said about Iran right now if U.S./Israel attack. Iran’s airforce isn’t going to put up a fight against F-22, F-35, or F-18 and it’s supposed “modern layered AD” was exposed by Israeli drones and couldn’t put up a fight against an opponent who had to fly from 1200 miles everyday (unless you really think everything was hit by air launched BMs).

If you were hoping that Iranian airforce can put up a fight against USAF/USN/IAF then you need to ask for a self-ban on this forum literally. Are you operating under the belief that that somehow regional power IRI would beat the "shat out" of US/NATO/Israel altogether ? man just stop it already, its getting funny now. And yes majority strikes came from ALBMs (Gold Horizon, Sparrow, Rocks), SOWs (Ice breaker, Delilah) + internally launched weaponry by terrorist. What exactly is your point?

You do realize Russia and NK have a strategic defense agreement? That includes a mutual defense clause?

How do you think NK even took this massive leap in missile development with its puny GDP? Russia has transferred engines and direct know how. Anyone thinking that some how NK went from this troubled liquid Tapeodong program to a massive multi array of ICBMs/IRBMs in less than a decade with its broke ass GDP (as you allude to) is delusional. It comes directly from Russian and Chinese assistance and tech transfers.

China entered in the Korean War directly and fought the US. In the 60’s. They will not let North Korea become a U.S. satellite banana country. That’s a red line.

So yes both China and Russia will defend North Korea if they are attacked by West or SK first. Unlike Iran which neither party seems in any urgency to even help.

I am sorry but I dont do woulda-shoulda-coulda BS. We will see what DPRK is made of when they will actually face a war against multi trillion USD first world economies and militaries. Will alliances hold ? will their liquid fueled high conventional IRBMs be able to land on west coast US or will be shot down in middle ? will they be able to attack Seoul for 24 hours continuously while other far superior sides will magically go into paralysis as per your scenario ? Somehow the country who is losing average height to starvation and lives on food stamps will end up defeating world powers because China and Russia will give upon their trillion USD trade with west and rush to save fat Kim. Lol you people are full of it. You sound like some fan boi teens here who think Taliban crushed US so it left.

This country was the ultimate paper tiger when everyone claimed it was Israel and U.S. who were.

Provide Evidence that "everyone claimed U.S. was a paper tiger" or you are a troll.

Look at how many planes Saddam shot down in Persian Gulf I & II. Iran couldn’t shoot down a SINGLE Israeli plane despite have air defense systems that Saddam could only dream of. The incompetence is outstanding. The missile force while a bright spot couldn’t keep fire cadence for more than a few days and by day 12 was firing 15-20 missiles a day. Yet delusional people on here say “Israel” asked for the ceasefire. Yeah because they accomplished what the were realistically going to accomplish outside of regime change.

You have no understanding of Wars. Saddam got his azz whooped and got his country destroyed into submission to the point that their oil is no longer theirs. Worlds 5th largest reserves that could have turned his country to a regional power. IRI with its inherent faults is still standing, nothing is destroyed or changed. Even if the change comes it will be from inside, IRGC coup may be but it wont be Saddam's rubbled Iraq by any means, so who won the war in the end? Because you are an immature person you think wars are fought by who shot down 1-2 planes and whose missile hit what building. They really are not. Even if IRI manages to magically shoot 40 US jets you think US will back out of its war goals? Did mass assassination of IRGC generals stop IRGCASF from lobbing 700 Missiles on Israel the armed to teeth military power? Strategic outcomes comes from strategic posturing in which IRI despite being a despotic regime prevailed and Baathist Arabs failed otherwise they would have been still here but they are not. From POV of ideological IRI cultists, they are winning just by continuing, they can beat up any regional country, they have trade surpluses still exporting high MBPDs, they sit with super powers on regional matters. Even right now US and IRI are talking on Maliki's return in Baghdad. IRI is many things but not stupid by any means. You will not understand it so better stick to North Korean 24 hours shelling scenario on Seoul, Tokyo and Washington and what not. Jeez.

Also IRGCASF caused much more damage during last phases of war then early mass strike where they wasted 200 missiles on well defended targets. Why waste more missiles when enemy is retreating from attacking your oil infra-structure, your strategic institutions etc against after receiving tit for tats on its own same nature targets ? If 5 tonnes of warhead is doing that then why waste more? also it is safe to think that number of launches got reduced because backdoor talks were going on otherwise ceasefire would not have come suddenly. I am rather more surprised by the facts that CoC got re-established so quickly (12 hours), the force successfully kept enemy from going after oil infra-structure even after enemy tried (fajr alam strike vs Bazan response etc 8 days before ceasefire). Israeli's eventual war goals kept on changing and none got fulfilled. Half a Tonne HEU is still inside Iran, IRI is still in power, just did 112 Billion USD worth exports, military is now more battle hardened, thrice funded as per Khamenei so what did Israel actually achieve except for killing some 70 years old generals like Salami ?that you were somehow expecting to provide you with harsh military critique presentations.

Bulk of what? What are you talking about? Venezuela oil exports was a meager 850,000 mbpd of which most of that goes to China.

So Russia “owning” what oil? The 100,000 barrels a day left over? Is this a joke?

By the way that number doesn’t count the U.S. owned wells (see below). Do you really think Russia has the deep pockets to spend 200B+ required to get Venezuela’s fields developed all for another extra 500,000MBPD? Venezuela is a long way away from exporting oil in big numbers without the U.S. oil companies deep pockets.



Again you have no idea what you are talking about.

Oil producer Chevron is set to boost exports of Venezuelan crude to the U.S. to some 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) in March, from 100,000 bpd in December and some 230,000 bpd so far this month,

Four Chevron-PDVSA oil joint ventures are producing between 240,000 and 250,000 bpd of heavy crude grades that are popular among U.S. Gulf Coast refiners. Output cuts applied by PDVSA to some oilfields since early January did not hit Chevron's projects, separate sources said.

Chevron, which for months was the only company authorized by Washington to export Venezuelan oil to the U.S. as part of an exemption to sanctions, is now competing with trading houses Vitol and Trafigura, which earlier this month were granted U.S. licenses to export Venezuelan oil and fuel to the U.S. and other destinations under a flagship $2 billion supply deal.



I will tell you how you are confused. You are mixing licenses, routing and ownership like they are the same thing. Chevron exporting more crude to the US does not mean the US “owns” Venezuelan oil. It means US is changing what is legally allowed and what can be moved without getting grabbed, and companies are acting accordingly. Press literally spells out the shift toward a broad general license that lifts some sanctions, which is a permissions change, not some fairy tale story about "ownership". Chevron CEO openly said they can process another 100000 bpd of Venezuelan crude in the US. Thats authorized liftings, not ownership, not “America controls Venezuela’s oil.” Learn the vocabulary before you go soothsayer. If you keep calling it “ownership” you are just advertising that you dont understand what you’re reading.

https://www.reuters.com/business/en...sanctions-venezuelan-oil-industry-2026-01-27/ (BOE Report)

https://www.reuters.com/business/en...-crude-its-us-refineries-ceo-says-2026-01-30/ (Reuters)

Now the part you keep dodging because it ruins your claims is that China has been the main destination for Venezuelan crude. China took 75% of Venezuelan oil exports, and it explains the blockade constraints. Maduro stunt changed nothing. You probably saw one temporary headline and decided to create opinion. https://www.reuters.com/business/en...t-drop-us-blockade-limits-cargoes-2026-01-14/ (Reuters)
Forget China ... Russia has major ownership stakes in Venezuelan oil through Roszarubezhneft, the Russian state company. They have publicly said the assets they hold and develop in Venezuela are property of the Russian state and they intend to keep operating them. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russia-counters-trumps-assertion-over-oil-venezuela-2026-01-13/

You also claimed in this thread that Iran is sending 5.5MBPD of oil to China when the number by most reputable sources is around 1.5MBPD. I am not sure where you get your energy data from but it’s grossly inaccurate.

You are wasting everyone's time here.

screenshot-2026-01-27-at-09-28-00-png.175055
 
You have a twisted logic..... It wasn't the iranians that led to afghanistan and iraqi destruction.
It's the fact that other muslim countries host the people that are killing muslims en masse.
It is the corrupt monarchies that rather sell out their people and their religion to stay in power.
Don't be dishonest , Iranians welcomed the Americans in Iraq and Afghanistan and offered help to the Americans which the Americans refused to accept.
 
Don't be dishonest , Iranians welcomed the Americans in Iraq and Afghanistan and offered help to the Americans which the Americans refused to accept.
Yes...against Al Qaieda and the Taliban....those aren't normal citizens...both are constructs of your backward Whabbi mentality....they murdered Muslims as easily as the Westerners.
 
Yes...against Al Qaieda and the Taliban....those aren't normal citizens...both are constructs of your backward Whabbi mentality....they murdered Muslims as easily as the Westerners.
Nice spin , please desist whabbi , Sunni and Shia sectarianism , we will do better without it .
 
Many are saying hia accent is aghwani?
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Well it's around 7am Iran time if no attacks happened later tonight then it will likely happen next weekend unless some diplomatic delays occur.
The US military buildup will probably take 1 or 2 weeks more then Trump will sign the war order if Iran rejects the US ultimatum. People can compare the number of weeks the US needed for military buildup before to strike against Iraq.
The US will likely strike Iran political, military centers, airport, bridges, oil and gas infrastructure. That will look very ugly after mass destruction. Trump wants to bomb everything to ashes. Iran helps Russia war against Ukraine. Where is Putin?

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The US military buildup will probably take 1 or 2 weeks more then Trump will sign the war order if Iran rejects the US ultimatum. People can compare the number of weeks the US needed for military buildup before to strike against Iraq.
The US will likely strike Iran political, military centers, airport, bridges, oil and gas infrastructure. That will look very ugly after mass destruction. Trump wants to bomb everything to ashes. Iran helps Russia war against Ukraine. Where is Putin?

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There are decent chances war will be avoided..Iran will come to the negotiating table , will get some kind of face saving.... Iranian nuclear issue will be resolved .
 
いや、はっきりさせておくよ。

1) ミサイルの誘導誤差は、「ジャイロスコープの精度が距離とともに低下する」ことから生じるのではありません。慣性航法システムでは、ジャイロスコープと加速度計の両方が誤差の原因となります。誤差は主に飛行時間によって蓄積され、飛行距離によって蓄積されるものではありません。
ジャイロバイアス --> 位置誤差はおよそ t^2 (軌道上で費やされる時間の二乗) に比例して増加します。
加速度計のバイアス ---> 位置誤差は t^2 または t^3 (軌道上で費やされた時間の 3 乗) のいずれかで増加します。良好な加速度計の場合は t^2、不良な加速度計の場合は t^3 です。

確かに、短距離ミサイルはドリフトが少ないですが、それは飛行距離が短いからではなく、空中にいる時間が短いからなのです。この違いは重要です。物理的な力も重要ですが、現代のジャイロスコープは振動に非常に強いため、軌道上で過ごす時間ほどは重要ではありません。

2) 計算してみましょう: イランからイラク/ペルシャ湾までの飛行時間は、発射場所に応じて 3 ~ 5 分です。

イランからイスラエル:飛行時間は約10~12分です。
それぞれの平均を取ると、4 分と 11 分になります。

11分 / 4分 = 2.75。では、これらの誤差がどれだけ蓄積されるか計算してみましょう。ジャイロの誤差寄与は(2.75^2) = 7.56倍増加します。加速度計の誤差寄与は、最悪で(2.75^3)、最高で(2.75^2)増加します。つまり、さらに8~20倍の誤差が蓄積されることになります。

これらの違いは非常に大きいです。
地球の自転や海岸位相の影響などについては考慮していません。

3) 2種類のMRBMがあると仮定しましょう。どちらもほぼ同じ目標に向かっていますが、片方は速度が2倍です。速度が2倍のMRBMは、低速のMRBMと比較して、ジャイロバイアスと加速度計バイアスによる誤差が1/4から1/8しか蓄積しません。速度の速いMRBMは物理的な力の影響を大きく受けますが、軌道を調整することでそれを考慮に入れることができます。2段式MRBMは飛行中は高速ですが、再突入時には単段式とほぼ同じ速度で着陸するため、終端速度は同じになります。最終的には、飛行時間を短縮することで得られる精度は、物理的な力の影響によって失われる精度よりも高くなります。

3) SRBM、特に2020年以降は、終末誘導方式という大きな利点があります。SRBMの落下速度は2~3km/秒ですが、MRBMは4km/秒以上で再突入します。これは赤外線/レーダー探知機にとって大きな問題です。弾頭の周囲にプラズマが形成されるため、速度が速すぎると視界が遮られてしまいます。この速度を低下させるには、弾頭を尖らせるのではなく、より鈍角にすることが挙げられますが、これはSRBMよりもMRBMでは困難です。

ターミナルの操縦性も同様で、コース修正にかかる時間が大幅に短縮され、

4) 長距離弾道ミサイルは、地球の自転(コリオリの力)と、時間の経過とともに蓄積される小さな角度誤差(この点では正しいですが、誤差は小さいです)に対処する必要があります。

5) 最後に、2019年のアル・アサド空軍基地への攻撃とアル・ウデイド空軍基地への攻撃はどちらも高い精度を示しました。2019年のアル・アサド空軍基地への攻撃では50mCEP未満、2025年のアル・ウデイド空軍基地への攻撃では25mCEP未満でした。これは非常に高い精度です。

イランのSRBMは破壊力がある。ほとんどが固体燃料で、非常に危険なものだ。なぜ作り話をするんだ?
From an engineer's perspective, your argument is physically correct.
Too many people on this forum believe the accuracy dropped due to Israeli GPS jamming or evasive maneuvers.
In reality, the poor accuracy of Iranian missiles far exceeds the minimum error from INS, which is due to the missile's inferior control system. It is not because Israel possesses advanced technology.
Regarding evasive maneuvers, since they occur just before impact, the resulting deviation is minimal. It's a basic fact that positioning errors increase proportionally to the square of the time.
In other words, if Iran possessed competent technology, Israel would have been unable to jam it, and even if forced into evasive maneuvers, the missiles would have struck their critical targets regardless.
It's purely because Iran's technological level is too low that Israel and the US are so confident
 
I think Russia / Putin would be hoping that war erupts bw US (hired by Israel) versus Iran. As this war will effectively block strait of hormuz. Through which a lot of oil passes through. Russia is one of largest oil producing nation, demand for its oil will go significantly higher on any global disruptions.

GCC countries on other hand won't like that to happen as strait of hormuz is like a life line for their economy.
 

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