Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Iran is now Saddam post 1991. Sure Baathist still have power, but they are so weakened and under sanctions they aren’t a threat to their neighbors. Saddam ruled over a corpse of a nation.

IRGC + Elite are in similar shoes. The Islamic republic is still in power, but the are now so weakened they aren’t a true military threat in the region.

How many times is Iran going to rebuild these tunnels for the U.S. to just bomb?



The military losses are likely in the tens of billions of dollars and will eclipse 100B+ the longer the war goes on.

The corpse of the Air Force is being destroyed





And the best Iranian air defenses are no match for even US drones:



The nuclear program has been laying under rubble for a year.

Not sure how you think that Iran holds any cards to reverse these realities.

Iran’s deterrence was being able to turn the Middle East on fire with Hz, Iraq, Houthis, and Hamas. When it was in Syria it would have forced the US and Israel to fight an aerial war in 5 countries (Yemen, Iran, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon) which would be a lot harder for any air force on the planet and would strain their enemies. It would allow more missiles to be fired and air defenses to be able to handle the strain and it would result in the enemy’s shield letting plenty of projectiles thru.

Iran has none of what Solemani built. It’s the weakest it’s been in 15 years.

That's because iran, focused on proxies rather then its own defense it overestimated the deterrence of non nuclear missile
 
I view Epstein as a megalomaniac who wanted to achieve greatness through flesh trade. Obviously, he had many famous 'customers'. Some people aspire for 'greatness' by acquiring wealth, some by physical power. He resorted to the oldest profession. I think the world is full of many Epsteins; he just became the 'greatest' of them all (that we know).

Yes, Israel is certainly full of them.
 
Iran has shot down 22 Israeli/US drones in 2 days



mostly MALE Hermes drones

That is good, everything else from air is manageable for defending/avoiding due human and devices fatigue,.
 


interestingly, Araghchi earlier said the armed forces are acting independently of centralised political commands

this is the mosaic doctrine, to ensure Iran continues fighting even with total loss of contact with the leadership
 
Ah yes - the man who supported nonsense such as Helicopter snipers, Wing in ground effect aircraft and the Qaher toy.

Instead of focusing that money on actual projects like the ballistics, cruise and drone systems or even more hardened air defenses.
Not that its sucessors were any serious..they had the money 🤷
 
@Immortals

Making a prediction right now feels like a gamble but I think you're being overly optimistic for the future. Neither the US nor Israel will permit Iran to regain its power or heal from its injuries anytime soon. I also don't believe this conflict is merely a kinetic exchange. It has many dimensions.

What we are witnessing now is just the beginning.

Even if the fighter jets cease their flights over Tehran and missiles vanish from the skies of the Middle East, the harassment and weakening of Iran will continue. They have already dismissed you. There's no future where Iran and Israel could coexist in the Middle East peacefully. Don't be naive.

Once this war stops, ethnic terrorists will start their attacks for years to come. Right now, purely from a strategic perspective, Iran has no chance but to fight the long game. Dragging them into a prolonged, exhausting and tiring war is really the only viable option left for Iran.

Don't let your hopes cloud your judgement.
 

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