Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[جوبا]

Not even cargo ships (green arrows) passing through anymore
initially only tankers ( red arrows) were being stopped but it seems all traffic has ceased currently, the only movement are fishing ships apparently with IR tags

 

[hasssanali8998]

btw who is responsible for choosing the targets now

 

[ToddE]

Decoys being hit

 

[AZ_HighCountry]

Decoys being hit

This looks like the posts from last June are being reposted.

 

[Falcon29]

Was that little rocket gimmick really worth it?

I read Hezbollah's statement.

It said this is a warning for how the future will go. Meaning this is a one and done from Hezbollah's end. But that they will respond to future Israeli violations (unrelated to current Iran Israel US conflict) of ceasefire from now on

They want to change equation where Israel is doing daily strikes for a year straight

 

[ToddE]

btw who is responsible for choosing the targets now

Local field commanders, decentralized command structure or Mosaic doctrine at work. It has been studied in depth in regards with IRGC before.

The moment Khamenei and his gang is gone (no bashing), we are seeing less mercy from IRGCASF with clustered warheads and zero "brotherly" love for zio pups of PG.

 

[ToddE]

This looks like the posts from last June are being reposted.

No chance, the author is a well renowned and publishing aviation journalist who is never wrong about aviation news.

 

[Shags101]

This looks like the posts from last June are being reposted.

We getting that a lot my friend it’s been interesting few days to say the least hopefully if you have any friends over there they are safe and sound

 

[Tamerlane]

We're getting the bulk of our updates from X/Twitter, but the site is being heavily censored.

A couple of hours ago I saw a tweet from a Saudi showing the Hyatt Regency in Riyadh heavily damaged and on fire. The poster was cursing Iran in Arabic. A few minutes later the post disappeared. Now if you search for 'Riyadh' all you see is prostitutes advertising their services.

Elon Musk is an Islamophobe and is working with the US/Israeli governments to spread disinformation.

 

[AZ_HighCountry]

No chance, the author is a well renowned and publishing aviation journalist who is never wrong about aviation news.

I'll certainly give the benefit of the doubt. Just commenting that particular post looked very similar to a couple from June.

 

[Cash gk]

What are updates just awake

 

[AZ_HighCountry]

What are updates just awake

You have at least a couple hundred pages to read.

 

[Tamerlane]

 

[ToddE]

IRGC should not stop, throw everything with full force because enemy (17 countries) would not stop spilling Iranian blood in whatever way. Even if the Larijani led new system starts talks, IRGCASF should cluster fuk them all up so atleast majority of them think 10 times before touching Iranian nation again. The ABM/AD shield has failed completely against Fattah, K-4 and even Sejjil now. In some time the entire interceptor stock will be gone and then strikes will become even easier. This is a strategic decision IRGC has to make otherwise we will again be getting bombed by NATO, US, EU, Israeli in 2-3 months.

 

[EugeneP]

IRAN IS NOW MILITARILY NAKED

The IDF dropped over 2,000 bombs in 30 hours and achieved air superiority over Iranian airspace on Day One. Read that again. Air superiority over a nation of 88 million people with the largest ballistic missile arsenal in the Middle East, accomplished before the second sunrise.

Here is what that means in physics, not politics.

The HQ-9B air defense ring protecting Tehran was inactivated. The S-300PMU-2 batteries that Russia delivered in 2016, the crown jewel of Iranian integrated air defense, were struck in the opening waves alongside their associated radar systems. The IDF conducted 700 sorties. CENTCOM hit over 1,000 targets. The New York Times confirmed that half of Iran’s ballistic missile launchers have now been destroyed across the June 2025 and February 2026 campaigns combined.

Half.

Iran entered 2025 with an estimated 3,000 ballistic missiles and roughly 400 mobile launchers distributed across hardened sites, tunnel networks, and dispersal positions refined over three decades. The IRGC Aerospace Force built the most sophisticated road-mobile missile architecture outside of China and Russia. Ghadr-1 variants with 1,950-kilometer range. Emad precision-guided reentry vehicles. Kheibar Shekan solid-fuel missiles designed specifically to evade Israeli early warning.

That architecture is being dismantled in real time.

The IDF released footage of F-35I Adirs destroying TEL vehicles (transporter-erector-launchers) on open roads. CENTCOM published video of Tomahawks striking hardened missile storage facilities. B-2 stealth bombers hit sites that survived the June campaign using 2,000-pound penetrating munitions. Israel-Alma’s battlefield assessment logged 62 separate waves of Iranian launches, each wave smaller than the last, confirming the progressive degradation of launch capacity in real time.

This is the Scud hunt problem from 1991, solved.

Coalition forces spent the entire Gulf War failing to suppress Iraqi mobile Scud launchers in the western desert. The kill rate was near zero despite thousands of sorties. The difference now: persistent ISR from space-based sensors, AI-assisted targeting, and F-35 sensor fusion creating kill chains that compress the detect-to-destroy timeline from hours to minutes. The mobile launcher that once survived by relocating between launches now gets struck during erection sequence.

And here is the implication no one is stating plainly.

Iran’s air defense network is the only thing standing between whatever enriched uranium remains and a future strike that removes it permanently. The 408 kilograms of 60% enriched material that the IAEA flagged before June 2025 was never fully accounted for. Defense Minister Katz admitted Israel does not know where all of it went. If that material exists in any recoverable form, the air defense architecture that would have protected it during a breakout attempt is now burning across 24 provinces.

Iran is not just losing a war. Iran is losing the physical capacity to protect the one asset that guaranteed regime survival: the latent nuclear option.

Without air defenses, without launchers, without command structure, the nuclear hedge is exposed.

The Islamic Republic just became the first nuclear-threshold state to be stripped of its deterrent in real time while the world watches.

(Shanaka Perera)

I have a basic question: Iran seems to have depended almost entirely on missile technology for its national defense for over 3 decades. If they have designed, developed (or acquired) so many missiles of various kinds, why is their targeting so poor? Most of the hits they seem to have achieved so far are civilian structures like apartment buildings and hotels. Most seem to be just random hits than intended targets. Hard to believe they intentionally targeted some 20-story apartment tower in Dubai in preference to, say, Israeli Airforce runways. Runways are 6,000+ ft long. They seem to have not hit even one runway or military plane on ground or navy ship at port.