Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[Mighty_Dragon_Strike]

Heres a very simple formula

US Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system total = 8 units

Each system has 6 launchers that means total 48 launchers

Each launcher has 8 interceptors long story short it means 384 interceptors

The production of interceptors is very very slow due to complexity and cost is over $5 million per pop

Total US inventory is between 700-800 interceptors

So far estimate suggested US has between 400-500 left last year alone they used 96 x interceptors mostly during True Promise 3

For each incoming missile US + Israel use multiple interceptors yesterday they fired over 20 and Iranian missile still landed

So the formula is will US and Israel run out of interceptors begore Iran runs out of missiles + drones?

Once the interceptors are exhausted US and Israel will be at the mercy of Iranian Fatteh 1,2, Emad, Shahab-3, Sejjil and Kheibar missiles

And when they are landing the devastation on the ground will be huge

They killed Khamenei and thought the Iranians were going to come to the streets and overthrow the government

They forgot to add to that what happens of this plan fails, the chances of a loss for US + Israel will increase dramatically



View attachment 182371View attachment 182372

even so, time frame this short, not like 2 to 3 months to exhaust all the upper atmosphere interceptors

 

[baqai]

Friendly fire is always an issue. During earlier GW 1 & 2, Patriots shot down RAF Tornados and USN F-18s.
India shot down its own MI17 during the skirmish of 2019.

You have IFF - Identification Friend or Foe system onboard. It is supposed to transmit a message that authenticate you as a friendly for AD system. Maybe the updated codes were not shared with the Kuwaiti batteries.

i would had accepted the FF theory if it had happened during the very first few hours of the conflict, do they want us to believe that it was the very first sortie of F-15E in that airspace? Kuwait never had any IFF data prior to that sortie?

I personally think they fell victim to undeclared SAM asset acquired by Iran, maybe S4000 / HQ9 ?? i think i read rumors on this forum only about them getting it?

 

[PakSword]

The US will get the GCC to send troops on ground I feel. He can't send US troops because of the disapproval at home.

Let's see.

No country in the GCC will send a single soldier unless Israel carries out a false flag.

 

[Mighty_Dragon_Strike]

 

[StrategicBear]

Today seems a pretty slow day for exchange of attacks compared to the previous 2 days...

Is everyone resting from the fight or what?

 

[Ali_Baba]

Tune into BBC World Service today - interesting comment from Israeli President.

I have had it on all day in the background. Must have missed(distracted). Anything specific he said?

 

[313Ghazi]

I thought Iranians denied striking Aramco...

They said they didn't do it. Doesnt mean someone else didnt.

Cant trust the hook nosed ones.

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

Israel has nothing in common with us. We are natural enemies. Turkey is a neighbor, we share the same religion, there are millions of Turks in Iran. Yet they did everything they could to enable this war.

There will be a day Israel no longer has any use for them. They will get what they deserve and I will celebrate that day.

As far as I know, President Erdogan and his govt did everything they could to oppose the US - Israeli war on Iran. The American fighter jets are blocked from using Turkiye airspace nor can they take off Turkiye soil to attack Iran. Besides, "Israeli" officials are clearly saying Turkiye is the new Iran.

Even when the crippling sanctions were imposed on Iran, Turkiye were one nations who traded with Iran and offered a lifeline.

 

[HAIDER]

SA will not abandon USA. Let's face it please.

Saudi provided bases and free petrol during 2nd floor against Germans and there allies. Since then this love story is getting stronger and stronger.

Intresting .

Historical Documents - Office of the Historian

history.state.gov 3.0 shell

history.state.gov

The Deal That Keeps the Oil Flowing | Epicenter

Weatherhead Fellow and former engineering economist for Saudi Aramco Jenny Spalding addresses the evolution of the US-Saudi oil-for-security bargain and its effect on global energy security.

epicenter.wcfia.harvard.edu

 

[LeonBlack08]

No country in the GCC will send a single soldier unless Israel carries out a false flag.

Which they have an illustrious history of.

 

[Persian Gulf]

So. Did I miss anything?

 

[Persian Gulf]

Satellite imagery shows significant damage at ARAMCO oil refinery after 'debris' hits it



Qatar LNG production halted, largest gas producer in the world, responsible for 20% of the world's gas production, after strikes by Iran

next step is to attack the Saudi east to west pipeline so Saudi cannot export oil from the Red Sea either.

 

[TallGuy]

Cat is out of bag! after day 4 things will get really shitty! for GCC. if they bring it via Air, they have to land somewhere open game on runways will negate that as well. then what bring the reinforcement on the other side (Red Sea) how long will it take and any Iranian worth their salt will hit entry points. making it very very hard and time consuming!

GCC needs to get of fight by 4-5th day.

 

[Oldenwisdom...قول بزرگ]

China's publicly available oil reserves totaled approximately 1.2-1.38 billion barrels. This is previous data.

Last year (2025), China imported a large amount of oil from around the world, the vast majority of which was used for strategic reserves. A conservative estimate puts China's current total oil reserves at around 2 billion barrels.

US gambit here is to choke the options... make good with Russia and cutoff Iran... offer Venezuelan oil as direct sale to China as an alternative.
They know that China's passive approach canbe only be undermined by taking away the options.
However if this conflict is prolonged... will present a unique opportunity to China as the sole and unscathed party coming out.... where zion seeks to take over the leadership of the collective and the middle east much bruised. China will be scot free...
Which is why US has decided to take the asymmetric approach. The US has reached a conclusion that it simply cannot out compete China in both production and technology. In fact the whole collective has not been able to out produce Russia alone. This conflict may also be the first to render CBGs as limited utility high cost weapons that are not suited for future conflict... except in open seas.

However Iran due its geography is in a position... it is cost prohibitive to takeover in an operation such as the one conducted by the US... at best it is designed as a financial burden to collapse internally over time.

 

[Rational Philosopher]

Today seems a pretty slow day for exchange of attacks compared to the previous 2 days...

Is everyone resting from the fight or what?

I suspect Iran is running low on launchers compared to day 1.