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Iran needs to be ready. Make this a disaster for them!
Iranians can try as much negotiations, but Israel won't stop until it finish of. So my suggestion for Iranians would be to continue and also demonstrate that their abilities are not diminishing.Hope the Iranians are level headed to realize this is an opportunity to negotiate and bring a stop to all this.
Let’s see if the news is true.
Iran needs to be ready. Make this special operation a disaster for them to remember!
Hope the Iranians are level headed to realize this is an opportunity to negotiate and bring a stop to all this.
Let’s see if the news is true.
Here we go ..................
The proxies are dithering1. They still have proxies like Hezbollah, Iraqi Resistance and Houthis. And building drones and launching them doesn't require as much infrastructure as missiles, so they'll switch to suicide drones as the main force, perhaps new models with jet engines or turboprop around MACH 1 to make it faster than the usual Shaheds.
2. Infrastructure can be rebuilt. Unless the US is willing to bomb every single day or week to prevent the rebuilding of the infrastructure, you'd eventually need to put boots on the ground to capture territory to deny Iran's ability to produce and rebuild things.
3. And finally, no war can be won just from aerial bombings only on a country the size of Iran. The US intelligence just assumed that they have taken out most of Iran's missiles and launchers, but satelite surveillance and HUMINT can only go so far to find out the real scale of Iran's assets.
Not everything can be discovered just from satelite date as most of the action happens deep underground as Iran has 30+ missile cities and perhaps dozens more underground sites for all sorts of weapons production needs the US still don't know about.
I trust Iranian officials when they said they "prepared for a long war" because Iran is close to Russia and China so they would have gotten sound advice from them on hardening shelters, dispersal, etc , and those underground mountain bases are definitely secure from US bunker busters now, with means to get out from there via tunneling even if entrances are entombed by US bombings.
It looks the the Americans will try to land ground troops in the south of Iran and maybe try and take the Khargh Island, possible Bandar Abbas too. Of course they are going to bombard first before the landings to soften the targets. I wonder if Iranian forces have the capacity to withstand a ground assault and expel the American ground troops.
I kind of agree with this guy of his assessment. He has been quite reliable throughout the Russia-Ukraine war.
Preemptive strikes with what - Iranian AF is nonexistentIt's Iran that self-imposed the rules in the first place. As I've stated on this thread before, I'm in favor of Preemptive Strikes to take out as many enemy targets as possible before their Air Power can start to diminish Iran's missile launching ability, but Iran just waited for the enemy to assassinate Khamenei before making a move.
If Iran will be fighting a war of this scale then it might as well control the start of the war to win some early victories but they are so conservative not take such bold action. Iran won't be seen as an aggressor if it started first, because the casus belli is there : "The US brought many military forces surrounding my country threatening regime change, so under the UN Charter we are allowed to take action to remove the threat at an opportune timing"
Sending troops = suicidethe only consideration holding back widespread bombings on Iran is the civilian casualty and the unavoidable Gaza like images that will this time attach to Trump. Taking on Iranian troops is probably not a big issue but NOBODY knows what the Iranian people think/want; whether they were subjects of a feared tyrannical regime or do they actually revered the regime of khameni as a religious authority. Trump is left with only one way to find out !
Pahlavi has come off too sleazy so far. His spokesperson on radio interview sounded very shady and anxious.
Trump will try to bluff