Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Having spent many years thundering about the Iranian threat, Binyamin Netanyahu has found in Donald Trump an American president willing to go all the way with him. That, at least, was the first impression https://econ.st/4rn1G6c
 
LOL.

Zio-US is stripping its WHOLE worldwide inventory of THAADs and Patriots but even then Iran needs to keep going only for 7-10 more days to deplete them all.

Zio-US is probably using up circa 50 high end interceptors a day at the current rate of Iranian missile fire.

The happier news is that they can't be replenished so easily because of the rare earth ban from China.
 
There is no unity among the Gulf states on how to respond to the Iran war. They are paralysed because they do not trust any of the parties to this conflict—including themselves https://econ.st/4aZZo8q
That in and of itself is an issue. If the day were ever to come where the US does not have a presence, they are doomed.
 
Watched back to back videos. As you know I am a big fan of Max Blumenthal and Trita Parsi but Mark Sleboda brings in Russian perspective. Some take away:
1) Per Max, America is losing on political and strategic level while winning on military level. And that Iran doesn't even have to mine the Strait of Hormuz: One or two well targeted strikes from some hidden source would be enough. Max also says the Americans want out asap but Israelis don't want that.
2) Mark's analysis is that Russia is on the ascendant and may not bite the morsels Trump is about to offer on Ukraine and oil sales. But Mark says so far that Iran's AD have been preventing a total control over its skies and once they are gone then JDAMs come, otherwise the American offensive capabilities are limited.
 
Capitol Hill Briefing: US Military Faces Iranian Drone ProblemIran's drone operations, which the US is powerless to counter, are sparking growing panic at the Pentagon. In just one week of conflict with Iran, the US lost three expensive radar stations in Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait, along with up to four sets of scarce THAAD air defense systems.Rebuilding the radar stations in Qatar and Bahrain will take at least five to eight years. Moreover, given the declining technical expertise of Pentagon contractors year by year, this assumes rebuilding is even feasible. A single THAAD system costs as much as $3 billion to produce, with a manufacturing cycle stretching several years.
 
Israel has lost escalation dominance. They essentially just come back and bomb Tehran every night. Their AF maybe fatigued from these operations due to longer distances.

Iran I'm noticing is starting to gain escalation dominance over entire situation and this is leaving US and Israel in a dilemma.

Trump has no idea what he wants to do. It seems Israel lobby forced his hand.

Netanyahu is not sure either. Israel can try regaining escalation dominance by assassinating the new SL, but that would guarantee an intensified Iranian response and more hard-line position on war.

It just looks like US and Israel are privately consulting and can't make up their minds how to climb down from escalation ladder or if they choose escalation, in what way to do so.

Iran doesn't have incentive to stop. It has some degree of control over oil prices and doesn't have to do much more than fire some drones at tankers and at GCC. It can do this all year long and probably won't allow region to truly stabilize unless US gives sanctions relief. Iranians have not much to lose and have suffered 40 years of sanctions, they probably don't mind a longer war if it brings bigger results in the end.

Agreed, US/Israeli plan was a simple 'regime change'. That did not happen at all and instead - They, along with GCC are stuck in a quagmire of closed Strait, Energy Infra hits, US bases being hit, Iranian alliances across Middle East waking up, Hezbaollah flaring up (probably Houthis upcoming, nobody knows), Major US allies not helping them ... and the damage to US and global economies.

At the moment US is trying to save its prestige, while also trying to somehow solve all of these issues and in frustration threatening and attacking Iran to no avail. They can sure damage infra in Iran, but that is nothing compared to the devastation Iran is causing to US and its allies. Just that it is not visible as live explosions, but it is far, far, far worse in comparison and everyone who has sense if advising Trump to get out of this as soon as he can.
 
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1- Russian Cultural Centre hit in Lebanon
2- Embassy in Iran for Russia struck by Zionist

 

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