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Hi,Its an interesting point that you raise. In an analysis like this one has to account for human biases. We are all egocentric. We tend to approach any situation from the perspective of maximum vestment or agency.
Situations like these are always multifactorial and hence truthseeking is not a boolean variable but rather an identification of ratios and proportions ie which cause is the heavier contributor.

The historic city of ‘tyre’Blue river is Litani river. Israel is trying to enter in from the east to cut off southern Lebanon from northern Lebanon
Very similar to their ground invasion tactics in Gaza where Israel moves first to cut Gaza into half.
This will be more difficult than that. Gaza is tiny and the area to split Gaza is entirely empty and no wider than 1.5km or so
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4th attack on Iran’s nuclear power plant
This is not a popular opinion these days but the Pakistan army and the deep state has decided to become a hard state and that means having diplomatic mavericks who speak provocatively.
After all everyone knows if it's the Pakistan army that calls the shots but then the foreign minister can be useful for messaging but also not cause alarm as well.