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No cards?
Ground invasion is still on the table.
India seems to be having a very productive and illuminating conversation with India. Long may it continue.If the Iranians can enforce it what can they do about it?
They are not facing threat but they are definitely facing humiliation at the hands of IRGC. They can go to any lengths to show they are winning.That’s possible but probability very low.
Israel is not facing existential threat by Iran. The same logic in Ukraine war, Russia doesn’t nuke Ukraine, either because Putin doesn’t feel existential threat.
And second, there is a motive to keep Iran and Ukraine intact. Makes no sense to nuke a country to ashes if the motive is taking their lands, people and resources.
BREAKING: Trump threatens to destroy Iran energy sites and Kharg Island if a deal is not reached 'immediately'
LIVE updates: aje.news/p0huh8?update=…
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As a side note, Iran should crater the runway at the airport now. I know they have placed trucks over it, but it is possible for marines to do a beach head landing, and then clear the trucks. By cratering it, it makes it much harder to get back into operation if the marines occupy it.
It's true that war planning from political leadership of US has been absolutely crap.What do you think?
Ground invasion needs hundreds of thousands of troops. He wants to hold a rock or two as a bargaining chip. But why?
Didn't everything go as planned?
No!
Everything didn’t go as planned. There is bluster and there is hopeful optimism.
But there is no longterm plan. There are pitfalls and then there's what's in the store. Eventhough, the coastline has been softened up but there is no conclusive answer until something is attempted. It may or may not go as intended... and then what...
There is four weeks of backlog in oil... reserves will start tanking in coming weeks... pressure will mount. Time is on the side of Iran... they just have to hold it out or extract enough cost that it becomes untenable... unpopular as it already us....