Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

black_cats said:
HEZBOLLAH TAKES OUT 3 ISRAELI TANKS IN ONE DAY

100+ MERKAVA TANKS STRUCK IN RECENT WEEKS

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Based on the narratives of Western media, there is no way anyone can hit one israeli tank, let alone 100+ tanks in such a short period of time due to the complete air superiority possess by israel over her enemies ground forces. I assume the American tanks will get hit much harder than this if they face Iran ground forces.
 
Falcon29 said:
They were always good at ground warfare. They know their geography well and execute high quality ambushes. Probably highest of any paramilitary non state organization (maybe not professional ones as Wagner and other European ones but for smaller Islamic resistance groups that can't get access to certain weapons because of anti-terror legislation US pushes and threatens nations with )

But yes they did learn from 2024 in sense Israel was annihilating villages before entering with troops so that was new to Hezbollah.

Israel is doing that again and as a result Hezbollah is deploying longer range ambushes using the effective tools to do so from a distance as a workaround to Israel's scorched earth tactics.

In Gaza it's street to street. Hamas relies on blowing up homes IDF forces are stationed in, firing RPGs at them, using snipers + trying to get close enough to engage in close quarters combat + using cameras everywhere in Gaza to identify troop movements

In Lebanon it's longer distance ambushes, looks like Hezbollah has thermal capabilities to identify movements at night and because of southern Lebanon geography (smaller less populated villages) they can fire heavily without worrying about engaging Lebanese civilians as there aren't many homes around in these areas

If it went into Beirut we will see intense close quarters combat and a different style of combat, but idk if Hezbollah has an extensive tunnel systems in Beirut to move fighters from block to block /house to house like Hamas did in Gaza.

Beirut is a big unknown for both sides. I don't think Hezbollah wants them to get anywhere near there and will do everything in their hands to keep them below Litani river.

Israel may not want to go that deep either because it would be harder to get their forces out. Gaza is much smaller and Israeli forces can more easily be evacuated or backed up during combat. Due to the coastal area and areas near border that allow IDF forces to move freely.

Lebanon is much bigger than Gaza and Beirut is backed up in a corner. If IDF tried ground occupation Hezbollah will come from every direction.

The only potential moves Israel can make is very small localized hit and run with special forces off sea of Beirut and immediately withdrawing.

Essentially ground invasion deep into Lebanon would be deadly for Israel and go very bad for them. Would overstretch their forces too. They don't have enough troops to do that while also watch borders with Syria + Egypt and maintain occupations of West Bank and Gaza.

In short, Hezbollah has upper hand in that they will survive ground war because of Lebanon's strategic depth. Even if they lose some territory in southern Lebanon. It won't bring about a strategic advantage for Israel.

Gaza on other hand lacks strategic depth despite Hamas putting up an incredible fight, they cannot stop the occupation of Gaza.
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Hezbollah actually even has a better situation than what Syrians would face in a ground invasion scenario reaching Damascus. It is probably easier to reach Damascus than Beirut just because of the geography and lack of strategic depth Damascus has. And the Israeli position in the Golan Heights is giving big advantage.

The next front runner to being potentially high quality paramilitary organization is the new Syrian army. They are currently working on structure and secretive about their training and tactics. I also think they cannot acquire weapons they want in this stage. World is watching them closely for now.

It will be interesting to see what kind of tactics they will deploy in the future. It's very likely they're observing Israeli movements and tactics in southern Syria region and quietly developing tactics for any future scenarios.

Likewise Egypt is in a bad position out the get go due to Sinai's geography. Egypts ability to defend Sinai would highly depend on their AA capabilities and rapid deployment capability.

But Israel of today would not want to get anywhere near Cairo. Unlike Israel of past. They would get slaughtered in Cairo if they actually tried going into the city. And again do not have enough troops nor resources to pull off such an occupation of Cairo
 
Desert said:
What's wrong with indians and reza pahlvi supporters ? they simp for israelis so much that's weird.


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Well with Indians a country of 1.4 billion look to a country of a few million to protect them from pakistan so they suck up to Jews

Pahlvi supporters are misguided children of those that did a runner from Iran and have self serving reasons. IMO they hardly qualify as Iranians. They dont know much about Iran or its history
 
Has anyone seen @Mr Iran Eye recently?
Dude talked about Qaher-313 and 5th gen Kowsar jet fighters and other bullshit like that. Where is he now? The IRIAF didn't even fight back for 24 hours.

These trolls always disappear when shit hits the fan.
 
ShapurII said:
Has anyone seen @Mr Iran Eye recently?
Dude talked about Qaher-313 and 5th gen Kowsar jet fighters and other bullshit like that. Where is he now? The IRIAF didn't even fight back for 24 hours.

These trolls always disappear when shit hits the fan.
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He went back to Tel Aviv
 
My personal tracking using Israeli alert system:

# of Iranian waves of missiles towards Israel (note this is # of waves not # of missiles)

3/22 10-11

3/23 5

3/24 16

3/25 8

3/26 10-11

3/27 7-8

3/28 7

3/29 11

3/30 (today) 9


Conclusion: Iran is sending about 8-10 waves per day.

Assuming 1.5 missile(s) per wave then that means around 10-15 missiles per day fired at Israel.
 
Israeli movements in southern Lebanon.

Mostly going up the coast where they can establish a corridor that's less susceptible to attacks

And from the east going up to the Litani river, hiding by it as cover for their forces, and trying to cut off southern Lebanon from rest of Lebanon

Israeli ground operation is basically and upside down letter U. That's the objective. It is not a well thought out design. They will probably ask US for advice on how to proceed with ground invasion

1774906992287.jpeg
 
Falcon29 said:
They were always good at ground warfare. They know their geography well and execute high quality ambushes. Probably highest of any paramilitary non state organization (maybe not professional ones as Wagner and other European ones but for smaller Islamic resistance groups that can't get access to certain weapons because of anti-terror legislation US pushes and threatens nations with )

But yes they did learn from 2024 in sense Israel was annihilating villages before entering with troops so that was new to Hezbollah.

Israel is doing that again and as a result Hezbollah is deploying longer range ambushes using the effective tools to do so from a distance as a workaround to Israel's scorched earth tactics.

In Gaza it's street to street. Hamas relies on blowing up homes IDF forces are stationed in, firing RPGs at them, using snipers + trying to get close enough to engage in close quarters combat + using cameras everywhere in Gaza to identify troop movements

In Lebanon it's longer distance ambushes, looks like Hezbollah has thermal capabilities to identify movements at night and because of southern Lebanon geography (smaller less populated villages) they can fire heavily without worrying about engaging Lebanese civilians as there aren't many homes around in these areas

If it went into Beirut we will see intense close quarters combat and a different style of combat, but idk if Hezbollah has an extensive tunnel systems in Beirut to move fighters from block to block /house to house like Hamas did in Gaza.

Beirut is a big unknown for both sides. I don't think Hezbollah wants them to get anywhere near there and will do everything in their hands to keep them below Litani river.

Israel may not want to go that deep either because it would be harder to get their forces out. Gaza is much smaller and Israeli forces can more easily be evacuated or backed up during combat. Due to the coastal area and areas near border that allow IDF forces to move freely.

Lebanon is much bigger than Gaza and Beirut is backed up in a corner. If IDF tried ground occupation Hezbollah will come from every direction.

The only potential moves Israel can make is very small localized hit and run with special forces off sea of Beirut and immediately withdrawing.

Essentially ground invasion deep into Lebanon would be deadly for Israel and go very bad for them. Would overstretch their forces too. They don't have enough troops to do that while also watch borders with Syria + Egypt and maintain occupations of West Bank and Gaza.

In short, Hezbollah has upper hand in that they will survive ground war because of Lebanon's strategic depth. Even if they lose some territory in southern Lebanon. It won't bring about a strategic advantage for Israel.

Gaza on other hand lacks strategic depth despite Hamas putting up an incredible fight, they cannot stop the occupation of Gaza.
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In your opinion, will Lebanese government forces act forcibly against Hezbollah in the foreseeable future? Or will their guns stay holstered?
 
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