Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[Meengla]

For this reason, I am highly suspicious that UAE is about to embark upon a misadventure.
UAE has observed the selective leverage that Iran has been able to apply and they probably want to do something similar using the only option they have.

I am beginning to think the UAE adventure is similar to Trump's adventure. President Trump fell for Netanyahu by attacking Iran where for decades before the POTUS resisted Netanyahu and similarly UAE has dangerously fallen for Netanyahu's scheming in which I absolutely don't see any good outcome for UAE. If news is true that UAE has allowed Israel's Iron Dome and the Israeli military to use the I.D then really bad for UAE and that bad will be in short term, unless they backpaddle quickly. Mind boggling stupidity like India's PM Modi going to Tel Aviv just before the attack on Iran started.

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Trump is failing to realize that he lacks any real leverage in this situation. Iran has already successfully circumvented the blockade by routing through Pakistan.
Even if he remains indifferent to international opinion, he is rapidly alienating his own base. It is a display of peak incompetence!

But Pakistan is extremely vulnerable to the American sanctions, no small thanks to the inefficient and corrupt Pakistani governance. We will see how long Pakistan is able to withstand any American pressure, should they be applied.

 

[Hazard]

But Pakistan is extremely vulnerable to the American sanctions, no small thanks to the inefficient and corrupt Pakistani governance. We will see how long Pakistan is able to withstand any American pressure, should they be applied.

One phone call, from the most junior officer in America's administration is all it'll take to arm twist Pakistan.

 

[tsunset]

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[Pak-Warrior]

Indians can't support UAE in any meaningful way with the SOH blockade in place.

uae is accessible from both sides. Fujairah directly faces indian ocean, no need to pass through SOH.

uae is exporting tons of oil through there too earning billions in revenue (even though export is lower than normal times but due to raised oil prices).

Also its writing on the wall, they are building more pipelines (in addition to existing ones), they will not rely on SOH completely. With independence from OPEC and SOH, the uae aims to tripple their revenue while other GCC states remained locked inside SOH courtesy Iran.

 

[Aziqbal]

I hope Iran is using this time to refuel their liquid fuelled ballistic missiles which is harder and more dangerous to do underground

also the buying plenty of sodium perchlorate for their solid state ballistic missiles

round 2 is around the corner

 

[hasssanali8998]

building more pipelines

And they can be destroyed too. Iran probably should develop purpose built weapons just for that after this war.
I don't know why people think building pipelines will decrease SOH's importance. The only thing that will do that is more renewable energy

 

[maxpane]

And they can be destroyed too. Iran probably should develop purpose built weapons just for that after this war.
I don't know why people think building pipelines will decrease SOH's importance. The only thing that will do that is more renewable energy

it will push countries to use relevant source source of renewable energy . Ev' s will sell like hot cakes now sowcially in countries like Pakistan who have solar energy and every home is now enwrgy producer and user with out any external shocks

 

[Watandar]

uae is accessible from both sides. Fujairah directly faces indian ocean, no need to pass through SOH.

uae is exporting tons of oil through there too earning billions in revenue (even though export is lower than normal times but due to raised oil prices).

Also its writing on the wall, they are building more pipelines (in addition to existing ones), they will not rely on SOH completely. With independence from OPEC and SOH, the uae aims to tripple their revenue while other GCC states remained locked inside SOH courtesy Iran.

Very risky to depend so much on an above ground pipeline....

 

[Persian Gulf]

With TankerTrackers assessing that, due to empty tankers INSIDE the U.S. blockade lane, Iran likely has an additional 4-6 weeks of "floating storage" available, we are likely looking at a timeline of AT LEAST 6-8 weeks before Iran is forced to shut-in. This assumes no other timeline extending measures are taken by Iran.

It is also worth noting that Iran's NIOC has twice shut-in before in 2012 and 2019. Both times, Iran was able to do so without catastrophic damage, or as Trump put it, "exploding their oil infrastructure".

While Iran will absolutely face inflationary pressures, GDP impact, and likely "some" degree of domestic unrest, it is becoming increasingly clear that Iran at no point had "13 days" before catastrophic consequences would occur.

 

[PK781]

But Pakistan is extremely vulnerable to the American sanctions, no small thanks to the inefficient and corrupt Pakistani governance. We will see how long Pakistan is able to withstand any American pressure, should they be applied.

Pakistan rises and shines when under sanctions. Been there before.
I almost dare them to sanction us, we will come out better.
With global trade routes and air routes and all going through Pakistan now and Pakistan becoming a hub soon, the americans can no longer afford to sanction or alienate Pakistan. This isn't the 90s

 

[hasn2009]

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[tsunset]

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He lives in an alternate reality

 

[925boy]

uae is accessible from both sides. Fujairah directly faces indian ocean, no need to pass through SOH.

uae is exporting tons of oil through there too earning billions in revenue (even though export is lower than normal times but due to raised oil prices).

Also its writing on the wall, they are building more pipelines (in addition to existing ones), they will not rely on SOH completely. With independence from OPEC and SOH, the uae aims to tripple their revenue while other GCC states remained locked inside SOH courtesy Iran.

Then iran will "sanction" UAE's very vulnerable oil infrastructure near it with kinetic projectile diplomacy if Iran concludes UAE is in "violation" of the new security order in the Persian gulf, and nobody can anything about it.

 

[hasn2009]

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[Homajon]

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