Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[RzA]

two weeks ago Brent crude was $72, now it is $95 (+32%)

Yemen is serious about the blockade and if Saudi Arabia responds things will only escalate further

I think $100 is inevitable over the next week if things stay on this course

I have no doubts regarding the inevitability of $100 stock price but you also have to factor in the fact that even with hormuz and bab al mandeb being closed, as well as the other assets targeted, the market refuses to budge like it did before the ceasefire and that should be concerning because it's our biggest leverage and the more cat and mouse game we play with diplomacy the more we lose this trump card of ours, and once the market catches up to our antics and no longer pivots like we want then this whole thing is over.

With your logic , eliminating these 3 guys would rise oil price to 130 $ ...

I wouldn't be against it.

 

[BigMela2onin]

I have no doubts regarding the inevitability of $100 stock price but you also have to factor in the fact that even with hormuz and bab al mandeb being closed, as well as the other assets targeted, the market refuses to budge like it did before the ceasefire and that should be concerning because it's our biggest leverage and the more cat and mouse game we play with diplomacy the more we lose this trump card of ours, and once the market catches up to our antics and no longer pivots like we want then this whole thing is over.

The market is already not responding any longer. We will need physical shortages to see prices rise further.

 

[Starlord]

Has there really ever been a ceasefire?

There is no trust between either parties, so I don't think a cease-fire is possible, and even if there is then there is no surety that it will last.

 

[RzA]

The market is already not responding any longer. We will need physical shortages to see prices rise further.

Agreed. It's clearly seeing through our trillion 'warnings' and talks of diplomacy. The market is essentially telling us to put up or shut up, meaning we will have to escalate further for it to budge.

 

[Bratva]

they tried this, but they want to enforce a blockade on Yemen's airports. they have no right to do this. so either they both have a blockade, or they are both free.

Iran redline is Strait of Hormuz. They destroyed a saudi ship in Omani waters to prove their point. Saudis had repeatedly told houthis that no Iranian planes would be allowed to land in Yemen. So Iranian presence in Yemen is Saudi redline and they fired missiles to warn Houthis and Iranians.

I'm a bit perplexed by your one-sided argument. Are you saying Iranians has every right to enforce their rights/redline but Saudi doesn't or you saying Saudi actions are immoral ?

 

[Immortals]

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Since when does a Brigadier general defuse unexploded ordinances?

 

[Immortals]

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[Immortals]

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@Persian Gulf

Another Iranian redline crossed with zero consequences

 

[Magi]

Iran redline is Strait of Hormuz. They destroyed a saudi ship in Omani waters.to proof their point. Saudis had repeatedly told houthis that no Iranian planes would be allowed to land in Yemen. So Iranian presence in Yemen is Saudi redline and they fired missiles to warn Houthis and Iranians.

I'm a bit perplexed by your one-sided argument. Are you saying Iranians has every right to enforce their rights/redline but Saudi doesn't or you saying Saudi actions are immoral ?

Saudi lacks ability as well as morality in this false comparison.

 

[Immortals]

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[Persian Gulf]

Iran redline is Strait of Hormuz. They destroyed a saudi ship in Omani waters.to proof their point. Saudis had repeatedly told houthis that no Iranian planes would be allowed to land in Yemen. So Iranian presence in Yemen is Saudi redline and they fired missiles to warn Houthis and Iranians.

I'm a bit perplexed by your one-sided argument. Are you saying Iranians has every right to enforce their rights/redline but Saudi doesn't or you saying Saudi actions are immoral ?

I never said Iran has a right to control SoH traffic passing through Oman's corridor. Nonetheless, we should, because it is our only leverage against an existential threat.

Equally Saudis have no right to invade Yemen and create the world's worst humanitarian crisis (until the genocide in Gaza), or to impose a siege on Yemen. But if they view that as their vital security interests, then I understand why they pursue that objective. Does not mean I agree with it or think we should not try to prevent them from achieving their objectives.

 

[Persian Gulf]

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reports of clashes between the Yemeni army and the Saudi backed Aden regime

 

[Jalz]

Have any AN/TPY-2 Radars been targeted yet? I've heard rumors that THAAD radars were targeted in Jordan from yesterdays attack but I don't know if that's true or not. What I assume the US is doing since the end of the war is that they are only turning on THAAD radars when their early warning radars detect a missile and then move it after they intercept incoming missiles.

 

[Shags101]

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reports of clashes between the Yemeni army and the Saudi backed Aden regime

So say what you will about the Houthis they at least have the firm support of the people they have under them weird but true and the other side is constantly infighting and having two opposing countries try to takeover power within that pocket instead of attempting a unified front

 

[Persian Gulf]

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