Falcon29
Elite Member
If US increases tempo it shakes up oil market even more and increases economic and political pressure which reduces window to operate. There would be more pressure against Trump administration to end campaign.US can absolutely strike Tehran and other major cities in Iran but they've done risk cost analysis and the current course is least risky + costly not just for US but also US allies. They're slowly degrading IR capabilities and this tempo suits the US and its allies well. They see no reason to strike Tehran right now.
Iranian current leadership apparently also believes this tempo is to their favor. That's where I would disagree with their assessment.
At this tempo it's frustrating but doable/tolerable by the US, allies, and international community. Or not frustrating enough to where US may feel pressure that it needs to achieve objectives in smaller window. They feel they have infinite time at this tempo.






