Shags202
Registered Member
I said it he same thing but I can never keep my replies short and sweet you did a better job
Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds
- Thread starter Khorasan Black Flags
- Start date
Professor Jiang
Registered Member
IRGC officials always make the political leadership look dumb. Saying this is all a self-imposed restriction this far into a war of survival, and acting like it's some kind of virtue, is bizarre.
BHAN85
Trusted Member
The more far enemy available for Iran is Israel, 1,500 km
USA mainland is to 10,000 km and in between there is nothing of interest for Iran.
So it has no sense for them do missiles for 2k 3k 4k 5k... km range.
Do 5k km missiles range it only would be useful to USA/Israel deceiving European people with bullshit propaganda and involving them in war.
The official NATO narrative for the USA missile shield deployed in Europe in early 2010s, it was protect Europe from Iran missiles, a nonsense, but better dont feed the USA troll with real reasons.
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Khorasan Black Flags
Trusted Member
- Thread starter
- #159,844
Former Iranian Diplomat in Sanaa: Israel More Eager Than the US to Bring the UAE Back Into Yemen
Morteza Rahimi, a former Iranian diplomat in Yemen, told the Iranian Students’ News Agency (ISNA) that Israel is more interested than the United States in encouraging the United Arab Emirates to re-enter the Yemeni arena.
Responding to a question about a recent Guardian report that the United States was secretly pressuring Saudi Arabia and the UAE to set aside their differences and establish a joint military command against Ansarullah, and whether the pressure should be viewed merely as a response to Ansarullah’s recent advances or as part of a new US military strategy for Yemen, Rahimi said that what matters to Washington is not whether Saudi Arabia and the UAE have differences or form an alliance.
“What matters to the United States in the region, and what is its priority, is support for Israel and the consolidation of the Israeli regime’s hegemony in West Asia,” he said.
He added that, based on the experience and understanding the United States has gained from its confrontation with Ansarullah and the defeat it suffered, Washington is no longer willing to risk a direct confrontation with the group, particularly ahead of elections for the Senate and House of Representatives.
“That is precisely why repeated requests from Mohammed bin Salman and Rashad al-Alimi, the head of the Riyadh-backed Presidential Leadership Council, for assistance in the war against Ansarullah have gone unanswered at this juncture,” he said.
The former Iranian diplomat continued: “Through these efforts, the United States is seeking to bring Saudi Arabia closer to Israel. Cooperation with the UAE on Yemen could potentially contribute to this process. Ultimately, however, an alliance and rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and the UAE over Yemen cannot be sustainable, given their differing approaches.”
Rahimi also said that the UAE is seeking to exploit Saudi Arabia’s weakened position in its confrontation with Ansarullah and return to the Yemeni arena from a position of strength.
“This is where the interests of the UAE and Israel converge, and they also have US backing. These efforts should therefore be interpreted and analyzed in this context,” he said.
“For this reason, I believe it is the Israelis, more than the Americans, who are seeking to encourage the UAE to enter the Yemeni arena. The UAE’s renewed involvement in Yemen would serve Israel’s interests more than those of Saudi Arabia, and this is something Riyadh should take into consideration.”
Conflicting Interests Between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi Prevent a Lasting Alliance in Yemen
Asked whether the shared need to confront Ansarullah could temporarily set aside the serious differences that Saudi Arabia and the UAE have had in recent years, particularly over the future of southern Yemen, or whether their conflicting interests over Yemen’s political and geographical future are too deep to allow an effective alliance to emerge, the former Iranian ambassador to Yemen said:
“As I mentioned in response to the first question, it is Saudi Arabia’s current difficult and exceptional circumstances in its confrontation with Ansarullah that have prompted the UAE to move closer to Riyadh.”
He continued: “The UAE is seeking closer relations with Saudi Arabia and hopes that, through this approach, it can persuade Riyadh to move closer to Israel and ultimately join the Abraham Accords.”
Rahimi added that some analysts view the incident involving a flydubai aircraft traveling from the UAE to Tel Aviv, which ultimately landed in Saudi Arabia, in the same context.
He said the success of these efforts would depend on a number of factors, one of which is developments on the ground in Yemen.
“Saudi Arabia and the UAE do not share the same outlook or circumstances regarding Yemen’s future. It is unlikely that this difference will lead them to form a new and effective alliance, even under Saudi Arabia’s current difficult circumstances. Any tactical cooperation would eventually be followed by a renewed divergence in their respective paths.”
Saudi Arabia Should Learn From the Past
The former Iranian ambassador to Yemen stressed that Saudi Arabia should learn from the history of developments in Yemen and from the repeated formation of alliances that have generally ended in failure.
“Saudi Arabia should pave the way for dialogue with Ansarullah and create the conditions for the start of intra-Yemeni negotiations,” he said.
He added: “It appears that Iran could assist Saudi Arabia in this process. But, as a first step, the decision rests with Riyadh.”
Israel Seeks to Enter the Yemeni Arena Directly
In response to a question about The Guardian report that a proposal was being considered to use Israeli intelligence and even Israeli security companies as part of the plan, as well as the newspaper’s report that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had offered assistance to Saudi Arabia in confronting Ansarullah during a meeting in Abu Dhabi, Rahimi was asked what impact direct or indirect Israeli involvement in the Yemeni equation would have, and whether Saudi Arabia would be willing to engage in security cooperation with Israel that could carry significant political costs for Riyadh.
Rahimi said: “The Guardian’s speculation should be viewed as a step toward bringing the Arab countries of the region closer to the Israeli regime.”
He added: “So far, no official reports have been published regarding meetings between officials from these countries during Netanyahu’s visit to Abu Dhabi, apart from his meeting with Mohammed bin Zayed. Nevertheless, Israel is certainly seeking to find a way to become directly involved in the Yemeni arena.”
The former Iranian diplomat continued: “Ansarullah’s control and influence over the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea are certainly detrimental to Tel Aviv. Therefore, Israel will spare no effort to prevent this situation from becoming consolidated and institutionalized. One such effort could involve intelligence and security cooperation with countries such as Saudi Arabia.”
At the same time, he said that it remained doubtful whether Riyadh would agree to such a request.
“So far, the answer should be considered negative, because this would impose a heavy political cost on Saudi Arabia,” he said.
Ansarullah’s Advances Have Altered the Balance of Power in Yemen and the Red Sea
Asked about Ansarullah’s advances along Yemen’s western coast in recent weeks and its movement toward strategic areas including Bab al-Mandab and Taiz—and about the military and geopolitical significance of these advances, particularly if Ansarullah succeeds in consolidating its position in these areas—Rahimi said:
“Ansarullah’s advances on various fronts have been significant and remarkable. So far, Saudi Arabia’s numerous airstrikes have failed to achieve their objectives, while Ansarullah has managed to consolidate its position to a considerable extent.”
He added that Ansarullah had also entered into talks and negotiations with tribal leaders in Taiz and Ma’rib provinces.
“Moreover, it is noteworthy that Saudi Arabia has at times bombed forces that support it and its own proxies,” he said.
Rahimi continued: “These factors have strengthened Ansarullah’s position while weakening the fragmented and fragile forces on the opposing side.”
In conclusion, he said: “This superior position has shifted the balance of power not only in Yemen, but also across the region—particularly in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab—and at the international level in favor of Ansarullah.
“Therefore, it appears that rival political forces in Yemen, as well as regional and international powers, are now viewing Ansarullah and the future of Yemen from a new and different perspective.”
AZ_HighCountry
INT'L MOD
This will be one of those times you and I disagree.
mangekyo
Trusted Member
They want to do another Syria in Yemen. The same countries are involved yet again. The US, Israel, Turkey and GCC. One difference is that they swapped Qatar with Pakistan this time.Former Iranian Diplomat in Sanaa: Israel More Eager Than the US to Bring the UAE Back Into Yemen
Morteza Rahimi, a former Iranian diplomat in Yemen, told the Iranian Students’ News Agency (ISNA) that Israel is more interested than the United States in encouraging the United Arab Emirates to re-enter the Yemeni arena.
Responding to a question about a recent Guardian report that the United States was secretly pressuring Saudi Arabia and the UAE to set aside their differences and establish a joint military command against Ansarullah, and whether the pressure should be viewed merely as a response to Ansarullah’s recent advances or as part of a new US military strategy for Yemen, Rahimi said that what matters to Washington is not whether Saudi Arabia and the UAE have differences or form an alliance.
“What matters to the United States in the region, and what is its priority, is support for Israel and the consolidation of the Israeli regime’s hegemony in West Asia,” he said.
He added that, based on the experience and understanding the United States has gained from its confrontation with Ansarullah and the defeat it suffered, Washington is no longer willing to risk a direct confrontation with the group, particularly ahead of elections for the Senate and House of Representatives.
“That is precisely why repeated requests from Mohammed bin Salman and Rashad al-Alimi, the head of the Riyadh-backed Presidential Leadership Council, for assistance in the war against Ansarullah have gone unanswered at this juncture,” he said.
The former Iranian diplomat continued: “Through these efforts, the United States is seeking to bring Saudi Arabia closer to Israel. Cooperation with the UAE on Yemen could potentially contribute to this process. Ultimately, however, an alliance and rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and the UAE over Yemen cannot be sustainable, given their differing approaches.”
Rahimi also said that the UAE is seeking to exploit Saudi Arabia’s weakened position in its confrontation with Ansarullah and return to the Yemeni arena from a position of strength.
“This is where the interests of the UAE and Israel converge, and they also have US backing. These efforts should therefore be interpreted and analyzed in this context,” he said.
“For this reason, I believe it is the Israelis, more than the Americans, who are seeking to encourage the UAE to enter the Yemeni arena. The UAE’s renewed involvement in Yemen would serve Israel’s interests more than those of Saudi Arabia, and this is something Riyadh should take into consideration.”
Conflicting Interests Between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi Prevent a Lasting Alliance in Yemen
Asked whether the shared need to confront Ansarullah could temporarily set aside the serious differences that Saudi Arabia and the UAE have had in recent years, particularly over the future of southern Yemen, or whether their conflicting interests over Yemen’s political and geographical future are too deep to allow an effective alliance to emerge, the former Iranian ambassador to Yemen said:
“As I mentioned in response to the first question, it is Saudi Arabia’s current difficult and exceptional circumstances in its confrontation with Ansarullah that have prompted the UAE to move closer to Riyadh.”
He continued: “The UAE is seeking closer relations with Saudi Arabia and hopes that, through this approach, it can persuade Riyadh to move closer to Israel and ultimately join the Abraham Accords.”
Rahimi added that some analysts view the incident involving a flydubai aircraft traveling from the UAE to Tel Aviv, which ultimately landed in Saudi Arabia, in the same context.
He said the success of these efforts would depend on a number of factors, one of which is developments on the ground in Yemen.
“Saudi Arabia and the UAE do not share the same outlook or circumstances regarding Yemen’s future. It is unlikely that this difference will lead them to form a new and effective alliance, even under Saudi Arabia’s current difficult circumstances. Any tactical cooperation would eventually be followed by a renewed divergence in their respective paths.”
Saudi Arabia Should Learn From the Past
The former Iranian ambassador to Yemen stressed that Saudi Arabia should learn from the history of developments in Yemen and from the repeated formation of alliances that have generally ended in failure.
“Saudi Arabia should pave the way for dialogue with Ansarullah and create the conditions for the start of intra-Yemeni negotiations,” he said.
He added: “It appears that Iran could assist Saudi Arabia in this process. But, as a first step, the decision rests with Riyadh.”
Israel Seeks to Enter the Yemeni Arena Directly
In response to a question about The Guardian report that a proposal was being considered to use Israeli intelligence and even Israeli security companies as part of the plan, as well as the newspaper’s report that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had offered assistance to Saudi Arabia in confronting Ansarullah during a meeting in Abu Dhabi, Rahimi was asked what impact direct or indirect Israeli involvement in the Yemeni equation would have, and whether Saudi Arabia would be willing to engage in security cooperation with Israel that could carry significant political costs for Riyadh.
Rahimi said: “The Guardian’s speculation should be viewed as a step toward bringing the Arab countries of the region closer to the Israeli regime.”
He added: “So far, no official reports have been published regarding meetings between officials from these countries during Netanyahu’s visit to Abu Dhabi, apart from his meeting with Mohammed bin Zayed. Nevertheless, Israel is certainly seeking to find a way to become directly involved in the Yemeni arena.”
The former Iranian diplomat continued: “Ansarullah’s control and influence over the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea are certainly detrimental to Tel Aviv. Therefore, Israel will spare no effort to prevent this situation from becoming consolidated and institutionalized. One such effort could involve intelligence and security cooperation with countries such as Saudi Arabia.”
At the same time, he said that it remained doubtful whether Riyadh would agree to such a request.
“So far, the answer should be considered negative, because this would impose a heavy political cost on Saudi Arabia,” he said.
Ansarullah’s Advances Have Altered the Balance of Power in Yemen and the Red Sea
Asked about Ansarullah’s advances along Yemen’s western coast in recent weeks and its movement toward strategic areas including Bab al-Mandab and Taiz—and about the military and geopolitical significance of these advances, particularly if Ansarullah succeeds in consolidating its position in these areas—Rahimi said:
“Ansarullah’s advances on various fronts have been significant and remarkable. So far, Saudi Arabia’s numerous airstrikes have failed to achieve their objectives, while Ansarullah has managed to consolidate its position to a considerable extent.”
He added that Ansarullah had also entered into talks and negotiations with tribal leaders in Taiz and Ma’rib provinces.
“Moreover, it is noteworthy that Saudi Arabia has at times bombed forces that support it and its own proxies,” he said.
Rahimi continued: “These factors have strengthened Ansarullah’s position while weakening the fragmented and fragile forces on the opposing side.”
In conclusion, he said: “This superior position has shifted the balance of power not only in Yemen, but also across the region—particularly in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab—and at the international level in favor of Ansarullah.
“Therefore, it appears that rival political forces in Yemen, as well as regional and international powers, are now viewing Ansarullah and the future of Yemen from a new and different perspective.”
Flotilla
Trusted Member
Magi
Registered Member
Patrick Henningsen provides a great analysis in this video. He predicts a Syria style coalition of US satellites against Yemen and a US take over of the Musandam peninsula. "Trump Strait" will make more sense if US troops control the southern shores.
Shags202
Registered Member
It’s 2 to 1 we both had the same argument
Iran went along with the agreement had inspections verify they were being honest with what they were trump said naaa I don’t care I’m going to listen to Bibi Iran said okay your putting sanctions back even harder than before why should we keep playing ball to an agreement that you walked out on and we see so benefits from it on trump
Persian Gulf
INT'L MOD
Trump’s war has cost Americans $130 billion in additional energy costs
Persian Gulf
INT'L MOD
Watandar
SpeedLimited
Pullout of B-1 bombers shows how an outgunned Iran is keeping the U.S. on edge
LONDON — In a speech to U.S. forces last week, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth echoed President Donald Trump’s triumphant descriptions of Iran as a vanquished foe.
The United States has “destroyed” Iran’s navy, air force, leadership and “entire defense base,” Hegseth said, crippling Tehran’s conventional capabilities and leaving its shattered “nuclear ambitions laid bare for the world.”
Days later, American B-1 bombers secretly began leaving a high-security military base in the British countryside, fleeing what U.S. officials described as the threat of a potentially catastrophic “swarm drone” attack planned by Iran.
The evacuation from Royal Air Force Fairford — a British air base in use since the 1944 D-Day invasion — underscored Iran’s continuing ability to wield the threat of asymmetric warfare despite being militarily outmatched by the U.S. and Israel.
Tehran has used the threat of unconventional attacks not just to instigate the hasty relocation of a dozen long-range U.S. bombers but to inflict chaos on global energy markets, and threaten the safety of Air Force One — all against a drumbeat of declarations by Trump administration officials that the war has been won.
Iran’s use of unconventional tactics — or in some cases merely the threat of doing so — has enabled it to claim a series of remarkable symbolic and tactical victories, security experts said.
“I don’t think anyone including the Iranians thought on Day One that they could stand up to the United States and Israel — two of the best militaries and air forces in the world — and fight an even fight,” said Daniel Byman, a counterterrorism expert and security studies professor at Georgetown University. “That said, we are seven-and-a-half months into this war and Iran is still inflicting damage — and that’s quite remarkable.”
Iran’s campaign of drone strikes on oil cargo ships in the Strait of Hormuz has given it leverage over a critical shipping lane and global energy supplies that it could never achieve though conventional naval force, according to security officials and analysts.
Tehran has escalated attacks in the strait in recent days, apparently in response to expanded U.S. operations that had brought oil flows back up to near prewar levels. Over the past week, Iranian attacks have hit more than 10 ships, according to maritime monitoring data.
President Donald Trump on Air Force One on Monday. (Luis M. Alvarez/AP)
The threat of an Iranian assassination plot set in motion an extraordinary sequence in July in which Trump was secretly slipped out of Air Force One via an airport catering truck — a ruse to protect him from the threat of attack by an adversary he described as “finished” in March and more recently has called “decimated.”
At the British air base, RAF Fairford, Iran appears to have forced the U.S. to withdraw a symbol of its military firepower, a fleet of planes that has carried out punishing strikes in the war, with no indication that Iran had managed to put in place either the personnel or equipment needed to launch a “drone swarm” attack.
Beyond its harassment of oil tankers and B-1 bombers, Iran has used drones to cause extensive damage to U.S. bases in the Middle East and to kill some troops. Iran also has enlisted its Houthi allies in Yemen to strike parts of Saudi Arabia that Iran likely could not reach otherwise.
Iran has done this despite the toll inflicted by U.S.-Israel airstrikes this year that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and much of his inner circle, including top officials in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps who likely would have been tapped to oversee its asymmetric campaign.
Trump sought to play down the significance of bombers’ departure from Britain this week. “Rather than tempting the enemy, we’ll capture the enemy and beat the enemy,” he said. “So we moved them around a little bit. Not very far.”
If U.S. airstrikes against Iran were to resume, however, the bombers would have to travel thousands of additional miles after being relocated to bases in South Dakota and elsewhere in the U.S. from their former home 80 miles west of London.
Former security officials said the evacuation was a symbolic victory for Tehran, but ultimately of limited consequence. “It does not limit our military options against Iran or change the strategic course of the conflict,” said Norman Roule, a former senior CIA official and Iran expert.
Even so, Roule said the sequence shows that Iran has proven adept at taking advantage of drone technology that is forcing military officials to reevaluate the vulnerabilities of Fairford and other bases long seen as secure.
Iran “is showing how the new technology of cyber and drones compel us to reshape our protective architecture,” Roule said.
In a measure of the alarm over the threat, U.S. officials said that the bomber evacuation began before refueling aircraft were fully in position to support their journey across the Atlantic.
The harried redeployment came amid conflicting signals about the urgency of the threat to Fairford and about Iran’s ability to carry out such an elaborate plot.
U.S. officials said the bombers were moved in response to multiple streams of intelligence indicating that the aircraft could be hit in an attack similar to the one Ukraine launched against Russia in June 2025. In that strike, called Operation Spider’s Web, Ukraine destroyed more than a dozen Russian military planes using small armed drones that had been smuggled into the country in cargo trucks.
Fears that such an attack might be unfolding on British soil likely gripped U.K. officials after police received calls shortly after midnight on Oct. 4 about three white cargo vans approaching the Fairford base.
News photos taken after police arrived showed five men stripped of their shirts and seated on the ground in the dark under police guard. News footage the next morning showed bomb inspection robots moving among the vans.
And yet, police found no drones, explosives or weapons in the vehicles — only canisters containing gasoline. All five suspects were released the next day on bail, reflecting a determination by British police that they posed no ongoing threat.
Trump at the time said that the suspects were planning to cause “big damage.” But the bombers were not evacuated until a week later. And though U.S. officials cited new streams of alarming intelligence, British officials said no new threat to the base had materialized. The officials spoke on the condition of anonymity, to discuss an ongoing investigation.
The seemingly disparate responses raise questions about “how serious was this threat,” Byman said, and whether the U.S. has seen intelligence its allies have not or has taken a step of extreme caution “over aspirational terrorism.”
Britain has faced dozens of plots traced to Iran in recent years, but no details have surfaced from these cases to suggest Iran has the capacity to mount a complicated attack on a heavily guarded military base.
Instead, Iran is accused of being behind a steady stream of low-level sabotage operations and plots involving proxies recruited from criminal networks on social media platforms. Recent plots include the stabbing of a Jewish pedestrian and an arson attack on ambulances that serve the Jewish community in north London.
Iran’s increasing reliance on criminal proxies is seen by experts as an indication of how difficult it has become for Iran’s own agents to elude MI5 and other security agencies on British soil, let alone sneak in truckloads of armed drones.
The plot against RAF Fairford may have been an attempt by Iran to probe British defenses — and alarm Washington — without risking the fallout or failure of a full-scale attack, experts said.
It “may be less that Iran intended to carry out such an attack than that it wanted Western intelligence services to discover that it could,” said Ali Vaez, deputy Middle East program director at the International Crisis Group.
The outcome, Vaez said, was “a carefully calibrated warning shot: a way of demonstrating that Iran can extend the battlefield onto European soil.”
Steve Hendrix in London and Tara Copp and Susannah George in Washington contributed to this report.
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