Your points here are reasonable , and I'll only add this here- by Trump and JD Vance saying publicly several times that "they don't want this Iran war to drag on " or "it'll be a short war from here" or to those effects, theyve indirectly admitted that if the US is unable to achieve certain things in or with Iran in the next, intense short strikes on Iran, US loses the war! They've indirectly admitted US has no stamina for any war that's not short, so if it needs to go on longer , US has admitted it has lost the war. The stakes are high, and if Iran holds out, US has lost. Recent comments by Tom Barack( US ambassador to Turkey) in Turkey are are indirect admission that US has lost its hegemony I've the middle east. Idt that is true, which I believe it is then we will see big changes in the ME region soon. Pakistan , KSA and Turkey beging Iran to join the Mecca pact is another early indicator that there is a new sheriff in town , sorry the Persian Gulf.