I have been active on this forum as Arian since 2009. I was one of the first international moderators on PDF, when it became a thing. I have been an active supporter of Iran all these years, putting all my efforts into defending my country on the internet, but I am afraid that this is it. The time has come and the Islamic Republic has lost all opportunities. Either by complete idiocy, or by treason.
Back in 2020, I said very clearly that Iran had only 4 years to either make the bomb or make peace with the United States. It was crystal clear that time was running out and Trump would get re-elected in 2024. And it was quite clear that Trump would not leave Iran alone when re-elected.
The Islamic Republic chose to waste these 4 years serving the interests of Muslims, who eventually stabbed Iran in the back and we will very soon witness how they will behave indifferently towards the upcoming US battles with Iran. The IR brutally killed Iranian youths in Mahsa Amini's protests to further bring the country into the edge of destruction.
On October 7th, I again warned that this was Turkey and Qatar (Ikhwan Al-Muslimin) plotting with the West to drag Iran into a devastating war. While people here cheered Hamas's stupid, blind attack, possibly coordinated with Israel herself, I was worried that this would result in the destruction of our front lines against Israel at a crucial time when we needed peace rather than new tensions. I was proven to be right. Some people here were so delusional that when Qatar and Saudi Arabia severed their ties, they thought Qatar would be in Iran's strategic ally lol These people are still there.
While people here said that Assad would not fall and he was in a much stronger position and Russia was not betraying Assad, again I said that Assad would fall soon and a few sorties by the Russian Air Force were just a staged show before handing over Syria to the HTS.
I repeatedly said (since the lifting of UNSC sanctions on Iran) that the SU-35 deal would not go through because Russia would delay it as far as possible until the last moment and then they would betray Iran as usual. Same fools who thought Turkey and Qatar were Iran's allies said that this time was different and the situation in Russia had changed.
I warned that if TP3 did not happen, the next move would be a direct military confrontation with Iran and here we are... Needless to say, I was against throwing missiles at Israel as a show-off because it made us lose our last remaining deterrent factor. They realized that our missiles were far less accurate and destructive than anticipated.
The truth is that we are a sitting duck. The Islamic Republic still has solid military options on paper, but the system is corrupt to the bone and they will never take those options in fear of retaliation by the West. After all, they have too much money invested in the West and their children and family members live in the West. It was these people that made Iran surrender in 2015 to one of the worst deals signed in our history (JCPOA). The deal with Trump, if it happens, will be only to defang Iran further than before. It is basically the same kind of deal that they offered Ghaddafi before overthrowing him and it will be the last nail in the coffin.
