This is closer to reality.
If a ceasefire happened tommorrow, Iran walks away a loser. Billions in damages, hundreds of lives lost, 10 brilliant scientist murdered, chain of command and officers killed, large scale nuclear enrichment program set back 1-3 years, countless radars and air defense systems destroyed. Airbases destroyed. We might not even have many fighter jets left from what was already an anemic Air Force pre attack.
Iran will likely still remain in NPT and not build nuclear weapon.
There is no way Iran can ‘win’ this conflict short of detonating a nuclear bomb.
Damaging Tel Aviv and other cities is fine and dandy, but that’s not going to rebuild our personnel or infrastructure. Israel got what it wanted, it hit Iran’s nuclear program and military hardware hard. It can then do this again, in 12-24 months if it so chooses.