Nevsky
Registered Member
Why are all Sunni gulf monarchies so spineless? I do understand that they love the USD more than everything, but they dont have any sense of honor left in them, its just mind-blowing...
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I dont take it seriously just because reports are coming. These reports are ruse.Lol most of the spies are Iranian themselves![]()
This night is going to be a very long for the Iranians
Buddy we didn't sleep for 36 hours sorry we don't post enough for youWhy i am not seeing Iranian members active on this thread for last few pages? is everything fine? Internet is working?
This king abdullah guy is a stain to the bloodline of Hazrat Ali he is a "descendent"Why are all Sunni gulf monarchies so spineless? I do understand that they love the USD more than everything, but they dont have any sense of honor left in them, its just mind-blowing...
5B$ a yearThe saudis have some big influence
Jordan is not a Persian Gulf monarchy.Why are all Sunni gulf monarchies so spineless? I do understand that they love the USD more than everything, but they dont have any sense of honor left in them, its just mind-blowing...
They don’t have unlimited missiles. They use a significant amount of stockpile for event one of these attacks
I hate to be doom and gloom but if the regime is to survive they need diplomacy right nown
so you want us to fire 8 missiles and make sure that 80% of them hit their targetsNo they don't have this number of BMs. Also Israel has destroyed most of their missile producing factories.
Moving forward, Iran should fire calculated number of missiles and somehow make sure that 80% of them hits their intended targets. A barrage of not more than 8-10 missiles. 6-7 ballistic missiles hitting Israel twice a day for the next 7-8 days will freak out Israelis badly.
My conclusions are quite different and a little harsh on Iran i am afraid. The erasure of the command and control structure was always going to be temporary to provide space for the initial opening round, to sow confusion. Israel correctly determined that the command structure is "personality cult driven/led and not institutional with identified chains of command with battlefield replacements built its structure and clear SOPs". That window of opportunity was to hit the targets that they wanted to. They hit all of the overground nuclear sites that they wanted to , and inflicted sufficient damage to slow down Iran's programme for years. They could never knock it out entirely, they knew that. But, with Iran's economic problems, the prospects of having to spend 10's of billions to resurrect that infrastructure to get back to where they were before the attack is going to pose a problem for them, esp if the snapback sanctions are applied, causing more economic pain. Even if Iran conducts a test with a device, they will not be able to generate enough fissile material for a meaningful nuclear capability for many years.
The Israeli public are not much concerned about what they are seeing from Iran, they have withstood longer and more sustained barrages from Lebanon, Palestine forces and it did not negatively affect Netanyahu politically or the people. This is a new normal for them.
Netanyahu may have political issues that may cause the end of his career, but it wont be because he is charged with Genocide/war crimes, the public does not care about that. Or, the result of Iran's attacks, they are geared to withstand that with all the bunkers they have.
I disagree with the notion that Iran has recovered its reputation. They are and will be rightly embarrassed for decades to come that Israel got the jump on them like that. People can see Iran's military is quite ineffective and it cannot impose a cost of any value given the lack of precision in the systems that Iran uses. Once, people used to fear Iran as the big bad wolf you should not go near or touch. Not so much now. Look at how freely the IDF can operate over Iran. Counters like Saudia, UAE can operate at that level of freedom over Iran now, as they have the same level of military hardware. Yes, those countries are closer and maybe affected by other systems, but the fear has been reduced by a few notches with this exchange, not gone up.
Who will take Iran's military that seriously when it can lose its entire senior command staff like that, when it was clear to all that an attack was coming? How ineffective is the chain of command in Iran, than secondary leaders could not automatically take over the operations without having to be "personally appointed for their political considerations ?". Iran's miliary structure, organisation and operational model has not come out well out of this at all. The nature of the government structure in Iran means, it can never be fixed either. A few missiles with poor CEP targeting that are missing their targets cannot change the fundamentals of that Iran lost the opening round and by all measure, it looks like they may not have the will or technical capability, or capacity to conduct a sustained campaign to "stay in the ring with Israel" for very long it seems.
Netanyahu may well fall out one day, but it will be because of low level petty politics in their government.
Don't get me wrong, i would love for Iran to be able to take Israel by the shoulder, bend her over a barrel and give a good account of himself, but i am afraid, what i saw and still see is impotence ...