Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[Persian Gulf]

We are. The only reason Iran did the other attack was because Israel hit consulate grounds. If you don’t defend your consulate you are basically not a country. Iran almost went to war with Afghanistan over a consulate attack. It is no joking matter in international geopolitics. There is a reason no country deliberately hits other embassies or consulates of other nations. It’s an act of war.

Seems like you are right. But I really don't see why they don't send 5-10 KS-1/2 missiles into a site in the occupied Golan each time Israel kills a IRGC officer in Syria.

Israel targeting Iranians in Syria = Iran targeting Israelis in Syria (occupied Syrian territory)

Golan doesn't have great ABM capabilities (if any) so 5-10 missiles would likely ensure at least 1 hit, and IDF bases in Golan are well known, so shouldn't be a targeting issue. Golan is not heavily populated either, so there is very low risk of accidentally killing civilians.

It seems to me that this equation would not be so hard to establish, and it would also help Hezbollah which has been targeting IDF sites in the Golan too (Hezbollah could provide data on where the key sites are, if Iran doesn't already know).

 

[Garcia Sea]

Israel is not a normal country.
Even though the government can mobilize tens of thousands of teenagers on a single order, and even though professional soldiers use young people as shields, and even though 18- and 19-year-olds are reported to have died in war every day, there is no anti-war movement as there was in the early days in Russia and other countries.
The Zionist government can dispose of young people and let them die without any reservation!
So they are content to take out numerous Iranian dignitaries and important scientists while the only losses to their allies are nameless young men.
Unfortunately, Israel will never stop until it strikes back, killing or wounding scores of civilians or government officials.

 

[mulj]

We are. The only reason Iran did the other attack was because Israel hit consulate grounds. If you don’t defend your consulate you are basically not a country. Iran almost went to war with Afghanistan over a consulate attack. It is no joking matter in international geopolitics. There is a reason no country deliberately hits other embassies or consulates of other nations. It’s an act of war.



Hezbollah is likely closer to 60,000 versus 100,000+.

100,000+ would be a general mobilization of Shiite neighborhoods in south Lebanon to repel a large invasion force.



Not true at all man. I don’t know where you get this information. Typical military academies teach that the invading force should be ideally at least 3-4x the defending force. Not 10x.

US barely cracked 160,000 to invade Iraq in 2003. A much larger land mass.

and iraq does not have a single hill.

 

[Mehdipersian]

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first Almas strike against Iron Dome launcher

IDF denied any damage to Iron Dome

60% chance Israel is lying, but the footage seems to cut off earlier than usual, so it may have landed just short of the target (but still, an explosion that close would do damage in any event)

there was another launcher to the left, not sure why Hezbollah didn't follow up with a strike against that launcher too (would enable them to confirm the hit to the first launcher as well, another reason I say only 60% chance of Hezbollah success / IDF lying)

100% chance of Zionism lying.

Every word of the Zionists in this war was a lie. This is completely expected from a terrorist group that calls itself a country

 

[Persian Gulf]

100% chance of jewish lying.

Every word of the Jews in this war was a lie. This is completely expected from a terrorist group that calls itself a country

my only reservation is that the video footage from the Almas seems to cut off earlier than usual

and the fact there was another launcher to the left but they didn't follow-up with another strike to target that one, which would confirm the destruction of the first launcher

 

[Persian Gulf]

Israel is not a normal country.
Even though the government can mobilize tens of thousands of teenagers on a single order, and even though professional soldiers use young people as shields, and even though 18- and 19-year-olds are reported to have died in war every day, there is no anti-war movement as there was in the early days in Russia and other countries.
The Zionist government can dispose of young people and let them die without any reservation!
So they are content to take out numerous Iranian dignitaries and important scientists while the only losses to their allies are nameless young men.
Unfortunately, Israel will never stop until it strikes back, killing or wounding scores of civilians or government officials.

they view the Gaza war as self defence and it is easy to support a war against lightly armed militants where you incur only small losses (around 300 IDF soldiers killed in 9 months, not including those killed on October 7th, around 30 per month)

as losses increase, anti-war movements will increase

 

[Mehdipersian]

New hunt for Almas

 

[tsunset]

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first Almas strike against Iron Dome launcher

IDF denied any damage to Iron Dome

60% chance Israel is lying, but the footage seems to cut off earlier than usual, so it may have landed just short of the target (but still, an explosion that close would do damage in any event)

there was another launcher to the left, not sure why Hezbollah didn't follow up with a strike against that launcher too (would enable them to confirm the hit to the first launcher as well, another reason I say only 60% chance of Hezbollah success / IDF lying)

100% lies lol

 

[jauk]

Laser Gyroscopes and sensitive components are delivered. Much easier to smuggle.

Simpler things like the body and other components are built inside Yemen.

Correct! As I said.

Also, let’s emphasize Yemen’s independent manufacturing capacity so the depth of The Resistance is understood.There’s nothing simple in building these things and using them under war conditions.

 

[tsunset]

Israel lies like it breathes

 

[Immortals]

Correct! As I said.

Also, let’s emphasize Yemen’s independent manufacturing capacity so the depth of The Resistance is understood.There’s nothing simple in building these things and using them under war conditions.

Important to not forget there are Iranian engineers risking their lives on the ground assisting Yemen engineers in Yemen to build these.

 

[Immortals]

Seems like you are right. But I really don't see why they don't send 5-10 KS-1/2 missiles into a site in the occupied Golan each time Israel kills a IRGC officer in Syria.

Because Iran and Khamenai are risk averse.

Israel targeting Iranians in Syria = Iran targeting Israelis in Syria (occupied Syrian territory)

Makes sense to me.

It seems to me that this equation would not be so hard to establish, and it would also help Hezbollah which has been targeting IDF sites in the Golan too (Hezbollah could provide data on where the key sites are, if Iran doesn't already know).

Same reason Israel doesn’t flatten Lebanon right now is same reason Iran doesn’t hit Israel. The risks of escalation. Iran had a soft underbelly as we saw with the quadcopter attacks. Israel can activate terror cells inside Iran to cause attacks and nuisances.

For Iran (leadership’s thinking at least) is that it’s better to just the bury the dead and move forward rather than enter unpredictable escalation. The only red line seems to be the territorial sovereignty of Iran.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Because Iran and Khamenai are risk averse.

Makes sense to me.

Same reason Israel doesn’t flatten Lebanon right now is same reason Iran doesn’t hit Israel. The risks of escalation. Iran had a soft underbelly as we saw with the quadcopter attacks. Israel can activate terror cells inside Iran to cause attacks and nuisances.

For Iran (leadership’s thinking at least) is that it’s better to just the bury the dead and move forward rather than enter unpredictable escalation. The only red line seems to be the territorial sovereignty of Iran.

Unfortunately the conclusion is that Bagheri and Salami lied to us all and their words are meaningless.

If Iran doesn't try to uphold its new deterrence equation / ROE the first time it should, then it becomes almost impossible to do so in future occurrences. So it's now or never. The message the IRGC is sending Israel is that you can kill as many senior IRGC officers as you like, destroy as many of our facilities or bases in Syria as you like, and we will not respond directly, just don't bomb our consulate or our territory. Weak.

 

[Persian Gulf]

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Hezbollah fired SAM at Israeli jet over south Lebanon (supposedly the first time this has happened). The jet was breaking the sound barrier on purpose to disturb and scare children in south Lebanon. The missile did not hit the jet but Hezbollah claims it forced the jet to withdraw.

First instance of Sayyad-2C vs F-16I?

 

[Immortals]

Unfortunately the conclusion is that Bagheri and Salami lied to us all and their words are meaningless.

Iranians are natural born liars at the end of the day. Let’s not forget the Tabriz base commander who said nothing got thru when the imbecile knew full well that satellites fly over head capturing all details and it’s not 1950.

The message the IRGC is sending Israel is that you can kill as many senior IRGC officers as you like, destroy as many of our facilities or bases in Syria as you like, and we will not respond directly, just don't bomb our consulate or our territory.

That is exactly the message.

Not to worry, talk to @jauk if you want to get a poetic pro-IRI interpretation alongside a haiku-esque word salad.