Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

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This confirms TP3 is not happening. Iran needs a new government as this fool is requesting negotiations from a position of weakness. All that bravado of destroying oil fields, pounding Israel into submission, blah blah.
 
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Iran hid the deaths of at least 15 advisors in the weeks before Assad’s fall.

Were they killed by Israeli attacks on Syria or by HTS?

Either way it’s damning that this government continues hiding its losses. Thus in context of Israel, Iran cannot be reliably expected to tell us the casualties Israel is inflicting on Iran behind the scenes.

Much is made of the Israeli “censor”. But very little of a potential Iranian one existing.

In context of TP1, 2, and a potential 3rd it’s quite clear Iran doesn’t want to add “fuel” to the fire that could call for calls to respond by domestic population/insiders.
 
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Iran hid the deaths of at least 15 advisors in the weeks before Assad’s fall.

Were they killed by Israeli attacks on Syria or by HTS?

Either way it’s damning that this government continues hiding its losses. Thus in context of Israel, Iran cannot be reliably expected to tell us the casualties Israel is inflicting on Iran behind the scenes.

Much is made of the Israeli “censor”. But very little of a potential Iranian one existing.

In context of TP1, 2, and a potential 3rd it’s quite clear Iran doesn’t want to add “fuel” to the fire that could call for calls to respond by domestic population/insiders.


در جنگ با شورشی ها بود و خیلی مخفی هم‌ نبود
ارتش سوریه بی حساب عقب نشینی می‌کرد و اونها گیر میفتادن

چند مورد رو شورشی ها گفتند
 
Bribing generals has limitations

You cannot bribe all generals in Allepo and also Hama and Homs secretly. So many of them were Alawi.

At least one general will speak up.
 
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This twitter account is an anti-Iran and anti-resistance Turkish propaganda account, I am surprised an Irani is quoting it.
 
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Iran hid the deaths of at least 15 advisors in the weeks before Assad’s fall.

Were they killed by Israeli attacks on Syria or by HTS?

Either way it’s damning that this government continues hiding its losses. Thus in context of Israel, Iran cannot be reliably expected to tell us the casualties Israel is inflicting on Iran behind the scenes.

Much is made of the Israeli “censor”. But very little of a potential Iranian one existing.

In context of TP1, 2, and a potential 3rd it’s quite clear Iran doesn’t want to add “fuel” to the fire that could call for calls to respond by domestic population/insiders.

TP3 has been just postponed to test how real are any interest of new US administration to reach a deal with Iran.

Even the enrichment of uranium are being used to simulate a new deal.

But the possibilities are low close to none.

Israel will never allow a powerful Iran in the region. After nuclear deal, they will ask missile program and after It to cut any link with iranians allies in the region.

That takes us to the first point. The TP3 will be launched later than sooner.
 
Nationalism is a tool of the West. Let's say what you've said is true. Even so Pakistan would never let Israel or anyone else kill people on their soil without consequences.



I was responding to a blind Iran supporter who, instead of acknowledging the defeats Iran has been dealt, chose to attack Pakistan. Regarding the zero conflicts that has changed since Iran's unprovoked attack earlier this year.
Ok, patriotism of Pakistan is strong on different forums, and they are ready to fight with Iran till the last Baluchistanis...
But the fact for the British santa-claus is the same anyway...Very similar to way of creating different Arabian states...

European nation-state concept is relatively new, but not sentiment of collective sense...There is a reason why Iran is only place that preserve own, reformed language, Persian language, they never became Arabs, unlike rest of the Caliphate etc...
Junta is enough for keeping Pakistan in the top shape intended to provide main tasks of the santa-claus...no need for foriegn aggression...

Iran has no choice but to fight, figuratively meaning, for strong and competitive national state...And in major league, competitors are top world's players...Probably a goddammit hard game...


I am on Pakistani forum, so for the sake of homeowners, I will stop here now...cheers
 
Hence why the most sensitive are buried in mountains. But even then I wouldn’t discount possibility of enemy doing commando raids using black ops weapons in the opening hours of war during the fog of war when Iran hasn’t fully mobilized, like they did to suspected buried missile sites in Lebanon/Syria.
on the other hand, Hezbollah's underground missile bases continued to be operational even after a full year of war with Israel. that's encouraging
 
. But even then I wouldn’t discount possibility of enemy doing commando raids using black ops weapons in the opening hours of war during the fog of war when Iran hasn’t fully mobilized, like they did to suspected buried missile sites in Lebanon/Syria.


That is highly unrealistic for Iran. Lebanon and Syria are not comparable situations.

And why would Iran need to "fully mobilise" to defend strategic underground sites?

There would probably be at least a battalion(~500) of heavily armed elite soldiers permanently asigned to protect these sites. It would be suicide to try a commando raid on any of these sites.
 
The psychological impact has not changed "Israeli" decision making so far.
Correct! However, there are deep deep gashes they will never heal. Ongoing injuries often are worse than them being fatal.
 
The sudden collapse of the military in Syria has been reportedly attributed to three main factors:
- Advanced electronic warfare using Western technology that disrupted Syrian military communications
- Extensive use of drones, which had already dealt significant damage to Russian forces in Ukraine. It has been revealed that even Russian military bases were overwhelmed by drone attacks, leaving them unable to provide assistance
- Bribing influential figures with dollars, causing generals and high-ranking government officials to defect in the early stages

Unfortunately, all these tactics would be highly effective against Iran as well.
It is evident that Iran has already suffered serious security breaches internally. Once conflict begins, electronic devices will explode in various locations, information will leak, and command and communication systems will be quickly paralyzed.
High-ranking officials will likely defect one after another when faced with tactics combining threats of assassination and substantial dollar incentives.
The Iranian Army and Revolutionary Guard Corps, having been away from full-scale combat for a long time, would be unable to cope with the massive deployment of advanced drones.

We must face these harsh realities.
No one in the West is advocating for negotiations with Iran anymore - all attention is focused on when the order for military action will be given.
Incorrect! Perhaps the realm of alternate history is. best for you.
 
It would take an EMP to do that, or 1000 missiles hitting major Israeli economic, military and infrastructure nodes to do that. In short, anything that cripples their ability to function as either a nation or a cohesive military force.
Which brings us into the purview of a nuclear response.
 
F-18 shot down by US cruiser

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(source seems to be Turkish):

"The Level of Collapse of Syrian Command"

Claim is Poorhashemi was shot and martyred in the war room. Iranian advisors were pushing the Syrian commanders to execute defensive ops with Russian air support. And the Syrians did not do anything. A 'Syrian General' walked in and started firing martyring Poorhashemi.

Iran had previously reported that Poorhashemi had died in combat against HTS.

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(source seems to be Turkish):

"The Level of Collapse of Syrian Command"

Claim is Poorhashemi was shot and martyred in the war room. Iranian advisors were pushing the Syrian commanders to execute defensive ops with Russian air support. And the Syrians did not do anything. A 'Syrian General' walked in and started firing martyring Poorhashemi.

Iran had previously reported that Poorhashemi had died in combat against HTS.

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If that is true, that is the lowest of the low.

To murder a military advisor of your biggest financial and military supporter is unbelieveable.
 

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