Who will pay the war?. Israel?, Saudí Arabia?, Russia?.
Do you realize how U.S. raises money? They issue bonds. Iran is the one shutting down large amounts of its schools and society to conserve energy because it’s too cold and they have problem keeping the lights on. You think the U.S. is the one that has to pinch pennies?
This is not logical analysis.
In his first tenure he left Afganistán. Then Yemen and inmediately cut all military relevant military assistance to Ukraine. And with Venezuela that has nothing similar to Iranian ballistic missile power, drones and cruise missiles is day after day more obvious that he won't invade Venezuela. All they have It is two dozens of Su30 and some very well known S300.
He is still in Syria. He is still funding Ukraine. He funded billions for the Gaza war. Your logic of Iran’s missile prowess is not rooted in recent events that transpired.
I agree that shooting down an F35 is more than challenging. But the key are patterns. As soon the start entering inside Iranian airspace IRGC and they fly predetermined routes to attack IRGC will displace systems capable to track them.
They will fly pre-determined routes? Says who. And what systems will Iran “displace” to track F-35 when they couldn’t shoot down a single Israeli jet after 12 days? But suddenly they are going to be able to hit the USAF?
For Houthies took years, but they managed to shoot down Ef2000 (at least 2 of them), F15 (some of them), F18E, F16 and challenged a US carrier to the point to make a complete withdrawn.
Houthis dont have a country. They are a guerrilla group. Yemen is a failed state and the poorest nation in the Middle East. You are comparing an apple to a watermelon. Iran has a lot of pain points and has to feed its population and keep unrest low and nation and economy functioning.
You don't need to shoot down a half of dozen, even 2 of them. Just one, and all military propaganda of invulnerability will fall.
Did it fall when a Yugoslavia shot down a F-117? When Iraq shot down Iranian F-14 did myth of Iranian Air Force and American prowess go up in flames?
In the first Persian Gulf War, 52 fixed-wing US aircraft were shot down. In the Iraq War, 23 fixed-wing US aircraft were shot down.
You live in alternate reality. And are putting entirely too much importance on a single fighter jet.
US is at the brink of the Split, like Israel.
US is in brink of split? Toman has fallen from 1,000 to $1USD to 135,000 in
15 years
Most of the world/banks still uses dollars to facilitate international trade. Who uses the rial?
U.S. companies dominate the global stock market, how many Iranian companies dominate the globe? And you think the U.S. is the one at risk for civil war or “split”?
U.S. has its fair share of problems, but Iran is the one on life support.
How would react the public oppinion in NBC or Fox when iranians boasts wreck of a F35 or some F15 inside Iranian soil?. Or even worse some pilots down in Tehran streets like Hanoi?.
They would rally around the flag and ask for blood. So your celebration would be short lived as the entire critical infrastructure of Iran (oil terminals like Kharg island, oil refineries, ports, power plants) would be demolished in retribution.
Do you really think Iran can survive a full on shoot out with the United States? You keep comparing iran to Houthi’s or Taliban or Vietcong. They all fought as guerilla’s for years before the adversary got tired and left.
IRGC and Artesh aren’t guerrilla groups and the government of Iran is not a band of war lords and militants who can hide in mountains or jungles for years. They have a country to run and feed.
The issue is you are not thinking of the 2nd and 3rd order consequences of your action.
Iran could barely handle Israel and now you think that facing America and shooting down 1 F-35 will make America wave the white flag and run away like it’s Vietnam.
Saddam also thought in 1990 that US wouldn’t have the stomach to challenge his land grab and in return he lost most of his military. Don’t underestimate the U.S. war machine.
