Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[shapurzolaktaf]

seems some massive operation underway ...something big is happening .... all news blackout.

Any source available?

 

[HAIDER]

Any source available?

some other time.... but its underway, no idea how long and who will be the winner.

 

[Immortals]

Are you seriously comparing Iranian civil society, institutions and potential to Libya, Iraq, Syria and Ukraine? Most of these countries are in a 24/7 war or divided by geography, autonomous regions or occupied by foreign militaries.

Iran has just much fragmentation risk as Syria when it comes to Kurds to North, Balouchistan in the south, and Arabs in the oil rich regions of the east. Not to mention territorial claims by UAE on our islands.

Iran has a lot of enemies that will want to see the country weak and fragmented.

of course there is difference when it comes to Iran. Iran is spending 100-150 billion USD a year on energy subsidies alone! just relocating these "consumption subsidies" to direct payment to the poor, investments in infrastructure, export and production, could improve the situation a lot.

Again you don’t have a good grasp on how economics work. Removing those subsidies would cause massive inflation when the economy is already very weak. And the way you combat inflation is raising interest rates and suck up the credit lending in the economy which will kill liquidity and push iran further into stagflation.

The last time the government raised gas prices just a little by cutting subsidies, it caused nationwide rioting with banks and gas stations being set on fire. Do you forget that?

Now you want to remove the subsidies on food, gasoline, natural gas for home heating, etc.? That’s physically not possible without introducing massive inflation and only causing greater tensions in the population.

Throwing money at poor people or giving direct checks to people will just be consumed with no real benefit and then the people will have to deal with the lack of subsidies on basic goods and energy and will get back in the streets again.

There is no “easy” way out of this. The fact is riots and protests are gonna be a new reality whether they sacrifice Khamenai or not is irrelevant. The economy is in runaway collapse mode like in Syria under Assad and Venezuela under Maduro.

Without China backing Iran and opening massive credit lines and investment into Iran there isn’t much to stop the bleeding. And if China could reverse the fortunes that quickly, they would have done it to Pakistan their patron that still suffers from an energy crisis.

 

[Immortals]

The reform I was talking about would cover all of those things

You should go to Majils and unveil your grand plan and tell them you have solved all these problems.

When I talked about reform at $1 = 30,000 Toman

Everyone said resistance is the proper way

When I talked about reform at $1 = 50,000

Again it was we can beat Israel and America

$1 = 75,000 = Same story

$1 = 100,000 = Same propaganda on here

$1 = 150,000

Suddenly now everyone wants to reform a collapsing institution. It’s like Soviet Union trying to reform in late 1980s. The time for change was 10-15 years ago, even 5 years ago would have reduced some pressure.

True economic and government Reform takes years and decades not months. There is simply not enough time to see progress before Israel/US attacks or rioting turns even deadlier.

 

[Immortals]

seems some massive operation underway ...something big is happening .... all news blackout.

Nothing is happening. Iran cuts internet at peak protesting times to prevent coordination of rioters and groups on encrypted apps. They also do it to make it harder for Mossad and CIA to pump propaganda into the country and stir up color revolutionaries.

This is a tactic Iran has used since 2009 to disrupt the cohesiveness and organization of protests/riots. Internet will probably come back in the coming hours.

So far these protests are no where near the level they need to be. They are far away from the Mahsa Amini riots of 2022 or the Green riots of 2009.

But of course on X/Twitter suddenly everyone has become an iran geopolitical analyst.

 

[mangekyo]

Can someone confirm? If they suggest he has defected, right next to Israel is probably not the best choice.

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[Immortals]

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So far it looks mostly like it’s just young males and even teenagers throwing rocks and burning stuff.

Should be noted that unemployment is very high among Iran’s youth (over 25%+) . So naturally they are ones first to the streets when riots break out and usually a big segment.

 

[Immortals]

Can someone confirm?

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We are trusting accounts based in Northern Israel to deliver truth now?

 

[RescueRanger]

View attachment 171015

We are trusting accounts based in Northern Israel to deliver truth now?

This is the problem my Iranian brothers. This is what we guard against in Pakistani threads when we have conflicts - we police very carefully which sources are being cited in the thread - because you will find that nations hostile to your existence will elevate posts like this to gain traction.

 

[mangekyo]

View attachment 171015

We are trusting accounts based in Northern Israel to deliver truth now?

I don’t know this account, which is why I asked if someone can confirm.

 

[kastor ville]

You should go to Majils and unveil your grand plan and tell them you have solved all these problems.

When I talked about reform at $1 = 30,000 Toman

Everyone said resistance is the proper way

When I talked about reform at $1 = 50,000

Again it was we can beat Israel and America

$1 = 75,000 = Same story

$1 = 100,000 = Same propaganda on here

$1 = 150,000

Suddenly now everyone wants to reform a collapsing institution. It’s like Soviet Union trying to reform in late 1980s. The time for change was 10-15 years ago, even 5 years ago would have reduced some pressure.

True economic and government Reform takes years and decades not months. There is simply not enough time to see progress before Israel/US attacks or rioting turns even deadlier.

You're just bitter...you want revenge not reform. You weren't the only one saying this 10 yrs ago....a lot of us did too, in the old PDF. In any case I think you'll get to see the result of what you hoped for......if Iran doesn't break out in a civil war....I'll be praising the outcome. But I think we've seen this movie before...while these bastards are in power in the White House this is not the time for a revolution. But then again, what can you expect from these knuckleheads?

 

[kastor ville]

You live in a fairy tale land.

Did it happen in Ukraine? Where corruption is still at all time highs with the “democratic” government?

Did it happen in Iraq? That still suffers with economic problems and rapid unemployment among the youth?

Has it happened in Syria? Where Kurdish and Islamist forces are now battling in Aleppo?

What about Libya that has been in a warring state for years after Ghaddafi?


But you think Iran is the one who is gonna reverse that trend? That’s being naive.

Iran needs over 250B in foreign investment capital to start turning things around. Its 20 year “strategic” deal with China was a farce. Its strategic deal with Russia was a bigger joke.

Iran simply cannot reverse its economic fortunes overnight just by reducing corruption and changing a few heads in the government. If it were that easy then the factions would have agreed to it years ago.

As I routinely say on here, you cannot fight the West without a strong insulated economy (like China for example). Iran’s economy is far too weak and dependent on foreign investment and trade to be able to wage Holy war against Israel and have no relations with the U.S.

But People still won’t listen.

By the way 200 billion dollars is not a lot of money for a country with the 3rd largest oil reserves and 2nd largest gas reserves. Only 4 conglomerates are needed to make that investment. XOM, CVX alone can probably do it. Not to mention Shell, BP, and half dozen others.

 

[mangekyo]

President Javier Milei significantly reduced Argentina's monthly inflation from a peak of 25.5% in December 2023 to approximately 2% by late 2025, a process that took roughly two years to stabilize.

It's unfortunate to quote Argentinian Trump.

Inflation Reduction Timeline

• Initial Shock (December 2023): Milei inherited monthly inflation of 25.5%. In his first months, annual inflation continued to rise, peaking near 300% in April 2024.
• Rapid Deceleration (First 6 Months): Within five months of taking office, monthly inflation dropped to 4.2% (May 2024).
• Stabilization (2025): By mid-2025, monthly rates reached as low as 1.5% (May 2025), the lowest in five years.
• Current Status (January 2026): As of early 2026, monthly inflation has stabilized around 2.3% to 2.5%.

Argentinians knew what would happen, but they elected him. But Iranians are not Argentinians, they rather burn down everything, keep the economy weak for many years, inflation high for ever, just to have cheap fuel, bread, electricity. We're culturally spoiled and lazy, disrupting it makes us angry. We want things easy and fast. Some Iranians think maybe Trump and Israel will liberate us and our salary becomes 2000 usd a month, with the same culture and mentality as we have now.

This is irrelevant. Argentina is not under sanctions.

 

[shapurzolaktaf]

This is irrelevant. Argentina is not under sanctions.

If you use sanctions to dismiss effective policy, I can counter that by saying Argentina has not such a huge oil and gas reserves as Iran. So yeah, they have some advantage, but so do we.

 

[mangekyo]

If you use sanctions to dismiss effective policy, I can counter that by saying Argentina has not such a huge oil and gas reserves as Iran. So yeah, they have some advantage, but so do we.

Iran can’t copy Argentina. We have no access to dollars, weak oil income running on barter trade with China, sanctions on everything and subsidies replacing wages.

Raising interest rates would just crush production and shrink supply, so prices still rise. Cutting subsidies would spike food, housing and energy costs when wages are already too low. That means even more poverty and higher inflation.