Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[mangekyo]

So Hezbollah has about 150k rockets in it's arsenal and they fire about 20 so far today while Israel does more than 300 airstrikes.

Doesn't make any sense whatsoever to me. They are holding back but why. Do they want the ppls support and so are letting Israel unite the Lebanese ppl for all out war? The whole thing isn't making any sense.

Israel has found the sweet spot. They get to inflict maximum damage without facing any serious repercussions

 

[Nuffle]

Hezbollah first vacated the Iron Dome using Katyushas and subsequently the main strike came by 15 Fajr 5s which are the big ones. Given videos, most if not all struck successfully.

Are they also using drone swarm attack to overwhelm Israel's AD?

 

[PaklovesTurkiye]

Iranians...Better prepare for war.

Sort the moles within your country and among all your allies in the region.

Don't leave Hezbullah alone...Open multiple fronts.

Israel wants to pick you guys one by one.

Open multiple fronts.

And get the nukes...

THE CLOCK IS TICKING

May Allah bless you guys with victory.

Best wishes from your Sunni Neighbor.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1838205584442888510

Lebanese blood is calling for revenge.

Israeli citizens should not be spared.

 

[Kyussis]

So Hezbollah has about 150k rockets in it's arsenal and they fire about 20 so far today while Israel does more than 300 airstrikes.

Doesn't make any sense whatsoever to me. They are holding back but why. Do they want the ppls support and so are letting Israel unite the Lebanese ppl for all out war? The whole thing isn't making any sense.

150k rockets might seem like a huge number to us but in reality, is not enough for an all out war. Just look at artillery expenditure in the Ukrain war.

 

[tsunset]

Iranians...Better prepare for war.

Sort the moles within your country and among all your allies in the region.

Don't leave Hezbullah alone...Open multiple fronts.

Israel wants to pick you guys one by one.

Open multiple fronts.

And get the nukes...

THE CLOCK IS TICKING

May Allah bless you guys with victory.

Best wishes from your Sunni Neighbor.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1838205584442888510

Lebanese blood is calling for revenge.

Israeli citizens should not be spared.

Saying this 1 year ago would have resulted in a ban and people calling you being a psychopath, now after thousands killed, people starts to think about sparing no one

Also i hope you do not live in Europe, they are watching closely discussions related to this subject and will not hesitate to put you in some "terrorist" list or red alarm list, they have a whole department dedicated to this

This is dangerous if you live there, many people lost their jobs and won't be able to find a job because of being against Israel in its civilian killing rampage

 

[Immortals]

Saying this 1 year ago would have resulted in a ban and people calling you being a psychopath, now after thousands killed, people starts to think about sparing no one

Also i hope you do not live in Europe, they are watching closely discussions related to this subject and will not hesitate to put you in some "terrorist" list or red alarm list, they have a whole department dedicated to this

This is dangerous if you live there, many people lost their jobs and won't be able to find a job because of being against Israel in its civilian killing rampage

Yadesh bekher SalarHaqq. That bachee divonee.

Now he is either confined in some European jail or got fined and his life destroyed for being Pro-Russia, Anti-Ukraine, and extremely anti-Semitic. All crimes against Humanity in EU these days under woke culture.

 

[Garcia Sea]

According to the Lebanese government, Israeli bombing killed 182 people in the south of the country on the 23rd alone.
Furthermore, the bombing has spread to the eastern and northern parts of the country, and the number of victims is expected to increase further.
If Hezbollah continues to make excuses and mount a sham counterattack that does not even result in injuries, it will be the end of Hezbollah.
They will be abandoned by the people, just like Hussein in Iraq.
The number of casualties from bombings per day already far exceeds that of Gaza.
Whoever said Lebanon is not Gaza was wrong.
Hezbollah's irredentism has turned Lebanon into Gaza.

 

[Immortals]

150k rockets might seem like a huge number to us but in reality, is not enough for an all out war. Just look at artillery expenditure in the Ukrain war.

2000 rockets a day = 75 days of ammo. Assuming Israel destroys nothing or has destroyed nothing so far.

2000 rockets a day is nothing in terms of damage as Russia fires 10,000 artillery shells and 200-300 glide bombs + tens of CMs + handful of BMs per day.

War of slow low grade attrition is the hand that Axis is playing right now. How long that continues or if it ever changes is anyone’s guess.

It all depends how much political capital Bibi has left and how much he can sustain this war without the public forcing him to accept a negotiation.

 

[PaklovesTurkiye]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1838207386365952390

 

[Immortals]

According to the Lebanese government, Israeli bombing killed 182 people in the south of the country on the 23rd alone.
Furthermore, the bombing has spread to the eastern and northern parts of the country, and the number of victims is expected to increase further.
If Hezbollah continues to make excuses and mount a sham counterattack that does not even result in injuries, it will be the end of Hezbollah.
They will be abandoned by the people, just like Hussein in Iraq.
The number of casualties from bombings per day already far exceeds that of Gaza.
Whoever said Lebanon is not Gaza was wrong.
Hezbollah's irredentism has turned Lebanon into Gaza.

Hezbollah cannot sustain a hot war for long and Iran cannot reliably be expected to resupply HZ during a hot war.

That is why Israel went after the missile factory in Syria, it was to reduce HZ resupply efforts if a hot war breaks out. Such a facility will like take months maybe even a couple years to bring online again if it was indeed completely destroyed.

Will Iran join a hot war? It came to Syria’s aid for the very reason of keeping its land bridge to HZ alive. If Syria fell and a anti Axis pro-Israel/Us puppet government was installed then HZ would be isolated from Iran in case of hot war with Israel and more vulnerable.

So while Iran might be willing to let Hamas/Islamic Jihad get reduced to a minor insurgency group (from a group who fired thousands of rockets per day and had 25,000-50,000 combatants), I doubt Iran will let HZ be defanged.

Very interesting times ahead.

 

[Immortals]

According to the Lebanese government, Israeli bombing killed 182 people in the south of the country on the 23rd alone.
The number of casualties from bombings per day already far exceeds that of Gaza.
Whoever said Lebanon is not Gaza was wrong.
Hezbollah's irredentism has turned Lebanon into Gaza.

182 killed (number likely to rise) including women, children, and nearly 800 injured in a single day.

How many IDF has HZ killed in its 9 months of “attacks”?

What is Nasrallah’s redline these days? Anyone know?

One should remember that 2006 war was never intended to be a war. Nasrallah himself said if he knew it would lead to war he wouldn’t have done the cross border raid that lead to the ignition of that war.

However, now HZ is being pummeled and has lost 500+ fighters but more importantly it’s leadership and commanders from its most effective fighting units. These are substantial losses and not mere loss of foot soldiers.

How long will strategic patience last for the Axis?

 

[Nuffle]

The Axis of Passivity appears to be significantly weakened. Remember that Hezbollah is a source of security for Iran against Israel if it were to attack Iran's nuclear facilities. One by one, Israel is eliminating the Axis and will pave the way for Israel to do what it has always dreamed of: destroying Iran's nuclear facilities. And the statements of the Iranian president are ridiculously funny.

 

[bengalcdn]

The Axis of Passivity appears to be significantly weakened. Remember that Hezbollah is a source of security for Iran against Israel if it were to attack Iran's nuclear facilities. One by one, Israel is eliminating the Axis and will pave the way for Israel to do what it has always dreamed of: destroying Iran's nuclear facilities. And the statements of the Iranian president are ridiculously funny.

Iranians should send a strong message no doubt. Sitting idly by isn’t going to help.

 

[Immortals]

The Axis of Passivity appears to be significantly weakened. Remember that Hezbollah is a source of security for Iran against Israel if it were to attack Iran's nuclear facilities. One by one, Israel is eliminating the Axis and will pave the way for Israel to do what it has always dreamed of: destroying Iran's nuclear facilities. And the statements of the Iranian president are ridiculously funny.

It appears Solemani was more important to the cohesive and prowess of the Axis than many believed.

Nasrallah taking over many of Solemani’s responsibilities has been an utter disaster.

Guess who petitioned for pagers and to ditch smartphones? Nasrallah

To think a pager is harder to hack or infiltrate than the cellphone of trillion dollar company like Apple (which not even FBI was able to break a simple passcode) or Samsung? Where is logic in that?

If either brand were to have their phones hacked or sabotaged it would cause immense financial and reputation damage to their brand/value as a company. Israel would have to take that into account as the backlash would be severe if billions of people decide their phones are unsafe.

Nasrallah did not think the pager decision thru.

The next 30 days are going to be very interesting for the Axis as Israel is planning to bomb HZ & by an extent Iran into submission and force HZ to retreat away from the border and allow northern Israel border towns to not be under constant attack.

That is Bibi’s goal.

 

[Immortals]

Iranian president says he does not want war with Israel

“We want to live in peace,” Masoud Pezeshkian told reporters in New York City as the United Nation General Assembly gets underway. “We don’t wish to be the cause of instability in the region."

www.nbcnews.com

Our reformist President waving the white flag before the dust even settles, doing unnecessary damage to Iranian deterrence policy.