Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

jauk said:
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Full support for clashing, till the end... I want good and hard fight from both sides in Tell Aviv 🍿
 
Trump has won the US election. Very bad news for IRI.

IRI is in a weaker position now than 2016. Expect reimposition of all secondary sanctions against Iran, pushing Iranian oil exports to new lows as China likely to buys token amounts only (as in 2018-2020).

IRI only has two options: break out to nuclear weapons, or accept direct negotiations with Trump. IRI is very slow to act and conservative (and generally incompetent) so a break out is unlikely. And accepting direct negotiations with the guy who murdered Soleimani is humiliating for the IRI.

This leaves only indirect negotiations with the US that are unlikely to go anywhere.

Iran elects a reformist, USA elects a mega-zionist. Ben Gvir's and Netanyahu's dreams have come true and their project to permanently alter the face of the region continues.
 
Persian Gulf said:
Trump has won the US election. Very bad news for IRI.

IRI is in a weaker position now than 2016. Expect reimposition of all secondary sanctions against Iran, pushing Iranian oil exports to new lows as China likely to buys token amounts only (as in 2018-2020).

IRI only has two options: break out to nuclear weapons, or accept direct negotiations with Trump. IRI is very slow to act and conservative (and generally incompetent) so a break out is unlikely. And accepting direct negotiations with the guy who murdered Soleimani is humiliating for the IRI.

This leaves only indirect negotiations with the US that are unlikely to go anywhere.

Iran elects a reformist, USA elects a mega-zionist. Ben Gvir's and Netanyahu's dreams have come true and their project to permanently alter the face of the region continues.
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It is interesting that you think that Democrats are different from Republicans.

For Iran, it does not matter who is in the White House. Only the reformists in Iran will be unhappy
 
Mehdipersian said:
It is interesting that you think that Democrats are different from Republicans.

For Iran, it does not matter who is in the White House. Only the reformists in Iran will be unhappy
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stop this fantasy

compare iran oil exports from 2018-2020 to 2022-2024

you guys forgot how in the final months of Trump 2020 IRI was scared shitless
 
Screenshot 2024-11-06 at 09.10.49.png

a reminder for those with short memories

Iran's 'maximum pressure' campaign against Iran drove Iran's oil exports below 0.5m bpd (from 2m bpd in the years before). Luckily for Iran, Trump lost the 2020 election and Biden allowed Iran's exports to return to 1.5m bpd in recent years.

now imagine oil exports returning to <0.5m bpd from 2026-2028 and tell me IRI doesn't care if Democrat or Republican wins
 
Persian Gulf said:
stop this fantasy

compare iran oil exports from 2018-2020 to 2022-2024

you guys forgot how in the final months of Trump 2020 IRI was scared shitless
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Lol
The sale of Iran's oil is due to the economic agreements with China that were signed during Raeesi's time.
No sanctions were lifted by Biden and the sanctions were even increased
 
Persian Gulf said:
Trump has won the US election. Very bad news for IRI.

IRI is in a weaker position now than 2016. Expect reimposition of all secondary sanctions against Iran, pushing Iranian oil exports to new lows as China likely to buys token amounts only (as in 2018-2020).

IRI only has two options: break out to nuclear weapons, or accept direct negotiations with Trump. IRI is very slow to act and conservative (and generally incompetent) so a break out is unlikely. And accepting direct negotiations with the guy who murdered Soleimani is humiliating for the IRI.

This leaves only indirect negotiations with the US that are unlikely to go anywhere.

Iran elects a reformist, USA elects a mega-zionist. Ben Gvir's and Netanyahu's dreams have come true and their project to permanently alter the face of the region continues.
Click to expand...
No way that Iran is in worse position now than 2016, then was hope that deal with usa is reality, level of isolation will never be the same, and for threats to Iran we will see if Russia remembers who was first to give hand during hardest time... Now brics is worthy that g-7... nothing is same as before, and usa is no more only choice....
 
Persian Gulf said:
Trump has won the US election. Very bad news for IRI.

IRI is in a weaker position now than 2016. Expect reimposition of all secondary sanctions against Iran, pushing Iranian oil exports to new lows as China likely to buys token amounts only (as in 2018-2020).

IRI only has two options: break out to nuclear weapons, or accept direct negotiations with Trump. IRI is very slow to act and conservative (and generally incompetent) so a break out is unlikely. And accepting direct negotiations with the guy who murdered Soleimani is humiliating for the IRI.

This leaves only indirect negotiations with the US that are unlikely to go anywhere.

Iran elects a reformist, USA elects a mega-zionist. Ben Gvir's and Netanyahu's dreams have come true and their project to permanently alter the face of the region continues.
Click to expand...
Your post lacks a fundamental understanding of US politics. It’s incorrect. The main thing anyone should build into their calculations is that this is his LAST time office. Now that could swing between great and bad like any President. The rest of the stuff is static.


Also, is this the right thread for this?
 
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Persian Gulf said:
Iran elects a reformist, USA elects a mega-zionist. Ben Gvir's and Netanyahu's dreams have come true and their project to permanently alter the face of the region continues.
Click to expand...

Iran should have waited with the election will US election was over.
A couple months here and there wouldnt have mattered much.
 
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Persian Gulf said:
Trump has won the US election. Very bad news for IRI.

IRI is in a weaker position now than 2016. Expect reimposition of all secondary sanctions against Iran, pushing Iranian oil exports to new lows as China likely to buys token amounts only (as in 2018-2020).

IRI only has two options: break out to nuclear weapons, or accept direct negotiations with Trump. IRI is very slow to act and conservative (and generally incompetent) so a break out is unlikely. And accepting direct negotiations with the guy who murdered Soleimani is humiliating for the IRI.

This leaves only indirect negotiations with the US that are unlikely to go anywhere.

Iran elects a reformist, USA elects a mega-zionist. Ben Gvir's and Netanyahu's dreams have come true and their project to permanently alter the face of the region continues.
Click to expand...

I get your concerns.

This should be a lesson to all other free nations. They should work towards a situation whereby whoever runs America has no consequence to their own national interests.

It's a long way away however everything starts with a vision.

I also think sometimes we look too deeply into it. The deep state is the deep state. Trump is the facade albeit one that sometimes makes a deeper plunge than others.....(which is why they wanted him killed).
 
Persian Gulf said:
Trump has won the US election. Very bad news for IRI.
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Worst they may do is court Russia to reduce ties with Iran in exchange for throwing Ukraine under the bus. Otherwise foreign policy of Trump and Harris are the same.

Trump will also likely increase pressure on China so we won't necessarily see reduction of oil imports by them.
 
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