"easily intercepted MRBMs"
This is correct. The crux of deterrence was Hezbollah and its massive arsenal of Katyushas, which had enough ballistic missiles to deal damage to Israel. Axis of Resistance incompetence led to them being crushed on the battlefied. Once Syria was lost, the Axis ceased to exist. It's now just leftovers being cleaned up. The easiest victory Israel has had in history was their 4 day decimation of Hezbollah. With Syria gone, they are finished. There are videos everywhere of takfiri beheadings of Hezbollah members, Israelis standing adopt rotten bodies of Hezbollah fighters with faces askew in last-minute-of-life horror. Leadership matters, human capital in the form of expertise matters. This is why Soleimani was taken out- the beginning of the end for Iran. All those decades of building up this militia, hyping them up as some vaunted force after the disastrous near loss of 2006 as if it was a victory, all of this for them to be reduced to human wreckage in 4 days.
The question is, does Iran have time to do this? If so, how many days of missile salvos will it take for all deterrence to be lost? I get the feeling ballistic missiles are on-time use cards, like Hezbollah was.
in the last attack Hajizadeh said this was only 20% of our capability, suggesting Iran can launch close to 1000 missiles at once if we use all our bases
Hezbollah lost to the tune of 4,000 fighters, not hundreds. Iranians of all stripes- Islamists, Monarchists, whatever, engage in denial a lot. For instance this mohammad guy is an example, but so are the Monarchists who are shocked that Israel now is making moves to help Aliyev and to increase separatism in Iranian Azerbaijan.
This much we can agree on but I must underscore that only the zionist West are pathological liars. It is a condition that's inflicted on them. Let me quote George Costanza in the most zionist of programs: "Jerry, just remember, it's not a lie if you believe it"
It's only relevant if you believe in the satellit imagery. Considering their ability to withhold and change satellite imagery I won't take these images with bucket load of salt.
Now this were I believe we can both both forth relevant rational arguments for and against. I have seen unedited footage of the destructive power of Iran's missiles, not withstanding videos from exercises in Iran. 7-8 impact craters seems relatively consistent with Ain Assad, if I remember correctly. I'll upload the videos on both later on to underpin my argumentation concerning destructiveness. Either you're right concerning the amount of destruction achieve by half a ton high grade explosive or less was used if we assume that the images are factual. I believe both claims to be incorrect. In my opinion there should be more destruction caused and I do not lend credence to the satellite imaginary provided by the zionist West concerning this matter.
Americans do not upload their security documents on the Internet. The words of their media are as worthless as the words of their president
If i remember 300 is the number given by general McKenzie back in 2019
The Western osint on Iran is written in zionist fantasy La La land! But their elites are well aware of Iran's capabilities. We do not underestimate them. They're highly capable and ruthless. They wouldn't otherwise be in position they're in, but they are by no means Übermensch as some here would like to portray them.
