Israel’s Genocide in Gaza | 2023- till present

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An interesting video.

Even if Hamas is completely wiped out (which it won't ever be, even according to the most pro-Israeli US assessments), Hamas has already won. Sinwar's strategy has already succeeded.

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Solomon2 said:
Lebanon has a "confessional" political system with power divided between religio-political entities within a sort-of republican framework. I see relationships between the entities are a function of relative power with frictions resolved by personal relationships between their leaders.

Lebanon's political system forbids any religio-political entity from being wiped out entirely - at least formally. For example, Hezbollah supported rebuilding Beirut's Maghen Abraham Synagogue (damaged in the 1982 Israel-PLO war, IIRC) even though the number of Jews remaining in Beirut is likely under three dozen. Other entities have redoubts that can't be touched by a rival, lest the remainder will gang up against the offender when the besieged redoubt is threatened.

Israel's activities have both reduced Hezbollah's power and compelled Hezbollah to interact with its Lebanese partners/rivals through different personalities. I suppose this is an opportunity for Lebanese to "solve" some of their issues. But I feel certain no matter what Hezbollah will survive - at least in name.
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So in other words, it solved nothing.

Also, what do you mean "at least in name"? Hezbullah's military infrastructure is barely damaged. It's kept Israeli forces at the border, even with newer reserve army divisions being called to push hezbullah. Israel hasn't even made it a kilometer inside Lebanon, they're stuck at a few hundred meters, and are having to resort to building a buffer zone inside Israeli territory, something they wanted to do inside Lebanon.

Israel has failed on its strategic goals.
 
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shamir said:
The military destruction of Hamas (and potentially Hezbollah) wouldn't mean their complete eradication, but rather a sharp decline in their power. Like ISIS after its defeat, remnants may linger in small, fragmented groups, but their capacity to pose a significant threat would be greatly diminished, making them a shadow of their former selves.
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Except Israel has failed in that regard as well.

Hamas has shown its still quite powerful, and still in large of most of Gaza, by most assessments (including Israeli and US).

A simple example, Israel has 3 times now occupied Khan Younis, and "cleared it of hamas", only to vacate and find out that Hamas still runs the show.

The only way for Israel to make sure it gets rid of hamas is a permanent occupation and direct governorship of the strip, but no one (not even the US) will tolerate it. The Egyptians are already pissed off that the Israelis are violating the peace treaty by taking over the rafah border with such a huge military presence.

There's already fears within places like Morocco and the UAE that their recognition of Israel may lead to the toppling of the monarchies, and there are genuine debates on whether they should take back their recognition.

Israel has fucked up, both militarily and politically.
 
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