Lebanon-Israel War | 2023-present

Falcon29 said:
Potential objective of Israeli ground operation?:

Seize territory along border and including the Galilee 'thumb' area which is the northeastern area of Israel and that's where they've reached the river. May potentially isolate southern Lebanon by going along the rest of the river westwards. Similar to Netzarim corridor in Gaza but in Lebanon they'd be more likely like sitting ducks.

They're trying to push drone operators back northward so forces in South will be less vulnerable.

But also politically are trying to have state of Lebanon make some concessions by either disarming Hezbollah or making a normalization agreement with Israel. These are ambitious goals that are not publicly stated as goals of campaign but leveraged as pressure.

In the end Israel would have to make a big commitment such as occupying everything south of Litani river. And could find itself trying to do so if clear goals for objectives aren't laid out. And from there it could get worse ? IDF will find themselves to deeply entrenched in something they didn't want and committed for the long term in Lebanon.

It's unlikely Israeli political leadership wants such a long term commitment of such scale and will reduce scale of operations within days to a week before a ceasefire is announced. Potentially coinciding with ceasefire announcement with US and Iran as well.
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Trust me, this is what Hezbollah wants. They want to lure the israelis deeper inside Lebanon. As I said earlier, this means letting them setting up camp.
After that, the real action begins for the party of God. They will batter the occupation.

Lets face it, Hezbollah is a war weaker side militarilly (equipment, manpower). They cant take on the idf in a conventional way.
This means its going to be a long war of endurance and attrition. A Vietnam style war. They did it for 18 years following the 1982 invasion and occupation. This is how smaller states defeat superior conventional forces.
They will strategically defeat israel, its just going to take some time.

For the same reason, I think Iran wants the US to try to invade the southern shores of Iran in the Persian Gulf. Thats where the home advantage lies, and where Iran would badly damage the US the most.
 
1 IDF terrorist killed and 4 others injured in Hezbollah FPV strike yesterday

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Al Manar reports that Israel’s arrival at the Litani River is being presented as a major battlefield achievement by Israel’s military despite it being a limited advance along the shortest axis between the border and the river, a distance of roughly 3 kilometers.

According to the report, it took Israeli forces around three months to occupy eight villages along this front, including Odeisseh, Kfarkila, and Rab El Thalathine villages, which it says had already been largely destroyed and emptied.

Al Manar says resistance fighters inflicted heavy losses despite Israel deploying division-sized forces, including the Golani Brigade.

It adds that Israeli forces relied on extensive bombardment and a scorched-earth campaign to advance, destroying built-up areas overlooking the Litani River while avoiding direct engagements whenever possible.

Screenshot 2026-05-31 at 10.27.07.png
 
Falcon29 said:
Potential objective of Israeli ground operation?:

Seize territory along border and including the Galilee 'thumb' area which is the northeastern area of Israel and that's where they've reached the river. May potentially isolate southern Lebanon by going along the rest of the river westwards. Similar to Netzarim corridor in Gaza but in Lebanon they'd be more likely like sitting ducks.

They're trying to push drone operators back northward so forces in South will be less vulnerable.

But also politically are trying to have state of Lebanon make some concessions by either disarming Hezbollah or making a normalization agreement with Israel. These are ambitious goals that are not publicly stated as goals of campaign but leveraged as pressure.

In the end Israel would have to make a big commitment such as occupying everything south of Litani river. And could find itself trying to do so if clear goals for objectives aren't laid out. And from there it could get worse ? IDF will find themselves to deeply entrenched in something they didn't want and committed for the long term in Lebanon.

It's unlikely Israeli political leadership wants such a long term commitment of such scale and will reduce scale of operations within days to a week before a ceasefire is announced. Potentially coinciding with ceasefire announcement with US and Iran as well.
Click to expand...

Occupying south Lebanon for Israel is relatively easy, they can push forces and do it in a few days

THEN WHAT????

Same as their last invasion, they have to keep tens of thousands of troops sitting there whilst Hezbollah pick them off and with FPV and ATGMS it's even easier

That's not sustainable for Israel especially as it's a occupation by them

Israel has wants to do what it did to the Golan, take territory
Then say it is a security zone
And eventually occupy it

But because Hezbollah keeps attacking it they can't just sit there so they want someone to control Hezbollah

So they are putting pressure on the worthless Lebanese government

And because that isn't t working, Israel is being more violent and brutal by bombing all over Lebanon with the idea of forcing Hezbollah or Lebanon to stop and allow the occupation


What will happen is, Israel will continue to take territory, maybe all of South Lebanon

Hezbollah will keep striking it and we will have a brutal stalemate and this will eventually effect Israel in south Syria also
 
Persian Gulf said:
1 IDF terrorist killed and 4 others injured in Hezbollah FPV strike yesterday

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Falcon29 said:
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Suck them in …. Bring them deeper inside Lebanon….. out of their fortified position in the open …. Let these bastards go back in body bags but I prefer without limbs ….
 
Israeli fire belt targets the city of Tyre

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Helicopter evacuations from northern Israel

Reports of 6 soldiers injured, 3 critically, in an FPV attack

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