Myanmar’ Rakhine State likely going to become Independent very soon

[FHN]

The persecution of Rohingya Muslims in Myanmar dates back to the 1970s. Since then, the Rohingya people have been persecuted on a regular basis by the government and nationalist Buddhists. The tensions between the various religious groups in the country were often exploited by past military rulers of Myanmar. Amnesty International notes that the Rohingya suffered human rights violations under past military dictatorships since 1978, and many of them have fled to neighbouring Bangladesh as a result. In 2005, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees assisted with the repatriation of Rohingyas from Bangladesh, but allegations of human rights abuses in the refugee camps threatened this effort. In 2015, 140,000 Rohingyas remained in IDP (Internally Displaced Persons) camps after communal riots in 2012.

In 2015, the Allard K. Lowenstein International Human Rights Clinic at Yale Law School found "strong evidence that genocide is being committed against Rohingya." After eight months of analysing whether the persecution of the Rohingya in Rakhine State satisfied the criteria for genocide, the study found that the Burmese government, with the help of extremist Buddhist monks, was responsible for ethnic cleansing and genocide against the Rohingya

 

[MH.Yang]

https://table.media/en/china/news/un-beijing-supplies-weapons-to-junta-in-myanmar/

You don't think the junta is afraid of China?

I'll tell you one thing. This year the Public Security Bureau of Fuyuan County under Zhaotong City in China's Yunnan Province issued a wanted notice on telecommunication fraud against Myanmar. The Burmese junta immediately arrested their deputy minister of defense and then handed the deputy minister over to China.

The military junta did not even dare to disobey the order of a county-level public security bureau in China.

China’s Lists of Myanmar Generals Deeply Involved in Telcom Scams Triggers Embarrassing Corruption Probe.

Chinese bloggers claim that the trail of evidence over telecom scamming (Zhapian) business may even lead to the Junta leader himself General Min Aung Hlaing Top military officers, including the Junta's Deputy Interior Minister Major General Aung Lin Tun, are under investigation at an...

www.bnionline.net

Myanmar Junta Deputy Defense Minister Interrogated Over Online Scams

Major General Aung Lin Tun allegedly used his position to allow crime syndicates to launder money through military contracts.

www.irrawaddy.com

btw: In general, there are no forces in Burma that would be hostile to China or harm its interests. But China wants Myanmar to return to stability and reactivate China's access to Indian Ocean ports from Myanmar. But China is not capable of doing that for the time being because it has no ability to stop them from hating each other. China can only allow Wa to gain military superiority and then try to balance the forces of all sides through Wa.
Secondly, for historical reasons, China's influence over Myanmar is concentrated in the north and east of the country. China has little influence over Rakhine State in the western part of the country.

 

[MH.Yang]

I have a personal opinion, and it's just my own.
Analyze history. China has used force to conquer many places during its historical power, including the Indo-China Peninsula and the Korean Peninsula. However, most of the time these areas were highly autonomous. These regions were also the first to rebel whenever there was some problem within the Chinese court.
So, analyzing from the perspective of geostrategy. It is in China's best interest that these regions are always in a state of multiple power struggles. China can make full use of these power struggles to ensure the maximization of its own interests. However, if there is any possibility of unification, China is bound to intervene forcefully. The Korean War and the Sino-Vietnamese War were both based on this theory.

I think here is a trap that China has set aside for the US.

Even if the U.S. government understands that it is a trap, the populists flooding the U.S. will one day send the U.S. military into this trap, and then we will use the savage mountains of Myitkyina to suck the last drop of blood out of the U.S. soldiers and the last dollar inside the U.S. treasury.

Watch, the US government can't control these lunatics anymore. They're bound to be unable to resist taking a gamble one day.

 

[Vikramaditya1]

You don't think the junta is afraid of China?

I'll tell you one thing. This year the Public Security Bureau of Fuyuan County under Zhaotong City in China's Yunnan Province issued a wanted notice on telecommunication fraud against Myanmar. The Burmese junta immediately arrested their deputy minister of defense and then handed the deputy minister over to China.

The military junta did not even dare to disobey the order of a county-level public security bureau in China.

China’s Lists of Myanmar Generals Deeply Involved in Telcom Scams Triggers Embarrassing Corruption Probe.

Chinese bloggers claim that the trail of evidence over telecom scamming (Zhapian) business may even lead to the Junta leader himself General Min Aung Hlaing Top military officers, including the Junta's Deputy Interior Minister Major General Aung Lin Tun, are under investigation at an...

www.bnionline.net

Myanmar Junta Deputy Defense Minister Interrogated Over Online Scams

Major General Aung Lin Tun allegedly used his position to allow crime syndicates to launder money through military contracts.

www.irrawaddy.com

btw: In general, there are no forces in Burma that would be hostile to China or harm its interests. But China wants Myanmar to return to stability and reactivate China's access to Indian Ocean ports from Myanmar. But China is not capable of doing that for the time being because it has no ability to stop them from hating each other. China can only allow Wa to gain military superiority and then try to balance the forces of all sides through Wa.
Secondly, for historical reasons, China's influence over Myanmar is concentrated in the north and east of the country. China has little influence over Rakhine State in the western part of the country.

That's what I said genius. China is the sponsor of Junta. Stop wasting people's time.

 

[Falcon@71]

Now is probably the best time to force the junta hand because they are losing control left and right. But the question is who should the rohinyas ally to arakan or the junta because u cant please both sides. The junta has also been very effective at playing divide and conquer by force conscription of rohinyas to fight against arakan army so now they are left in a very tough situation.

Do you think the Burmese military can develop nuclear weapons? In 2009 they were exposed of being co operating with North Korea regarding nukes. Even in 2022 there were suspicions of Russia and North Korea helping Myanmar with nuclear materials.

Moreover if not nuclear weapons they might be able to develop ballistic missiles I believe. North Korea have repeatedly been accused of selling missile technology to Myanmar.

 

[Michael]

That's what I said genius. China is the sponsor of Junta. Stop wasting people's time.

International relations are not simply for or against. If you can only analyze international relations using who is for whom or who is against whom, it means that your level of knowledge is still at a very low level. Please go back and learn more first.

The trigger for the current situation in Myanmar is the telecommunication fraud incident.

Before this incident, all the ethnic local forces in Myanmar were not strong enough to challenge the military government of Myanmar, and they could only maintain their presence within certain limits.
However, the Myanmar military government's serious miscalculation in the telecommunication fraud incident seriously infringed on China's interests. The Chinese government had to intervene.

As a result, we have seen the “Three Brothers Alliance” launching “Operation 1027.” ............ With the support of a very powerful and mysterious force, the Three Brothers Alliance gained a huge advantage in the battle against the Burmese military government ............ Other ethnic groups in Myanmar have taken advantage of the situation to launch attacks on the military junta ............

In fact, the Wa state is also deeply involved in telecommunication fraud. However, after receiving warnings from the Chinese government, the Wa actively cooperated with the Chinese government. Therefore, after Wa handed over some of its top leaders who were deeply involved in the telecommunication fraud, the Chinese government did not pursue Wa further.

Bai Yinglan, the central figure in the “1020 Massacre”, which is of the greatest concern to the Chinese people in the telecom fraud incident, is still under the protection of the Burmese military government. Until the Burmese military government hands her over to the Chinese government, the Chinese government will continue to allow attacks on the Burmese military government by local Burmese ethnic groups.