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6. Houston Texans
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AP Photo/Maria Lysaker
C.J. Stroud
Boom: Proving 2024 to be an aberration, C.J. Stroud and Co. pick up where they left off when the quarterback dazzled as a rookie in 2023. Braced with more experience and bolstered by changes to a previously problematic offensive line, the Texans make a Super Bowl run in the AFC.
Bust: Proving 2023 to be an aberration, a team that traded away its stalwart left tackle has even more offensive-line trouble and continues a downward spiral in a division that could be stronger than expected. Stroud again struggles with a receiving corps riddled with question marks, and the Jaguars and/or Colts leapfrog Houston in the AFC South.
Prediction: I don't trust this team at all, but Stroud is still Stroud and the Texans do have the top-end talent on both sides of the ball. They will be in the wild-card mix, but I wouldn't be surprised if the Jags grabbed the division crown from them.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars
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AP Photo/John Raoux
Trevor Lawrence
Boom: Trevor Lawrence finally comes through thanks in part to the tutelage of a new regime and the emergence of young talents Travis Hunter and Brian Thomas Jr. The Jags win the AFC South.
Bust: Lawrence again struggles with consistency and/or durability, the defense remains a liability following a lack of improvements, and the team as a whole fails to adapt to considerable offseason changes.
Prediction: They will be in the mix for a division title. The AFC South is wide open, and it's tough to imagine the Jaguars falling short with such a skilled roster.
4. Arizona Cardinals
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AP Photo/Rick Scuteri
Kyler Murray, left, and Marvin Harrison Jr.
Boom: Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr. become an unstoppable battery in the latter's second season, and support from the likes of Trey McBride and James Conner and a rising defense helps them win the NFC West.
Bust: Murray and Harrison again struggle to get on the same page consistently, even if the quarterback stays healthy, and the rebuild grinds to a halt in a division that could also bury them easily.
Prediction: Murray scares me, but his ceiling is so high with Harrison, and the NFC West is increasingly wide open. The Cards secure their first division title since 2015.