"Slight" miscalculation that PL15 would be used by limited number of J10s...
...it's also operational with JF17.
Also PAF has always dominated regardless. It's not about an individual weapon. If it was...then Rafale is also an absolute beast. In 2019, no PL15 was used...in previous wars...it was previous gen(less capable weapons)...what would be the excuse then?
The only downside PAF would have in a drawn out war against IAF(or any branch of Pakistani vs Indian military) is the sheer difference in size...
...which in a prolonged war...after much attrition on both sides...would start to show its effect by hampering Pakistan's war effort.
P.S. PAF has trained to use its "motorway" for operations if it absolutely has to resort to that. So taking out some runways(which is not as huge a setback as it's portrayed bcuz they can be repaired relatively quickly) is not really some big achievement.
On the war of attrition:
Are there parallels to the way the VPAF ( Vietnam People's Air Force ) and PAF have defended their air space? Both air force's used technologically inferior aircraft to their adversaries, and both air-forces had a 10:1 numerical disadvantage. VPAF fought a war of attrition for nearly ten years and survived.
The VPAF largely used obsolete Mig 17s and Mig 19s ( with a handful of Mig 21s) against F-4 Phantoms, F-105 Thunderchiefs , F-111 Ardvarks, F-5E (ARVN) and B-52 bombers, In roughly the same era Pakistan used obsolete Korean war vintage F-86 Sabres and Chinese 100 flight hour F-6 jets, against NATO standard Hawker Hunters, Folland Gnats, Mig 21s, Orugans with a 7 to 1 numerical disadvantage .
In both cases neither the VPAF or the PAF lost control of their air space.
On the performance of the VPAF.
7.5 million tons of bombs were dropped on Vietnam Laos, and Cambodia during the Vietnam War, equivalent to more than WWII, resulting in millions of Vietnamese deaths, with estimates for total war-related deaths around
3.8 million Vietnamese (soldiers and civilians) and significant civilian casualties, including hundreds of thousands from bombing alone
Every single VPAF base was hit and dozens of VPAF aircraft were destroyed both on the ground and in the air. Similarly most (Western) Pakistani airbases were hit by airstrikes in both the 1965 and 1971 conflicts with losses.
Point:
A war of attrition was waged but the outcome was the same, Pakistan and Vietnam survive today. A similar parallel can be drawn to the long drawn out conflict between North Korea and its adversaries. Similarly Israel destroyed far superior air forces in just 6 days of conflict in June 1967 and subsequently in the 1973 war.
The difference is that narrative of those conflicts was based on cold hard facts only, not on AI generated garbage by a Tik Tok addicted generation. The adversaries freely accepted the losses. The outcome was what mattered,