I would add that a part of it is Pakistan's own doing, that , by showing unnecessary and stupid so-called "restraint". All the gulfies and arabs and america wanted the ceasefire bcaz their puppy got a little mauling......to protect their shit investments in india.
Otherwise those threats would not have still be coming in by them. So many countries trying to undermine and prevent Pakistan from giving a big response
now it just means the next battles will be more devastating and deadly, probably for both the countries......all bcaz we showed unnecessary restraints in 2019 and again in 2025May
Agree 100% Restraint and civility are meaningless words to an enemy that survives on savagery inflicted on the weak and optics to the rest.
I will answer each scenario I mentioned in my post above , my self
Wait out a military standoff with Pakistan without engaging fully, impose an arms race, and force Pakistan's political and economic collapse. This was NATO's strategy towards the Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact and it seemed to work.
The enemy's fond hope is, that it will bankrupt Pakistan ( which according to its own declaration is already "bankrupt " ) by imposing an arms race. It ignores the the fact that strategically Pakistan will always be matching its prime enemy in minimal deterrence.simply because its allies ( China, USA, Turkey,Saudi Arabia ) don't want Pakistan to fail. So if China sells Pakistan PL-15 missiles, the USA upgrades F-16s with AMRAAM D models, Lightning Sniper pods, Russia supplies RD-93 engines, Turkey supplies drones, they all do that
knowing that these weapons will be used against India, This was not the case with the Soviet Union which was entirely dependent on its own technology and resources.
The Soviet Union was a threat to the "Western Capitalist" order which Pakistan isn't. But there is a bigger factor at play which is India itself. No country in the world wants India to become more powerful than itself. Therefore the pressure via Pakistan on India is necessary to ensure it stays in line and doesn't get "too big for it's boots". Pakistan must be sustained economically and kept militarily strong just enough to deter any adventurism by India, The May 6-7th skirmish is a stark reminder to India about the support Pakistan has from its allies. C-130s and Y-20 aircraft flew daily multiple back and forth trips in the last week of April 2025 bringing in critical military hardware. A Turkish ADA class corvette
TCG Buyukada suddenly made a "good will " visit, and parked itself just outside Karachi harbor showing a cocked fist to the enemy navy with 8 Harpoon missiles and 21 RIM-116 SAM missiles..
The enemy can play optics tempting Pakistan into expensive ventures like a "space race" .programs such as Gaganyan- Bhajanyan. The USA did exactly that with the Soviet Union in the 1960's launching a moon race. The Soviet Union lost the moon-race but apart from optics the defeat did nothing to diminish the Soviet Unions military capabilities, nor affect the outcomes of wars like Vietnam or Cuba,
The nuclear and conventional arms race on earth was far more devastating to the Soviet Union's economy affecting the living standards of even the aviation and space travel celebrities. The first Soviet cosmonauts did not own cars or a own separate houses until well into the 1970s. Likewise India's recent antics by launching Chandrayan planting Indian flags on the Moon and Mars produced copious yawns throughout the Western world . Far more impressive was Nokia and Intuitive Machines feat of delivering the first cellular network to the Moon; via a small module launched from earth and planted on the moon .
Conclusion:
Pakistan will match India's arms acquisitions and have sufficient deterrence to impose costs in a short war.
In a protracted war lasting over 10 days Pakistan will likely lose conventionally and suffer disproportionately but much before that Pakistan will deliver a nuclear strike towards mutual annihilation.
India's miscalculations will be
(a) Pakistan will not use the nuclear option.
(b) All Pakistani nuclear warheads and missiles will be
intercepted.
(c). India will suffer only slight damage and will easily
rebuild to become a $6 trillion economy.
