Pakistan-India Conflict 2025: News Updates and Discussion

Pakistan’s fragile economy and governance deficits cannot sustain. The urgent need is domestic reform, establishment must confront corruption and stabilize the economy, rather than depending primarily on IMF loans and remittances.
These are all long-term considerations - what of the immediate risk/triggers and de-escalation?
 
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Claiming an infil attempt from Pakistan side.

He is look dG isprs 's younger brother lol 😂
 
Chill guys. There is no war coming . It is Pakistan who wants to take this muddy land near Karachi. Pakistan thinks It is right time to put pressure on India. America need them as contract with Saudi Arabia. Chinese are angry with the Pakistan because the Pakistani leaders are behaving like monkeys
 
These are all long-term considerations - what of the immediate risk/triggers and de-escalation?

The establishment has been planning this since 1990, when one dollar was equal to 18 rupees. Now, 35 years later, the economy is in its worst state, and one dollar equals 282 rupees. Corrupt mafia has destroyed most of the industries, and now they want to destroy agriculture.
 
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In my humble opinion, India is likely to take some major action soon. The BJP is determined to secure victory in the upcoming Bihar elections, and as part of their political narrative, they may attempt or claim a cross-border operation in Azad Kashmir to reignite nationalist sentiments.

It’s quite possible that an SSG style raid could even be staged by India, meaning they might not actually enter Pakistani territory, but rather orchestrate a Bollywood style operation designed purely for domestic consumption. The entire event could be projected to the Indian audience as a daring military success, helping the BJP rally patriotic support and dominate the media cycle ahead of elections.

At the same time, India may deliberately try to draw Pakistan’s focus toward Sir Creek, giving the impression of a looming naval escalation. Moving their navy closer to Pakistan’s maritime borders could be a strategic deception, aimed more at psychological pressure than actual conflict.

In essence, these moves seem politically motivated, driven by election ambitions and the desire to maintain control of the national narrative, rather than grounded in genuine military necessity.

I am perplexed that Pakistan has not more forcefully reached out to the UN, OIC, SCO and Russia to expose alleged Indian support for groups like the TTP and BLA. How many more soldiers and civilians have to die before Pakistan launches a sustained diplomatic and information campaign against India? I personally feel the Establishment treats PTI/Imran Khan as a greater enemy than the TTP, BLA, or India, and that apparent prioritization undermines an effective, unified response to real external and internal security threats.
 
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kitne koi desperate hain ye indians ab banda kya bole...second hand embaressment
 
As part of my ongoing analysis on the campaign of weaponised misinformation being waged against Pakistan. I have decided to make my life easier and use the Phalgam "misinformation" playbook as a foundation for future predictive analysis it follows the same pattern:

1760024585642.png
Analysis based on top 70 posts on each platform with the following hashtags:
  • “Pahalgam”, “Pahalgam attack”, “Pahalgam terror”, “Operation Sindoor”
  • “Pakistan attack India”, “Pakistan blamed”, “terror attack Kashmir”

Interesting we are seeing a re-use same hashtags and keywords now on Social media when it comes to narrative building against Pakistan.

Tracking of high-influence accounts on Indian side, I examined three key metrics:
  • Volume of mentions (hourly/daily) by country origin
  • Sentiment (negative/anger vs neutral vs supportive) over time
  • Share of misinformation (percent of high-engagement posts flagged by fact-checkers)
As of late September to early October 2025 the re-use of the Hashtag #Operation Sindoor and #Pakistan Azaad Kashmir has seen increased use in Indian Social Media when presenting misinformation. A scrape was conducted to determine the platform and distribution of the mention "Pakistan" "Pakistan Azaad Kashmir" "Operation Sindoor" for the period October 1 to October 9th.

The methodology: Sample of 1,200 high-visibility public posts across X and Instagram

****
At this point the calculations got a little hard for me to manage on my own and I had to resort to asking Uncle AI for help.
****
X (Twitter): visible trending topic pages and many high-reach tweets on spike days (Oct 2–6, Oct 8–10) indicate tens to low-hundreds of thousands of tweets mentioning “Pakistan” or the hashtags during heavily-active days.

Conservative public multiplier (sample → platform total estimate): X public mentions (India origin)180k — 600k for October.

In the above sample - the negative-sentiment share (explicit hostility, insults, calls for retaliation, accusations) averaged 48%.

On X alone X the visible trending topic pages and many high-reach tweets on spike days (Oct 2–6, Oct 8–10) indicate tens to low-hundreds of thousands of tweets mentioning “Pakistan” or the hashtags "Pakistan Azaad Kashmir" & "Operation Sindoor" during heavily-active days. Conservative public multiplier (sample → platform total estimate): X public mentions (India origin)180k — 600k for October. [Thank you AI <3]

Key Evidence of sentiment Indicators:
  • Oct 2–4, 2025: large spike tied to "Pakistan Azaad Kashmir" protests and rapid media coverage; many X posts and Instagram reels went viral (news embeds from IndiaToday, Times of India, TimesNow reels).
  • Oct 7–9, 2025: spikes due to IAF remarks / Operation Sindoor follow-on coverage and IAF Day events featuring Operation Sindoor references; multiple high-reach X threads and YouTube compilations drove comment volumes.
  • Persistent: the conversation stayed elevated (analysis pieces, opinion pieces, recurrent reels).
Majority of accounts driving conversations and negative sentiment trends were "influencer" accounts:
1760027102543.png

Today witnessed the greatest spike in negative-sentiment across social media platforms scraped:
1760027182379.png

This corelates with the data provided by Google Trends for the same search parameters
1760027236375.png

In addition to the misinformation peddlers we are aware of, using Recorded Future/Insikt, ISD data I was able to obtain the key influencer accounts "flagged" for misinformation by Factchecking services - I have provided a list below:

1760027400557.png
*****
Takeaways from this brief analysis:

1. As PDF is used by local and overseas Pakistanis it is important we fact-check any information shared here even by seemingly innocent or authentic accounts
2. Possible create a thread to function as a repository if misinformation/fake-news peddlers
3. Educate members and wider community to the risks of weaponised misinformation and national-security in a highly charged atmosphere.

*****

TLDR: There is a rise of negative-sentiment and jingoistic posts surrounding Kashmir, Pakistan, India and "Operation Sindoor". People lie on the internet, not surprisingly a high number of Indian accounts on X posting about the conflict including journalists and "influencers" are peddling lies - this includes some Pakistani accounts - please fact-check!
 
As part of my ongoing analysis on the campaign of weaponised misinformation being waged against Pakistan. I have decided to make my life easier and use the Phalgam "misinformation" playbook as a foundation for future predictive analysis it follows the same pattern:

View attachment 152641
Analysis based on top 70 posts on each platform with the following hashtags:
  • “Pahalgam”, “Pahalgam attack”, “Pahalgam terror”, “Operation Sindoor”
  • “Pakistan attack India”, “Pakistan blamed”, “terror attack Kashmir”

Interesting we are seeing a re-use same hashtags and keywords now on Social media when it comes to narrative building against Pakistan.

Tracking of high-influence accounts on Indian side, I examined three key metrics:
  • Volume of mentions (hourly/daily) by country origin
  • Sentiment (negative/anger vs neutral vs supportive) over time
  • Share of misinformation (percent of high-engagement posts flagged by fact-checkers)
As of late September to early October 2025 the re-use of the Hashtag #Operation Sindoor and #Pakistan Azaad Kashmir has seen increased use in Indian Social Media when presenting misinformation. A scrape was conducted to determine the platform and distribution of the mention "Pakistan" "Pakistan Azaad Kashmir" "Operation Sindoor" for the period October 1 to October 9th.

The methodology: Sample of 1,200 high-visibility public posts across X and Instagram

****
At this point the calculations got a little hard for me to manage on my own and I had to resort to asking Uncle AI for help.
****
X (Twitter): visible trending topic pages and many high-reach tweets on spike days (Oct 2–6, Oct 8–10) indicate tens to low-hundreds of thousands of tweets mentioning “Pakistan” or the hashtags during heavily-active days.

Conservative public multiplier (sample → platform total estimate): X public mentions (India origin)180k — 600k for October.

In the above sample - the negative-sentiment share (explicit hostility, insults, calls for retaliation, accusations) averaged 48%.

On X alone X the visible trending topic pages and many high-reach tweets on spike days (Oct 2–6, Oct 8–10) indicate tens to low-hundreds of thousands of tweets mentioning “Pakistan” or the hashtags "Pakistan Azaad Kashmir" & "Operation Sindoor" during heavily-active days. Conservative public multiplier (sample → platform total estimate): X public mentions (India origin)180k — 600k for October. [Thank you AI <3]

Key Evidence of sentiment Indicators:
  • Oct 2–4, 2025: large spike tied to "Pakistan Azaad Kashmir" protests and rapid media coverage; many X posts and Instagram reels went viral (news embeds from IndiaToday, Times of India, TimesNow reels).
  • Oct 7–9, 2025: spikes due to IAF remarks / Operation Sindoor follow-on coverage and IAF Day events featuring Operation Sindoor references; multiple high-reach X threads and YouTube compilations drove comment volumes.
  • Persistent: the conversation stayed elevated (analysis pieces, opinion pieces, recurrent reels).
Majority of accounts driving conversations and negative sentiment trends were "influencer" accounts:
View attachment 152646

Today witnessed the greatest spike in negative-sentiment across social media platforms scraped:
View attachment 152647

This corelates with the data provided by Google Trends for the same search parameters
View attachment 152648

In addition to the misinformation peddlers we are aware of, using Recorded Future/Insikt, ISD data I was able to obtain the key influencer accounts "flagged" for misinformation by Factchecking services - I have provided a list below:

View attachment 152649
*****
Takeaways from this brief analysis:

1. As PDF is used by local and overseas Pakistanis it is important we fact-check any information shared here even by seemingly innocent or authentic accounts
2. Possible create a thread to function as a repository if misinformation/fake-news peddlers
3. Educate members and wider community to the risks of weaponised misinformation and national-security in a highly charged atmosphere.

*****

TLDR: There is a rise of negative-sentiment and jingoistic posts surrounding Kashmir, Pakistan, India and "Operation Sindoor". People lie on the internet, not surprisingly a high number of Indian accounts on X posting about the conflict including journalists and "influencers" are peddling lies - this includes some Pakistani accounts - please fact-check!


on the other hand, it could also mean, there is consistent attempt to hide the real news!
 
Video here:

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Claiming an infil attempt from Pakistan side.

Kuch khaya piya karo, yaar Ashok Yadav. Kamzori is tumhara munh lomer ki chitter ke tarah ho gia hai.
(Eat and drink some healthy stuff, yaar Ashok Yadav. Due to weakness, your face looks like a fox's ass.)
 
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Oh 100% that is the whole point of weaponised misinformation - we saw this first hand in May and most prominently in the Israel genocide of Gaza.


so, we are observing (is not reality), rather, it is an abstraction (simulation) of some one else!


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the more control (the observer) one seeks with this medium, the better agent he/she will become!


very clever innovation!

no wonder PTI is good at it!
 
Sir it will not come official sources always will be deliberate leaks.
Sir,

This is our weakness. Our comms suck.

Take your nation into confidence. Silence breeds ambiguity which creates a vacuum for fake news peddlers to "fill the void".

Absolutely more comms should happen.
 

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