I disagree that the situation is clear-cut. When it comes to escalation and de-escalation, both sides are aware of and aligned with the rules of engagement.
Attacking civilian areas without a military rationale leaves no choice but to respond with greater force, making it difficult to de-escalate. This can lead to endless escalation with no clear resolution.
Both sides will claim victory, regardless of reality, driven by political survival rather than bravado. The narrative is further complicated by state-coerced elements suppressing free speech, leaving ordinary citizens to argue online.
The trend here suggests that Indian politics has refined its messaging for the election cycle, leveraging military action – real or implied – to garner support from its electoral base.
Even a casual observer would note that:
1. The Pakistan army is not an easy target for one-sided coercion.
2. The lack of geographical barriers between our nations means both sides have equal access to resources at the engagement level.
3. The deep-seated demonization and hatred between the two nations' populations leaves little room for restraint, making any action likely to be met with a strong reaction.