Replying to
@Afif regarding his Brahmos piece:
There is an aspect of Brahmos that is also being missed here as we are talking to the significant threat.
India has been producing Brahmos for a while now. But each Brahmos has been in batches with improvements coming in.
However, producing the missile is different from producing the launchers.
There may be 700-1200 Brahmos - not 1000 Launchers. Lets say there are 1200 Brahmos of all types.
Realistically, there is an allocated number per launcher based both upon expected expenditure and expected attrition/duds. This includes ground bases Brahmos, Air and Sea.
Which means to my limited knowledge and calculations on cost and production there are approximately 60 to 90 ground-based Brahmos launchers, including service spares. Each launcher carries about 3 missiles ready to launch, supported by 2 to 3 reload missiles per launcher on support vehicles (though actual reloads may be fewer). This results in roughly 180 to 270 missiles ready to launch on ground launchers, and including reloads, a total of 300 to 540 missiles allocated to ground forces.
Indian Air Force operates 40 to 60 missiles fitted on Su-30 MKI fighters, but considering aircraft serviceability, only about 20 to 25 missiles are realistically available for Brahmos missions at any time.
The remaining missiles, lets say at 400 to 660, are deployed aboard naval vessels, including missiles in canisters ready to launch and reloads or those in reserve at Naval storage sites or replenishment auxiliaries.
The current production capacity is around 80 to 100 missiles annually which includes those replacing older variants past their 10 year shelf life.
There is also consideration for reserves for a potential conflict with China, India would likely adopt a phased missile usage pattern against Pakistan as we saw in practice. Instead of launching all out saturation strikes even in a full scale attack, initial salvoes would involve launching approximately 75 to 120 missiles across ground, air, and naval platforms to conserve stocks. Ground launchers might fire 2 to 3 missiles each, IAF would be deployed in smaller waves of 1 to 2 missiles per sortie, and naval strikes would be limited to 5 to 15 missiles per engagement. Follow ons would be spaced out to allow for reloads and logistical replenishment.
So yes, it is a fearsome arsenal but there are real world considerations to think for before thinking gloom and doom.
Pakistan for that matter also phases its responses but unlike India it has very few immediate threats to worry about.