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I never said anything about a reconquest. I said Russia is losing the initiative and momentum is swinging back towards Ukraine. Ukraine shouldn’t think about any major offensive actions until summer 2025 at the earliest.
No it doesn’t, Russia hasn’t achieved any strategic or operational breakthrough in the last 8 months. They’ve made some tactical gains at the cost of tens of thousands of men and thousands of pieces of equipment. Their attrition level is enormous with not much to show for it.
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