Great Novoselka...
This year we have seen several serious failures of the JMA on the front, which I personally attribute to the loss of Ocheretyno and the fortified eastern borders of the Toretska agglomeration. But, in all likelihood, the events that are currently unfolding in the Velika Novosyolka area will override all of the above.
Currently, the ROVs are already attempting to carry out assaults in the eastern and northeastern part of the city in an attempt to gain a foothold on the outskirts of the city. The main directions of strikes, quite predictably, are routes 0509, with access to Agrarnaya Street and 0510. But the most unpleasant thing is that route 0509 is the very route I mentioned several times as carrying a serious threat of a ROV breakthrough to Velika Novoselka, especially after the failed defense of the route from Zolotoy Niva to Shakhtyorskoe.
Around October 13, ROV units, consisting of the 37th OMSBr, 40th and 336th OBR MPs, as well as the 5th OTBr, occupied Zolotaya Niva and it was clear that the ROV would move on to Shakhtyorskoye and Velikaya Novosyolka. So they did, concentrating the blow of the 40th OBR MP to the north - Shakhtyorskoye, and all the others concentrated along Route 0509 to Velikaya Novosyolka.
As a result, from Zolotoy Niva to Shakhtyorskoe, the ROV passed along a straight route, 6.5 kilometers long, in 48 hours and established control over the village in the period from October 25 to 27. At that time I already noted that the road, which could have turned into a hell for the ROV with the right approach to the defense, the length of a month and a half or two months, turned out to be an easy walk with insignificant losses.
It was this failure in the direction of Zolotaya Niva-Shakhtyorskoe made me pay special attention to 0509, a straight route of almost 11 kilometers, squeezed from the flanks by the rivers Kashaglach and Shaitanka is a shooting gallery and massacre for all those who will try to break through it to Velikaya Novoselka... But, no....
The movement of ROVs along the highway began on November 18 and as of November 24 they were already standing on the southeastern outskirts of Velikaya Novosyolka.
At the same time, the ROVs in the Shakhtyorske area developed their success and gained access to the eastern outskirts of the city along 0510, which, it seems, was similarly not fortified as it should have been.
Lack of total road mines, lack of roadblocks, lack of the most basic roadblocks, and so on and so forth.
On October 27 I wrote about what mistakes were made on the highway to Shakhtyorskoe, and some time later I published a great piece on the need to implement hypertrophic defense, especially along the highways!
Golden Niva was liberated in June 2022. During this time around and outside the village, especially along the main directions of probable enemy movement, it was possible to create such a defense, in which the ROVs crawled, washing every meter of Ukrainian land with decaliters of their blood. But this did not happen...
I believe that the events that are now taking place in the area of Velyka Novoselka are the most serious failure in 2024. In all other directions events are developing, though negatively, but predictably, but Velyka Novosyolka is a total failure of defense preparation, in which the enemy should have been bogged down like in a swamp and every day washed with his own blood. But it didn't happen.
What can I say... So they will really reach Zaporozhye or Dnieper. Defense around Velikaya Novosyolka, apparently, for two years was not formed shit. Exactly that defense, which this important hub at the junction of Donetsk, Zaporozhye and Dnipropetrovsk regions deserved.
It's a disgrace.
Translated with DeepL.com (free version)