Russia-Ukraine War - News, Discussions & Updates

[j_hungary]

I had received 2 intel briefs last couple of months from a reliable source.

1.) Ukraine is attacking the Crimean direction with long-range assets, mostly targeting AA and C&C structures.

2.) Russia is sending fewer recruits to the frontline and opting to have them beef up in regional depots in the last three months.

If you put 2 and 2 (or 1 and 1 here) together, you get the idea that Ukraine is making a push South (not the push they had, which threatened the encirclement of around 5000 Russian troops at Dopropillia) But somewhere south possibly another attempt to go over Tokmak or more, at the same time if the counter attack at Dopropillia is sucessful (which seems likely) then Russia is going backward at Provorsk becuase that would effectively taking the northern flank out.

 

[Watandar]

I had received 2 intel briefs last couple of months from a reliable source.

1.) Ukraine is attacking the Crimean direction with long-range assets, mostly targeting AA and C&C structures.

2.) Russia is sending fewer recruits to the frontline and opting to have them beef up in regional depots in the last three months.

If you put 2 and 2 (or 1 and 1 here) together, you get the idea that Ukraine is making a push South (not the push they had, which threatened the encirclement of around 5000 Russian troops at Dopropillia) But somewhere south possibly another attempt to go over Tokmak or more, at the same time if the counter attack at Dopropillia is sucessful (which seems likely) then Russia is going backward at Provorsk becuase that would effectively taking the northern flank out.

I have not been following this conflict for a long time. Last I checked, I think sometime late 2024, the Russians were on the march and had gained a LOT of territory in a short amount of time. Have the Russians stalled and the Ukrainians are pushing them back now ?

 

[Yommie]

I have not been following this conflict for a long time. Last I checked, I think sometime late 2024, the Russians were on the march and had gained a LOT of territory in a short amount of time. Have the Russians stalled and the Ukrainians are pushing them back now ?

I would say no. You cannot do offensive with toy drones all over the place. Your tanks and artillery pieces be wiped out very quickly and you can't replace them.

 

[j_hungary]

I have not been following this conflict for a long time. Last I checked, I think sometime late 2024, the Russians were on the march and had gained a LOT of territory in a short amount of time. Have the Russians stalled and the Ukrainians are pushing them back now ?

This red bit is the current Ukrianian counter offensive



The Red is Russian Control, the white/clear is contesting, and the green is Ukrainian control after counteroffensive. There are 3 Russian pockets now under threat of being cut off, North of Pokrovsk and East of Dobropilla,

Russians tried to take Pokrovsk since June last year, and they still have not been able to, possibly not this year, since we are 28 days til winter, and if the Ukrainians regain that flank in this counter offensive, then the Pokrovsk front is dead. The rest of the map Russian move South West of Kurahove

(As of Oct 2024)


(Oct 1, 2025)



And small gain in Lyman Direction




Same period as before,

Other negligible gains are in Sumy region and some South of Zaporizhia

 

[Yommie]

This red bit is the current Ukrianian counter offensive

View attachment 150920

The Red is Russian Control, the white/clear is contesting, and the green is Ukrainian control after counteroffensive. There are 3 Russian pockets now under threat of being cut off, North of Pokrovsk and East of Dobropilla,

Russians tried to take Pokrovsk since June last year, and they still have not been able to, possibly not this year, since we are 28 days til winter, and if the Ukrainians regain that flank in this counter offensive, then the Pokrovsk front is dead. The rest of the map Russian move South West of Kurahove

(As of Oct 2024)

View attachment 150921
(Oct 1, 2025)

View attachment 150922

And small gain in Lyman Direction

View attachment 150923
View attachment 150925

Same period as before,

Other negligible gains are in Sumy region and some South of Zaporizhia

Pokrovsk will eventually fall. Russian flatten everything with aerial bombing. Might take three years.

 

[j_hungary]

Pokrovsk will eventually fall. Russian flatten everything with aerial bombing. Might take three years.

Dude, please don't talk to me.........Thanks

 

[AZ_HighCountry]

west doesnt care about Ukraine, it just wants to bleed Russia and Mr Putin's invasion gave them the perfect opportunity. That's why you see only drip drip assistance to Ukraine, just enough to keep the war going.

I have been saying that not just here but on the other forum I hang for 3+ years now. Giving them just enough fast enough to die slower.

 

[Ё-МАЁ]

I have been saying that not just here but on the other forum I hang for 3+ years now. Giving them just enough fast enough to die slower.

You count your chickens before they hatch!))

 

[Hendarto]

So much for the much vaunted Patriot

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[F-22Raptor]

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[F-22Raptor]

So much for the much vaunted Patriot

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Terrible article, Ukraine doesn’t have the ballistic missile coverage, nor enough of the interceptors or appropriate ones (PAC-2 vs 3 MSE) it needs.

US ballistic missile defenses have worked exceptionally well in Israel, Red Sea, and Qatar in real world combat. Ukraine is not the US. Nor do they have access to the new LTAMDS radar or IBCS C2 system

 

[Ё-МАЁ]

‘Meat Index’ for January-September 2025.

The Meat Index is the ratio of personnel losses (‘meat’) to ‘iron’ losses (tanks and armoured combat vehicles).

In July, the ‘meat index’ rose sharply. This reflected the depletion of supplies that Joe Biden had initiated.

In August, new supplies of ‘iron’ arrived, and the meat index fell sharply. I think that Europe helped Zelensky (both with new supplies of ‘iron’ and with specialists/spare parts for repairs) to strengthen his negotiating position and create the impression for Trump that the Nazis are holding on and not losing.

However, in September, everything turned upside down: supplies of ‘iron’ declined, and the ‘meat index’ rose. Europe did not have enough, or it was greedy, deciding that it was better to keep the ‘iron’ for itself. Let's see what happens next.

It is not surprising that the West is resorting to escalation and provocation outside Ukraine in order to justify to its citizens the need for war with Russia or, at the very least, increased spending on confrontation with the Russians.

In this regard, we can expect even more provocations from the West. The main thing is not to back down and not to be afraid. All provocations stem from the realisation that the Russians are winning again.


Translated with DeepL.com (free version)

 

[Ё-МАЁ]

Russia used new Gerani night vision drones in an attack on a train in the Bobrovitsy area of Chernihiv Oblast.
The Gerani is equipped with an optical guidance system and communication with operators over hundreds of kilometres.
An Nvidia mini-computer capable of processing video and detecting targets was found among the wre

 

[Yellow is Okay]

west doesnt care about Ukraine, it just wants to bleed Russia and Mr Putin's invasion gave them the perfect opportunity. That's why you see only drip drip assistance to Ukraine, just enough to keep the war going.

You can't just cut off diplomatic ties with Russia completely. There's always some channel left open for contact and repairing relations. If the West actually wanted to wipe Russia out, they would have acted very differently from the beginning. As I see it, the West has been supporting Ukraine as much as they're realistically able to.

 

[The SC]