Yommie
Elite Member
Never. Ukrainians will never recapture a single city. How many does do Ukrainians have left? Less than 100. Any offensive operation requires at least 200 tanks.
Russia - Ukraine war part ll. News and Discussions
- Thread starter Fatman17
- Start date
Never. Ukrainians will never recapture a single city. How many does do Ukrainians have left? Less than 100. Any offensive operation requires at least 200 tanks.
F-22Raptor
Elite Member
This is more about destroying Russias offensive than retaking land. Russias army is no longer growing and manpower losses are now exceeding recruitment.
Ukraine actually has the momentum now with Russias defeat at Kupiansk and now this local offensive to push back the Russians at Huliapole. They’re also buying more time to build fortifications in their rear. The Ukrainians have built a massive array of fortifications, anti tank ditches, and barbed wire in the last 6 months.
For Russia to take the rest of the Donbas, they’ll expend a ton of manpower doing it. Russia is essentially destroying itself. They’ve still not breached the city limits of Kostiantynivka, much less the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk belt. Brutal fighting awaits them, and time is no longer on Russias side.
Nuffle
Registered Member
It is very likely that the Russians will launch a new large-scale offensive in the spring.
Yommie
Elite Member
With the Pokrovsk area taken, the next stage is Lyman and Dobropilla to squeeze Kramatorsk the capital city of Ukrainian Donbas.
Viet
VIP Member
Assuming it continues like this,
for the Russians they need 12 years to take 20 percent of Ukraine at current pace they need 5x 12=60 years.
For Ukraine it depends much on Putin health. If he falls out a window tomorrow the war ends tomorrow Ukraine takes back everything tomorrow. That’s best case scenario.
Soldier35
Registered Member
Footage of a Ukrainian soldier fighting a Russian FPV drone. The video was filmed in the Zaporizhzhia area. The Ukrainian soldier was unable to shoot down the drone and retreated into the building. The drone then launched an attack, the outcome of which is unknown.
Yommie
Elite Member
The war continues after Putin. The next president continues the war. And besides, Putin's term ends a few years from now and is replaced by someone else.
Yommie
Elite Member
Soldier35
Registered Member
February footage of Russian FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian army tracked and wheeled robotic platforms. The FPV drones used in the battles include VT-40, Prince Vandal Novgorodsky, and other models, including those controlled via fiber optic cable. Technical information about them is available on the channel. The exact location of the footage is not disclosed. Currently, the robots are used in Ukraine primarily for transport purposes.
j_hungary
Professional
The Ukrainian was doing SEAD the last couple of months, mostly East of Donbas and some from Crimea.
The goal for the Ukrainian is not to retake any land, but basically exhaust the Russians and strip their capability to launch an operation. We had already seen the number of soldier Russian uses to push had been decreasing by years, it was about 300,000 in 2023, around 220,000 in 2024 and around 180,000 in 2025, that is the reason why it gradually take Russia a very long time to complete their push with each successive year (You are talking about from 9 months in Bakhmut to 14 months in Adviivka to 18 months + (not complete currently) in Pokrovsk.
Battle of Bakhmut - Wikipedia
Battle of Avdiivka (2023–2024) - Wikipedia
Pokrovsk offensive - Wikipedia
The problem with offensive moves like this is that you are going to need more men for more objectives because once you have finished your offensive, you need to switch to defensive mode for the land you occupy. But the reality is, the number of troops Russia can put on the table to push is decreasing by the year, but the objective is bigger; Kramatosk is twice the size of Porkrovsk, and Sloviansk is 4 times the size of Porkrovsk.
At this rate, Trump would have stepped down in 2029 before Russia could start an operation in Kramatosk.
Yommie
Elite Member
The Ukrainian was doing SEAD the last couple of months, mostly East of Donbas and some from Crimea.
The goal for the Ukrainian is not to retake any land, but basically exhaust the Russians and strip their capability to launch an operation. We had already seen the number of soldier Russian uses to push had been decreasing by years, it was about 300,000 in 2023, around 220,000 in 2024 and around 180,000 in 2025, that is the reason why it gradually take Russia a very long time to complete their push with each successive year (You are talking about from 9 months in Bakhmut to 14 months in Adviivka to 18 months + (not complete currently) in Pokrovsk.
Battle of Bakhmut - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
Battle of Avdiivka (2023–2024) - Wikipedia
Pokrovsk offensive - Wikipedia
The problem with offensive moves like this is that you are going to need more men for more objectives because once you have finished your offensive, you need to switch to defensive mode for the land you occupy. But the reality is, the number of troops Russia can put on the table to push is decreasing by the year, but the objective is bigger; Kramatosk is twice the size of Porkrovsk, and Sloviansk is 4 times the size of Porkrovsk.
At this rate, Trump would have stepped down in 2029 before Russia could start an operation in Kramatosk.
Kramatorsk is hard to defend. It's on low ground and hindered by rivers for supply and is done for if the few logistic routes are cut. To take Kramatorsk Russia has to expend tens of thousands of FAB aerial bombs.
j_hungary
Professional
Now you are talking about military strategy to me.
May I ask about your experience on Battlefield? In fact, do you know which end the bullets come out?
Not to mention the logistical bullshit. Kramtosk has 3 MSR and 4 ASR linking up with the GLOC. Do you know how hard it is to cut that many SRs?
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