_Arabia_
Trusted Member
I am afraid that KSA and Egypt, being the two key Arab neighbors of Sudan (Egypt directly through land unlike KSA with the Red Sea dividing us) need to up the ante in Sudan and even, if possible and the political will is there, commit a limited amount of ground troops and personnel on the ground (probably already there in a clandestine manner - advisors, intel operatives etc.)
The RSF is deeply ingrained in West Sudan and they are in reality a tribal/clan entity, hence their success on the ground in that part of Sudan.
They enjoy local support among the Baggara Arabs and other Arab clans and tribes due to tribal/clan loyalty, kinship and other affinities. The non-Arab minorities in Darfur and West Sudan are too few in numbers to challenge the RSF on the ground as seen.
Even more so when the previous Al-Bashir regime (Janjaweed etc.) over 3-4 decades created a strong environment for pro-government elements under the Al-Bashir regime to thrive and dominate that part of Sudan completely (Western). Those networks of power never went away. In fact Hemedti was the unofficial ruler of this part of Sudan even when Al-Burhan and him were still allies.
Therefore, my advise, is for the Sudanese government and allies to get on the offensive and change the tide on the ground in West Sudan, at least substantially, in order to invite the RSF to the negotiating table. To show who has the military upper hand. Unless this does not occur, the RSF will continue in its current form wracking havoc.
Only a political solution is likely and if this means giving some kind of autonomy to West Sudan, which de facto has been in place since forever as Khartoum never had full total sovereignty, this should be pursued. After all there is no inherent enmity with those parts of Sudan (West Sudan) and rest. It is merely a civil war between two former partners and allies no less, aided by opportunistic outsiders whose identity and goals we all know about.
Of course the best solution would be a strong central state that governs all of Sudan from Khartoum with full authority and with the required/necessary/needed representation of all corners of Sudan. However I don't see that occurring anytime soon unfortunately, not after such a messy civil war, yet another one in a long list in the modern era. However there is really nothing that stops this from occurring long-term which is the important thing. In terms of massive ethnic, cultural, linguistic, religious etc. differences that is.
Elements fighting for and competing for power and control will always be there but the goal should be to strengthen state institutions. A state after all is only as strong as its state institutions.
SAF and allies should first change the tide and situation on the ground through force and afterwards negotiate from a strong position. What remains of the RSF after that, sway them away from Abu Dhabi, Chad and other destabilizing elements, Zionists included if they have decided to go all in on the RSF rather than their previous double games of supporting both sides in order to weaken Sudan as a state.
Developments such as this one are a good first step but we need concrete actions.
Coordination with Turkey is also important and is already occurring but if KSA, Egypt and Turkey up the ante in Sudan in support of the government decisively, there is very little outside powers/elements can do IMO.
Not only would that increase stability in the region, such an alliance, it would benefit everyone involved. There is literally nothing to lose from this.
The RSF is deeply ingrained in West Sudan and they are in reality a tribal/clan entity, hence their success on the ground in that part of Sudan.
They enjoy local support among the Baggara Arabs and other Arab clans and tribes due to tribal/clan loyalty, kinship and other affinities. The non-Arab minorities in Darfur and West Sudan are too few in numbers to challenge the RSF on the ground as seen.
Even more so when the previous Al-Bashir regime (Janjaweed etc.) over 3-4 decades created a strong environment for pro-government elements under the Al-Bashir regime to thrive and dominate that part of Sudan completely (Western). Those networks of power never went away. In fact Hemedti was the unofficial ruler of this part of Sudan even when Al-Burhan and him were still allies.
Therefore, my advise, is for the Sudanese government and allies to get on the offensive and change the tide on the ground in West Sudan, at least substantially, in order to invite the RSF to the negotiating table. To show who has the military upper hand. Unless this does not occur, the RSF will continue in its current form wracking havoc.
Only a political solution is likely and if this means giving some kind of autonomy to West Sudan, which de facto has been in place since forever as Khartoum never had full total sovereignty, this should be pursued. After all there is no inherent enmity with those parts of Sudan (West Sudan) and rest. It is merely a civil war between two former partners and allies no less, aided by opportunistic outsiders whose identity and goals we all know about.
Of course the best solution would be a strong central state that governs all of Sudan from Khartoum with full authority and with the required/necessary/needed representation of all corners of Sudan. However I don't see that occurring anytime soon unfortunately, not after such a messy civil war, yet another one in a long list in the modern era. However there is really nothing that stops this from occurring long-term which is the important thing. In terms of massive ethnic, cultural, linguistic, religious etc. differences that is.
Elements fighting for and competing for power and control will always be there but the goal should be to strengthen state institutions. A state after all is only as strong as its state institutions.
SAF and allies should first change the tide and situation on the ground through force and afterwards negotiate from a strong position. What remains of the RSF after that, sway them away from Abu Dhabi, Chad and other destabilizing elements, Zionists included if they have decided to go all in on the RSF rather than their previous double games of supporting both sides in order to weaken Sudan as a state.
Developments such as this one are a good first step but we need concrete actions.
Coordination with Turkey is also important and is already occurring but if KSA, Egypt and Turkey up the ante in Sudan in support of the government decisively, there is very little outside powers/elements can do IMO.
Not only would that increase stability in the region, such an alliance, it would benefit everyone involved. There is literally nothing to lose from this.
Last edited:
