The Start of De-Dollarization: China’s Gradual Move Away from the USD

[AViet]

By the late 2030s, the world will finally understand China has lost the economic battle with the US as it will be deep into demographic decline and lost it’s demographic dividend.

US GDP will exceed $50T by 2040, and its economic dominance cemented.

But it will be the early 2050s, when the US achieves truly god tier economic might with a GDP in excess of $80T and GDP per capita of $200K+.

An these are all US government economic projections.

Oh, our American friends now love to brag, just like our Indian friends 10 years ago about how fast they would catch up and surpass China. How desparately hopeless they have become since 2020, and the problem is that now the whole world is seeing that, including lot of American themselves.

But here on this forum, our friends are playing big guys.

 

[F-22Raptor]

Oh, our American friends now love to brag, just like our Indian friends 10 years ago about how fast they would catch up and surpass China. How desparately hopeless they have become since 2020, and the problem is that now the whole world is seeing that, including lot of American themselves.

But here on this forum, our friends are playing big guys.

Not bragging, just the truth. Even the IMF has the US growing on the same trajectory with a $35T GDP in 2029.

US GDP is on a trajectory to exceed $50T by 2040 and god tier status post 2050.

US salary disbursement for our work force is expected to be $12.4T this year. Thats expected to rise to $37T by the early 2050s. The US population and economy will be absurdly wealthy. Thats god tier certified.

 

[Get Ya Wig Split]

So many pathetic losers wishing bad on the best country in the world, just because their own country is a complete mess with no real growth. To all the haters, the US is here to stay and the Western world will continue to dominate, rest assured.

 

[Get Ya Wig Split]

Oh, our American friends now love to brag, just like our Indian friends 10 years ago about how fast they would catch up and surpass China. How desparately hopeless they have become since 2020, and the problem is that now the whole world is seeing that, including lot of American themselves.

But here on this forum, our friends are playing big guys.

Don't be delusional:

The Biggest Drivers of Global GDP (1980-2024)​

The US financial markets are killing it right now like never before. Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia are all about to hit over $3 trillion for the first time ever. And get this, Nvidia and Microsoft are gonna be the first ones to hit a $5 trillion market cap, with Nvidia leading the pack aiming for $10 trillion.

Do you even get how far ahead the US is in tech? And for all those banking on China... forget it, they don't stand a chance. China's got no real influence in the world, and it's gonna stay that way for a very long time.

 

[AViet]

The topic of discussion is China moving away from the US$.

If the move away is real (seems everyone agrees it is real), without China's support, the US$ will probably not be as valued as it is today. China's movement is much more worth to be watched than IMF's, which is more or less, US-controlled. If China had thought that the US$ has a good future, they would have done differently. It is clear that China (and many other countries) no longer believe in the long-term value of the US$ and start acting following their own long-term vision.

In addition, the trajectory by IMF is just for reference, as we all know that IMF, more often that not, tends to be wrong on their predictions, even for next year, let alone 30 years later. They use politically-correct criteria, like English-speaking, law-abiding (very subjective), which are useless to foresee the long-term future of any country, while neglecting the value of culture, human quality and average IQ, which are taboo to be discussed in Western democracies, but critical in economic activities.

$200,000 in 2050 will have different value to $200,000 in 2024, even less than 200,000 yuan. That's my point.

 

[F-22Raptor]

The topic of discussion is China moving away from the US$.

If the move away is real (seems everyone agrees it is real), without China's support, the US$ will probably not be as valued as it is today. China's movement is much more worth to be watched than IMF's, which is more or less, US-controlled. If China had thought that the US$ has a good future, they would have done differently. It is clear that China (and many other countries) no longer believe in the long-term value of the US$ and start acting following their own long-term vision.

In addition, the trajectory by IMF is just for reference, as we all know that IMF, more often that not, tends to be wrong on their predictions, even for next year, let alone 30 years later. They use politically-correct criteria, like English-speaking, law-abiding (very subjective), which are useless to foresee the long-term future of any country, while neglecting the value of culture, human quality and average IQ, which are taboo to be discussed in Western democracies, but critical in economic activities.

$200,000 in 2050 will have different value to $200,000 in 2024, even less than 200,000 yuan. That's my point.

It’s not only IMF, but also the US government’s projection.

US GDP will surpass $40T by 2033, $50T by 2039, and reach $80T by the early 2050s. With salary disbursement over $37T by the early 2050s, the US will be god tier wealthy. An that’s taxable income, so the US government will be accruing enormous revenue.

China has almost no chance of catching up with the US economy.

 

[Get Ya Wig Split]

The topic of discussion is China moving away from the US$.

If the move away is real (seems everyone agrees it is real), without China's support, the US$ will probably not be as valued as it is today. China's movement is much more worth to be watched than IMF's, which is more or less, US-controlled. If China had thought that the US$ has a good future, they would have done differently. It is clear that China (and many other countries) no longer believe in the long-term value of the US$ and start acting following their own long-term vision.

In addition, the trajectory by IMF is just for reference, as we all know that IMF, more often that not, tends to be wrong on their predictions, even for next year, let alone 30 years later. They use politically-correct criteria, like English-speaking, law-abiding (very subjective), which are useless to foresee the long-term future of any country, while neglecting the value of culture, human quality and average IQ, which are taboo to be discussed in Western democracies, but critical in economic activities.

$200,000 in 2050 will have different value to $200,000 in 2024, even less than 200,000 yuan. That's my point.

Consider yourself lucky your country didn't end up as the 51st state. There might be another shot at it!!!

Be nice before we organize a function in the middle of Hanoi.

 

[xiao]

It’s not only IMF, but also the US government’s projection.

US GDP will surpass $40T by 2033, $50T by 2039, and reach $80T by the early 2050s. With salary disbursement over $37T by the early 2050s, the US will be god tier wealthy. An that’s taxable income, so the US government will be accruing enormous revenue.

China has almost no chance of catching up with the US economy.

So how will the United States repay the 7.8 trillion U.S. debt that will mature soon?

 

[xiao]

By the late 2030s, the world will finally understand China has lost the economic battle with the US as it will be deep into demographic decline and lost it’s demographic dividend.

US GDP will exceed $50T by 2040, and its economic dominance cemented.

But it will be the early 2050s, when the US achieves truly god tier economic might with a GDP in excess of $80T and GDP per capita of $200K+.

An these are all US government economic projections.

The so-called AI is just a demand created by the United States to anchor the dollar, and the world's economy will not explode because of this unnecessary demand, China only needs the United States to explore the way in front and ensure that it also has the ability to research and develop, in case the United States steps on a landmine, China will not have any impact