United States elections 2024: Donald Trump Wins

You can see those small changes in the poll tracker chart below, with the trend lines showing how the averages have changed and the dots showing the individual poll results for each candidate.

1728163134045.png


While these national polls are a useful guide as to how popular a candidate is across the country as a whole, they're not necessarily an accurate way to predict the result of the election.

That's because the US uses an electoral college system, in which each state is given a number of votes roughly in line with the size of its population. A total of 538 electoral college votes are up for grabs, so a candidate needs to hit 270 to win.

There are 50 states in the US but because most of them nearly always vote for the same party, in reality there are just a handful where both candidates stand a chance of winning. These are the places where the election will be won and lost and are known as battleground states or swing states.
 

US election polls: Who is ahead - Harris or Trump?​

the Visual Journalism and Data teams
BBC News

BBC A digitally created collage featuring Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Kamala Harris is on the left, wearing a suit with a white blouse and waving her hand. Donald Trump is on the right, wearing a suit with a white shirt and a tie, and he is making a fist gesture.
BBC
Voters in the US go to the polls on 5 November to elect their next president.

The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in July when President Joe Biden ended his campaign and endorsed Vice-President Kamala Harris.

The big question now is - will America get its first woman president or a second Donald Trump term?

As election day approaches, we'll be keeping track of the polls and seeing what effect the campaign has on the race for the White House.

Who is leading national polls?​

Harris has been ahead of Trump in the national polling averages since she entered the race at the end of July, as shown in the chart below with the latest figures rounded to the nearest whole number.

View attachment 69907


The two candidates went head to head in a televised debate in Pennsylvania on 10 September that just over 67 million people tuned in to watch.

48% + 46% != 100%
 
48% + 46% != 100%
Don't be smart...... :rofl: :rofl:

It says average of individual till at present...

May be you are too jealous, as you want to top the chart in this forum.

This is BBC, not a grocery shop.
 
Don't be smart...... :rofl: :rofl:

It says average of individual till at present...

May be you are too jealous, as you want to top the chart in this forum.

This is BBC, not a grocery shop.

Fake polls which overestimate Kamala and underestimate Trump.
 

How are these averages created?​

The figures we have used in the graphics above are averages created by polling analysis website 538, which is part of American news network ABC News. To create them, 538 collects the data from individual polls carried out both nationally and in battleground states by lots of polling companies.

As part of its quality control, 538 only includes polls from companies that meet certain criteria, like being transparent about how many people they polled, when the poll was carried out and how the poll was conducted (telephone calls, text message, online, etc).

You can read more about the 538 methodology here.

Can we trust the polls?​

At the moment, the polls suggest that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are within a couple of percentage points of each other in swing states - and when the race is that close, it’s very hard to predict winners.

Polls underestimated support for Trump in both 2016 and 2020. Polling companies will be trying to fix that problem in a number of ways, including how to make their results reflect the make-up of the voting population.

Those adjustments are difficult to get right and pollsters still have to make educated guesses about other factors like who will actually turn up to vote on 5 November.
Written and produced by Mike Hills and Libby Rogers. Design by Joy Roxas.
 

JD Vance addresses Butler, PA rally: 'I truly believe God saved Trump's life'​


To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
@Sharma Ji

Personally, I'd like to see a JD Vance + Anna Paulina Luna ticket in 2028. Anna Paulina Luna seems like a really intelligent woman.

To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 

LIVE: Donald Trump Rally in Butler, PA | FOX 4​


To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Country Watch Latest

Latest Posts

Back
Top