US Perspective on the Iran - Israel / US War

[Fatman17]

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[SolarWarden]

Even money that Israel will initiate on some Gleiwitz-type false flag operation and it will be game on again.

Well I'm still sus on those "Iranian missiles" that were heading towards Turkey. Iran was like yeah it's us on missiles launched at Israel and gulf states but on Turkey they were like WTF bruh?!?

 

[Fatman17]

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[Fatman17]

Memorandum of Misunderstanding.
We get objections from both sides on a daily basis. Each side has a different interpertation of the MoU points. There is a lack of understanding on how to proceed forward

 

[Ali_Baba]

I don't believe there will be any resumption of a full blown war. Trump has realized he was conned by Netanyahu and the Pentagon-CIA-MIC gang that has been telling Presidents since the 1960s that the Op will be quick and easy.

Right now, Marco Rubio is trying to restart the war with the Israel firsters and war hawks, and his Lebanon deal is part of trying to torpedo the MoU by creating political conditions that make it impossible for the MoU and talks to succeed. Israel is helping with that as well. As to whether he or Israel will be successful or not, is up for debate and time.

I don't think we are fully out of the woods yet.

 

[Ali_Baba]

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There is not enough oil flow out of the straits to both refill the strategic oil reserves and meet global demand from the current flow of ships. That is why the USA is trying to "hurry" up oil shipments by escorting with AIS off, to try and change that equation.

The reason why the USA wants to change that equation as 4 weeks of strategic oil reserves does not give the USA a lot of tactical choices or options for time if it wants another military round. ( I don't think Trump does, but the Hawks, Marco Rubio and the Israel firster's all have different views of course ).

In the event that Iran is attacked again by the USA, then Iran should not agree to a ceasefire as global oil reserves are low, but instead then carry on with its own military operations at its own cadence. Keep the straits closed and try and force the strategic reserves to run to zero to impose a real economic hit and penalty on the global economy as a lesson of why this should not be done again. Given that Iran is not integrated with global trade, they won't care and it won't affect them too much.

People will still need Iran's oil, even in a global depression ...

 

[Musings]

Right now, Marco Rubio is trying to restart the war with the Israel firsters and war hawks, and his Lebanon deal is part of trying to torpedo the MoU by creating political conditions that make it impossible for the MoU and talks to succeed. Israel is helping with that as well. As to whether he or Israel will be successful or not, is up for debate and time.

I don't think we are fully out of the woods yet.

To be out of the woods - the world needs to remove Netanyahu. He is the one that needs conflict and war - for his own sake. The war ending makes him vulnerable and he potentially may end up in jail.