US Perspective on the Iran - Israel / US War

The country has been bombed into a pile of rubble, wave after wave of senior government and military officials have been killed off like crops being cut down, and yet they still think they’re winning every day? The way Iranians think is truly bizarre!
 
Abu-Donkey, PG=Persian Gulf, not Pakistan.
China’s Top 10 Crude Oil Import Sources in 2025
Share of total crude oil imports by value:
Russia — 16.6%
Saudi Arabia — 14.7%
Iraq — 11.3%
Malaysia — 10.5%
Brazil — 8.1%
United Arab Emirates — 7.0%
Oman — 6.6%
Angola — 5.3%
Kuwait — 3.4%
Canada — 2.5%
Iran only blocked the Strait of Hormuz. The existing exports of the UAE and Saudi Arabia have reached their peak, the UAE has additional routes, and Chinese vessels can pass freely through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
For China's crude oil imports, only supplies from Iraq, Iran, and Kuwait would be directly affected, accounting for roughly 25% of total imports. Meanwhile, China's crude oil import demand fell by about 50% in June 2026, meaning that even if all three countries completely stopped supplying oil, China would still have a surplus in its import capacity.
 
The country has been bombed into a pile of rubble, wave after wave of senior government and military officials have been killed off like crops being cut down, and yet they still think they’re winning every day? The way Iranians think is truly bizarre!

It’s the same group that thought Hamas was winning for simply surviving. In the end, Hamas surrendered. Historically, it takes many years for regimes like Irans to fall. Just look at Saddam, Gaddafi, Assad etc. This war has set in motion the downfall of the regime. Irans military and economy are decimated. Iran has zero deterrence as it’s getting bombed at will. Their entire conventional navy was sunk. It’s under naval blockade. The status quo is unsustainable for Iran. It’s death by a thousand cuts.
 
It’s the same group that thought Hamas was winning for simply surviving. In the end, Hamas surrendered. Historically, it takes many years for regimes like Irans to fall. Just look at Saddam, Gaddafi, Assad etc. This war has set in motion the downfall of the regime. Irans military and economy are decimated. Iran has zero deterrence as it’s getting bombed at will. Their entire conventional navy was sunk. It’s under naval blockade. The status quo is unsustainable for Iran. It’s death by a thousand cuts.
Iran is now racking its brains trying to drag China into a confrontation with the United States.

The likelihood of a direct conflict between China and the United States is extremely low. Such a conflict would be catastrophic for the entire world, and neither side would take that step unless absolutely forced to do so.

The idea that China would intervene in a conflict for Iran—a country of limited strategic value to China—is utterly absurd and laughable.

Even if Iran wants allies to help, it should look to India.
The two countries have signed a strategic cooperation agreement, jointly developed ports, and worked together to build an Iran-India-Afghanistan trade zone.
Before the U.S.-Iran war, Iran was even conducting naval exercises with India.
 
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Most of those bases are there to service the US weapons sold to the GCC (I'm talking mainly about Saudi Arabia)
There is not a single US military base in KSA or any other foreign military base. Prince Sultan Air Base is a Saudi Arabian military base (full sovereignty) and the USAF operates in KSA under the full rules of KSA and commands and is only allowed to operate in KSA with the full blessing of the government. When KSA not long ago made some restrictions on the USAF it was immediately seen on the ground (satellite imagery, flight data etc.).

The smaller GCC states and their actual US bases (UK and French ones too) are a remnant of the First Gulf War, Al-Udeid in Qatar was the start of Qatar moving away from being a complete Saudi Arabian province de facto (1995 coup began It - later Al-Jazeera followed) and everyone in the region, rulers of KSA and foreign rulers alike, know that most of those Western/US bases in the smaller GCC states, serve as a protection against possible KSA annexation. Not some incompetent and impoverished Iranian regime boogeyman that do not even have the ability to conquer those small GCC states (their land troops would be turned into mince meat just by the air forces of those small GCC states - which on paper are some of the strongest in the world).

All the smaller GCC states have for 95-99% of all of recorded history belonged to ancient civilizations, cultures, empires, caliphates, kingdoms, sultanates, emirates, imamates, sheikdoms etc. based in modern-day KSA (Arabia) or ruled by people from modern-day KSA. All their ruling families are originally from KSA with the exception of the Omani royal family (Al Bu Said) which is originally from Yemen next door. Same with 90% of the populations in each GCC country.

In any case it is good for the region and the GCC that we are currently not unified on paper again (yet) and that there is a healthy economic etc. competition and on every other field. That bolsters progress more than likely 1 single country and 1 single regime controlling everything. This way mistakes are less costly. Actual formal unification will come with time and at the right movement.
 
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