A lot of made up tactical victories, little strategic depth. Dead American soldiers, a closed international waterway, depleted munition stocks, , a more hardline Tehran Government, numerous US aircraft and defence systems destroyed. There is no way this is anything less than a strategic defeat.
Definitely not made up.
-Irans entire navy sunk
- Ballistic missiles so degraded it could only fire 5-10 per day in recent weeks
- 85-90% of Iranian military and nuclear industries destroyed
- HEU buried so deep only the US has the equipment and expertise to extract it
- 18 dead is an historically low casualty rate
- Munitions will not only be replaced, but production capacity will triple/quadruple in the coming years.
- PAC-3 MSEs will triple to 2,000/year by 2030
$58B awarded this week for well in excess of 10,000+ interceptors
- THAAD production quadrupling to 400/year. $35B recently awarded for Talon interceptors
- Tomahawk production rising from 600/year to 1,000/year
- JASSM and PrSM stocks will be fully restocked by the end of next year
- Losses have been minimal overall, and Iran has had almost no effect on US operational tempo.
- Historically, it takes years for Middle Eastern dictatorships to be overthrown. Saddam, Gaddafi, Assad etc. Iran is at its weakest point in history. Its proxies are practically destroyed. Its economy beyond cooked, and under naval blockade.
-Hormuz is a diminishing asset. Brent crude is under $80. Millions of barrels are still transiting and Iran is fully blockaded.