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The Republicans are in deep trouble if they don't carry Texas in the 2028 election.

Without Texas, it'll be very hard for them electorally to win the presidency
It may not matter. The Democrats have long been pushing the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact in order to do away with the Electoral College. 38 states would have to sign on. Currently, there are 19 jurisdictions who have signed on to this. That represents 222 Electoral votes. Those 19 include:

California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, the District of Columbia, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, and Washington.

The states that could give the Democrats their wet dream of ending the Electoral College:

Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
 

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