Venezuela - US Conflict: News, Updates

[Persian Gulf]

As of Q2 2025:

US Dollar: 56%
Euro: 20%
Chinese RMB: 2%
Other currencies (JPY, GBP, CHF, CAD, AUD): 20%


The Western powers still have a strong hold. The US/EU pair isn't going away anytime soon. The institutional depth is resilient.

for foreign trade you are right (until the EU creates a real unified capital market). but for global reserves, it's a very different story:

 

[Persian Gulf]

I was confident back then that it would happen. This was done in order to boost the dollar

this type of activity does not boost the dollar. it has the exact opposite effect

 

[Pak-Warrior]

@F-22Raptor

I am amazed at your posts. I wonder why you are not feeling ashamed? You are actually feeling proud of being a thief. ENTIRE planet knows you are doing this to steal Venezuelan oil.

Every special forces of the world can do an op like that. Its simply is that no one expects another nation to abduct president of soverign state. It depends how morally corrupt you have to go. If Maduro could have known how morally corrupt the US is then no way on earth you could have extracted him.

Anyways, enjoy stealing resources of other nations, that's what define you guys.

 

[Master Chief]

1. Trump Doctrine. This operation was thematically similar to last summer's attack on Iranian nuclear facilities - billed as a masterstroke, collapses under scrutiny, and gives Trump cover to disengage from a foreign adventure.

2. As an initial matter, this was all flagrantly illegal aggression against a sovereign state on pretenses so flimsy they're not even legally cognizable. We're literally charging Maduro with violating the National Firearms Act. Dude is going to be a martyr for the Second Amendment, I can't wait to see gun twitter jump all over this lol.

3. This was not actually regime change. Maduro was not a totalitarian law unto himself, he's an eminently replaceable Latin American kleptocrat. The Venezuelan government (to include its senior leadership) and military appear to be almost entirely intact. At the moment they're discussing simply implementing the legal line of succession through the Vice President and moving on with business as usual! In any event Trump discussing somehow picking a new government in Venezuela or exercising authority over the country's governance is a fantasy at this point, we're occupying nothing and we have no leverage.

4. Tying back into the above, all of those senior leaders and that military seem to have gotten the memo to change their bed down locations and not show up for duty last night. The assault force, flying in slow and highly vulnerable helicopters, took desultory small arms fire coming in but not the antiaircraft buzzsaw they should have run into over Caracas given the Venezuelans have had four months to prepare for war. It's unclear whether they faced any resistance at all on the ground - for all we know by that point Maduro had already been arrested by his own military and was simply handed over to the commandos. Certainly the troops were in and out very quickly, suggesting actions on the objective were largely pro forma.

5. Trump has immediately pivoted to an offramp in the Caribbean despite the fact that absolutely none of the ostensible underlying causes of our intervention are remotely resolved at this point - drugs, oil, expropriation, etc. In fact he's been quite clear the Chinese will get their oil, so he seems to consider the operation entirely concluded. As I mentioned above, this is identical to his offramp from the 12 Days' War - conduct a strike on Iranian nuclear sites that was far less impactful than it was billed as to the American public and which was actually below the retaliatory threshold of the Iranians, and then immediately declare victory and leave. This operation feels exactly as choreographed as the denouement of the 12 Days' War - conduct a flashy raid while the Venezuelan Army takes a siesta, get a scalp, declare victory and leave, after which the Venezuelan government shrugs and moves on. Perhaps the Venezuelan government will be persuaded to give US companies some oil concessions going forward.

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sober analysis

Now who is guilty of wishful thinking?

The Venezuelan govt and military are "intact" because USA trumped up the cash to enlist them onto their payroll!

Yes, a near-bloodless regime change, but a regime change nonetheless.

 

[Oscar]

US is very good at bullying tiny weak nations.

Sure, but it does it very good so that strong nations think twice.

 

[Meengla]

It would have never crossed Maduros mind or actually anyone's mind that United States will actually go naked in front of whole world and abduct the president of another state.
If he would have thought that US could do such a cheap move then he would have had simply stationed his own special forces at his residence. Plus manpads and other preparations. It would never be possible to extract him then.
It is simply the inability of the world to understand that US can do anything to steal oil. Once the world understands the hegemonic & cunning mindset that prevails US then it will become a lot harder for the US to do ops like that.

Indeed, this is a very low point in American foreign policy. A historic shame where previous American interventions for regime changes pale. Decades after Iran's democracy was derailed by toppling Mossadeq, even American senior politicians would say a 'mea culpa' and attribute that to the rise of the Iranian revolution of 1979. But this one is so blatantly aggressive, so hypocritical, so opportunist that even the toppling of Mossadeq, which was basically a covert operation, looks minor.

For Pakistanis, this is not a direct matter, just like the Russia-Ukraine war has been a distant conflict without much to concern Pakistan, but 'on principle', Trump's action of kidnapping Maduro is wrong and probably going to prove counter productive for America's own interests.

 

[Bilal]

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Hey Pakistan wouldn’t mind that at all!

 

[dbc]

France is already prepared to participate in the war between Russia and Ukraine. Do you think it is a good choice for France to provoke China?

If France has the capability, it could send the 'Charles de Gaulle' aircraft carrier battle group to dock in China's Taiwan Province.

We hope for this. Chinese people do not like unjust wars. If France interferes in China's internal affairs, all problems will be solved.

You obviously do not understand English. Use a better translation tool before you respond.

 

[SolarWarden]

If you were watching CNN you may have seen this...

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Murrrca baby! When you really need to pay the bills like $10 million a year CNN anchors.

 

[maxpane]

Hey Pakistan wouldn’t mind that at all!

for us its blessing lol

 

[Bilal]

Here’s the thing. If US tries to run the country or station troops then welcome to guerrilla war.

The “Mission Accomplished” euphoria can turn sour pretty quick.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Now who is guilty of wishful thinking?

The Venezuelan govt and military are "intact" because USA trumped up the cash to enlist them onto their payroll!

Yes, a near-bloodless regime change, but a regime change nonetheless.

there is no regime change (yet)

Maduro's replacement was sworn into power and rejected Trump's demands and issued a decree for nation wide mobilisation

 

[Beijingwalker]

The land means nothing. China secured a backwater pariah state. The US secured a prosperous ally, which allows US military forces to be stationed there. Like I said, you see land, I see strategic outcomes. It’s obvious who won here.

A war is a war, we didn't mean to rule that country but to secure our immediate border. As for how they develop their own countries, their country, their rule.

 

[PakFactor]

for foreign trade you are right (until the EU creates a real unified capital market). but for global reserves, it's a very different story:

View attachment 169711

Gold is used as a hedge, not necessarily as a replacement for the USD. Looking at the data further, the US and Europe combined account for approximately 60% of gold holdings.

Note: USD + EUR = 76% of global reserves; thus, Western-aligned dominance.

 

[dbc]

korea is off topic @Beijingwalker and @F-22Raptor . infractions will be issued for persistent off topic post.