Turkish Foreign Policy and Regional Geopolitics

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The growth in stature has brought allies and clients, some of whom were former adversaries, Turkish/Egyptian ties are the highest they have been in decades, and possibly ever since the beginning of the republican era. Not saying there aren't any issues, but they are aligned in Somalia and Sudan, Libya and Eastern Mediterranean could be better.

Turkey has gained a loyal partner in Syria.

Libyan ties are good.

Iraqi ties are getting better with corridor cooperation and PKK camps closing.

Ties in Lebanon are growing.

Turkey Qatar ties are probably the best of any two states in the region.

Saudi ties are good.

Post Iran getting bombed by Israel, ties are better. I see less hostility from them and their Bot network.

Really outside of the UAE and Sudan and their partnership with the Zionist entity, there aren't any other issues.

Ties are growing with Pakistan, and I see potential for mutual benefit there. Indonesian ties are getting stronger. Bangladesh ties post revolution are stronger.

Turkey is well positioned for the future in the region in terms of influence.
 
"During the 2020 war, Turkey sent a directive to all of its embassies stating that instructions received from Baku were to be treated as fully equivalent to those coming from Ankara" - Jeyhun Bayramov
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I have officially invited Erdogan to Armenia and I hope that this invitation will be accepted. Pashinyan

🔴Turkish Armenian Garo Paylan:

"During the Israel-Iran war, Aliyev wanted to invade Armenia and had plans for it, but Turkey opposed it and said 'no.'

Because we can win together through peace, but we can lose through war. Russia's strategy is this: to pit the two countries against each other in war, and turn Armenia into Russia's satellite.

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📍NEW — Senior Turkish official:

▪️“The instruction to issue an arrest warrant against Netanyahu and senior Israelis was personally given by President Erdoğan; the process took weeks.”
▪️“The main issue was timing; a significant obstacle to issuing the arrest warrants was Turkey’s discussions with the US and other mediators regarding an international force to operate in the Gaza Strip.”
▪️“It appears that President Erdoğan concluded that there was no point in waiting any longer, taking into account Israel’s firm opposition to Turkish forces operating in Gaza and the US administration’s tendency to adopt Israel’s stance.”

- Haaretz -
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Cyprus calls for a new approach to Turkey​


Christodoulides emphasized that geography dictates a new realism in the EU-Turkey relationship. “We changed our approach regarding the European Union–Turkey relationship. We cannot change our geography. Turkey will always be a neighbor of Cyprus, so I prefer a neighbor that is close to the European Union,” he told the FT.




To signal this pivot, President Christodoulides has proposed inviting Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan or Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan to informal meetings with the EU during Cyprus’s presidency, stating this would “send a positive message regarding European Union–Turkey relations.”


Relaunching peace negotiations​


The Cypriot leader is pushing for a resumption of peace talks following the recent election of Tufan Erhürman as the Turkish Cypriot leader.



Christodoulides believes the negotiations should pick up exactly where they left off at the Crans-Montana summit in 2017. “We came so close…If we start from where we left off, it is possible,” he asserted to the FT.


Crucially, he argues that the EU itself must have a direct seat at the negotiating table this time. According to Christodoulides, only Brussels can offer Ankara strong enough incentives—such as visa liberalization for Turkish entrepreneurs—to finalize a deal.


He suggests that small, mutual confidence-building steps could pave the way for a broader agreement. For instance, Turkey could open one of its ports to vessels flying the Cypriot flag, a gesture of normalization since no Cypriot-flagged ship has been able to approach Turkey since 1987.




Internal EU resistance and the US factor​


While advocating for engagement, Christodoulides acknowledged that his outreach might face internal EU opposition. “The Commission may be ready. I am not sure if the member states are ready, or if they are hiding behind Cyprus,” he admitted.


Separately, the Cypriot President highlighted the Middle East as a potential area of convergence for the EU and the United States, positioning Cyprus as a bridge between Europe and the region. He views the Middle East as “a point of convergence with [former President] Trump and the US.”


Christodoulides stressed that Europe must find ways to work with Donald Trump, should he return to the US presidency. “It doesn’t matter if you agree or disagree. He is the president of the US. We must find a way to cooperate. In our region, he is the leader, and we see positive developments thanks to his leadership,” he concluded.

 
📍German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, meeting with Southern Cypriot leader Christodoulides in Berlin:

▪️"I emphasized the necessity of cooperation with Turkey due to the geopolitical situation."

▪️"I informed him about my visit to Ankara and we discussed how we can further advance the rapprochement between Turkey and the EU."

▪️"I am aware of Cyprus's interests and concerns in this matter."

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According to German news, Southern Cyprus promised the EU to start delivering natural gas from the Mediterranean by the year 2027. I believe that this promise is the main reason why the Southern Cypriot leadership has changed their approach towards Ankara. They are not going to publicly admit it but they need Turkish approval to export gas to Europe. It's an ongoing dispute after all.
 
@hyperman

📍NEW/IMPORTANT — Israel's U.S. Ambassador Yechiel Leiter stated that agreements between the U.S. and Arab countries will not harm Israel's military superiority, but Turkey should not be given F-35s.

▪️"Erdogan has taken a hostile and aggressive stance."

▪️"However, Turkey is geographically in a strategic position."

▪️"The task is this: to establish a practical and functioning relationship that aligns Israel's security priorities with the fact that Ankara is still part of the Western strategy."

▪️"We understand Turkey's strategic importance to the U.S. Turkey is a NATO member, has a large army, and is in a key geography. And we are not disputing that."

▪️"However, Turkish soldiers cannot be in Gaza or Syria. These practical demands have not been questioned by the U.S.; they have been accepted."

▪️"We do not want Turkey to receive F-35s from the U.S. Israel has clearly conveyed its position on this matter. We do not currently consider this constructive. The U.S. will make its own decision accordingly."

▪️"(Regarding military agreements between the U.S. and Arab countries) There is no indication that they will jeopardize Israel's qualitative military superiority."

- Jerusalem Post -
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Translation:

"We control the Arab puppet regimes but not the Turks, therefore, Ankara shouldn't receive F-35s."
 
@hyperman

📍NEW/IMPORTANT — Israel's U.S. Ambassador Yechiel Leiter stated that agreements between the U.S. and Arab countries will not harm Israel's military superiority, but Turkey should not be given F-35s.

▪️"Erdogan has taken a hostile and aggressive stance."

▪️"However, Turkey is geographically in a strategic position."

▪️"The task is this: to establish a practical and functioning relationship that aligns Israel's security priorities with the fact that Ankara is still part of the Western strategy."

▪️"We understand Turkey's strategic importance to the U.S. Turkey is a NATO member, has a large army, and is in a key geography. And we are not disputing that."

▪️"However, Turkish soldiers cannot be in Gaza or Syria. These practical demands have not been questioned by the U.S.; they have been accepted."

▪️"We do not want Turkey to receive F-35s from the U.S. Israel has clearly conveyed its position on this matter. We do not currently consider this constructive. The U.S. will make its own decision accordingly."

▪️"(Regarding military agreements between the U.S. and Arab countries) There is no indication that they will jeopardize Israel's qualitative military superiority."

- Jerusalem Post -
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Translation:

"We control the Arab puppet regimes but not the Turks, therefore, Ankara shouldn't receive F-35s."



KSA did open ther airspace against Iran, thats the only reason they are getting the F35, afte they shotdown Houtie BM against Israel Germans stop the weapon ambargo. Remeber the EF deal was stalled because of Yemen war.
 
@hyperman

📍NEW/IMPORTANT — Israel's U.S. Ambassador Yechiel Leiter stated that agreements between the U.S. and Arab countries will not harm Israel's military superiority, but Turkey should not be given F-35s.

▪️"Erdogan has taken a hostile and aggressive stance."

▪️"However, Turkey is geographically in a strategic position."

▪️"The task is this: to establish a practical and functioning relationship that aligns Israel's security priorities with the fact that Ankara is still part of the Western strategy."

▪️"We understand Turkey's strategic importance to the U.S. Turkey is a NATO member, has a large army, and is in a key geography. And we are not disputing that."

▪️"However, Turkish soldiers cannot be in Gaza or Syria. These practical demands have not been questioned by the U.S.; they have been accepted."

▪️"We do not want Turkey to receive F-35s from the U.S. Israel has clearly conveyed its position on this matter. We do not currently consider this constructive. The U.S. will make its own decision accordingly."

▪️"(Regarding military agreements between the U.S. and Arab countries) There is no indication that they will jeopardize Israel's qualitative military superiority."

- Jerusalem Post -
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Translation:

"We control the Arab puppet regimes but not the Turks, therefore, Ankara shouldn't receive F-35s."


Lets see how it plays out. The Saudi sale, I hope it happens and without any normalization BS. If it happens, its going to shape the conversation here in the US on the sale to Turkey.
 
@hyperman

📍NEW/IMPORTANT — Israel's U.S. Ambassador Yechiel Leiter stated that agreements between the U.S. and Arab countries will not harm Israel's military superiority, but Turkey should not be given F-35s.

▪️"Erdogan has taken a hostile and aggressive stance."

▪️"However, Turkey is geographically in a strategic position."

▪️"The task is this: to establish a practical and functioning relationship that aligns Israel's security priorities with the fact that Ankara is still part of the Western strategy."

▪️"We understand Turkey's strategic importance to the U.S. Turkey is a NATO member, has a large army, and is in a key geography. And we are not disputing that."

▪️"However, Turkish soldiers cannot be in Gaza or Syria. These practical demands have not been questioned by the U.S.; they have been accepted."

▪️"We do not want Turkey to receive F-35s from the U.S. Israel has clearly conveyed its position on this matter. We do not currently consider this constructive. The U.S. will make its own decision accordingly."

▪️"(Regarding military agreements between the U.S. and Arab countries) There is no indication that they will jeopardize Israel's qualitative military superiority."

- Jerusalem Post -
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Translation:

"We control the Arab puppet regimes but not the Turks, therefore, Ankara shouldn't receive F-35s."


The statements from Hakan Fidan sounded confident. lets see, thats all we can do, we won't know for sure until next year.

My real fear is they are going to give us downgraded Bullshit or something with spyware or killswitch.
 
Belgium has lifted all embargoes it imposed on Turkey in the defense industry sector. Thus, the way has been opened for Turkish and Belgian defense industry companies to collaborate.

Hypocrites.
 
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Turkey should try to do cooperation to build an alternative to German engines for Submarines.

Currently both countries are reliant on the germans for submarine engines, so this is good area of cooperation to break the german monopoly.

1764127377421.png

What else do you guys think Turkey can cooperate with South Korea on? Maybe transport Aircraft?

1764127336760.png
 

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